Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.6515049537628
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
210100
310100
410100
510100
69.9410-0.0600000000000005
710.069.960909702774230.0990902972257697
810.0610.02546752228660.034532477713352
910.0610.04796560258260.0120343974174002
1010.0610.05580607211560.00419392788441364
1110.0610.0585384369080.00146156309199341
1210.0610.05949065250270.000509347497322565
1310.0610.05982249492040.000177505079630436
1410.0610.05993814035916.18596409331928e-05
1510.0610.05997844222162.15577784263843e-05
1610.0610.0599924872217.51277898913827e-06
1710.0610.05999738183372.61816626156985e-06
1810.0610.0599990875829.12417972287471e-07
1910.0610.05999968202693.1797314292703e-07
2010.0610.05999988918791.10812065301502e-07
219.9410.0599999613825-0.119999961382545
229.949.98181939209047-0.0418193920904724
239.949.95457385098018-0.0145738509801809
249.949.94507891487119-0.00507891487119139
259.949.94176997667287-0.00176997667287004
269.949.94061682810245-0.00061682810245145
2710.069.940214961538080.119785038461917
2810.0610.01825550748270.0417444925173101
299.9410.04545225115-0.105452251150032
3010.069.976749587140350.0832504128596536
3110.0610.03098764352120.0290123564787912
3210.0610.04988933748750.0101106625125258
3310.1810.05647648420020.123523515799791
3410.2810.136952666650.14304733335003
3510.2810.23014871295010.0498512870499273
3610.1810.2626270734146-0.0826270734145513
3710.2810.208795125770.0712048742299505
3810.2810.25518545406290.0248145459370814
3910.2810.27135225366630.00864774633369869
4010.1810.2769863032416-0.0969863032415894
4110.2810.21379924623260.066200753767447
4210.2810.25692936525490.0230706347451246
4310.1810.2719599980778-0.0919599980777761
4410.1810.2120476037821-0.0320476037820878
4510.1810.1911684311618-0.0111684311618294
4610.2810.18389214293410.0961078570658618
4710.2810.24650688790810.0334931120919251
4810.1810.2683278163529-0.088327816352896
4910.1810.2107818064439-0.0307818064439331
5010.1810.1907273070599-0.010727307059943
5110.1810.1837384133699-0.00373841336985592
5210.1810.1813028185402-0.00130281854018222
5310.1810.1804540258074-0.000454025807400171
5410.2810.18015822574470.0998417742552569
5510.2810.24520563626450.0347943637354895
5610.2810.26787433660120.012125663398793
5710.1810.2757742663732-0.09577426637318
5810.1810.2133768573881-0.0333768573880544
5910.1810.1916316694587-0.0116316694587031
6010.2810.18405357918580.0959464208141725
6110.1810.2465631476421-0.0665631476420714
6210.1810.2031969272152-0.023196927215217
6310.2810.18808401422240.0919159857775718
6410.1810.2479677342865-0.0679677342865066
6510.1810.2036864187028-0.0236864187028143
6610.1810.188254599581-0.00825459958103103
6710.2810.18287668706270.0971233129373381
6810.2810.24615300656720.0338469934328085
6910.2810.26820449045860.011795509541356
7010.2810.2758893233570.00411067664300546
7110.2810.27856744955320.00143255044677026
7210.2810.27950076326580.000499236734183839
7310.1810.2798260184712-0.0998260184712372
7410.1810.2147888729228-0.0347888729228085
7510.1810.1921237498778-0.0121237498777749
7610.1810.1842250667742-0.00422506677422341
7710.1810.1814724148408-0.00147241484083871
7810.1810.180513129278-0.000513129278038704
7910.1810.1801788230115-0.00017882301147587
8010.1810.1800623189337-6.23189336526053e-05
8110.1810.1800217178397-2.17178396653139e-05
8210.2810.18000756855950.0999924314404605
8310.2810.24515313298180.0348468670182136
8410.2810.26785603946730.0121439605327343
8510.2810.27576788991260.00423211008735791
8610.2810.27852513059940.00147486940057462
8710.2810.27948601532010.000513984679946233
8810.2810.27982087888520.000179121114802783
8910.2810.27993757717886.2422821185848e-05
9010.1810.279978245956-0.099978245956045
9110.2810.21484192344720.0651580765528337
9210.2810.2572927330990.0227072669010067
9310.2810.27208662997140.0079133700285876
9410.2810.2772422297460.00275777025400537
9510.1810.2790389307278-0.0990389307278186
9610.2810.21451457674330.0654854232567263
9710.2810.25717865439430.0228213456057151
9810.2810.27204687410790.00795312589205821
9910.1810.2772283750245-0.0972283750245158
10010.1810.2138836070497-0.0338836070497361
10110.2810.19180826920550.0881917307945184
10210.2810.2492656186990.0307343813009737
10310.2810.26928922036740.0107107796325554
10410.2810.27626734635670.00373265364328468
10510.2810.2786991886960.00130081130400406
10610.2810.27954667370450.00045332629553485
10710.2810.27984201803170.000157981968323284
10810.1810.2799449440666-0.0999449440666442
10910.2810.21483031790370.0651696820963199
11010.2810.25728868862460.0227113113754207
11110.2810.27208522049210.00791477950788533
11210.4210.27724173854940.142758261450558
11310.4210.3702494530750.0497505469249546
11410.4210.40266218084910.0173378191509386
11510.4210.41395785591330.00604214408665804
11610.4210.41789434271710.00210565728285239
11710.4210.41926618886790.000733811132146656
11810.4210.41974427045560.000255729544427652
11910.4210.41991087952068.91204794086775e-05
12010.4210.41996894195443.10580455913367e-05
12110.4210.4199891764251.08235750335695e-05
12210.3410.4199962280377-0.079996228037718
12310.3410.3678782891888-0.0278782891888056
12410.3410.3497154456799-0.00971544567986626
12510.4210.34338578469140.0766142153085809
12610.4210.39330032549360.026699674506391
12710.4210.41069529569840.00930470430162345
12810.4210.41675735664420.00324264335581859
12910.3410.4188699548538-0.0788699548537828
13010.4210.36748578856350.052514211436506
13110.4210.40169905745730.018300942542675
13210.4210.41362221218240.00637778781759302
13310.4210.41777737253960.00222262746038382
13410.4210.41922542534040.000774574659574867
13510.4210.41973006456820.000269935431802537
13610.4210.41990592883929.40711607864131e-05
13710.4210.41996721666653.27833335269645e-05
13810.4210.41998857517071.14248293332508e-05
13910.4210.41999601850363.98149642677481e-06
14010.4210.41999861246821.38753178191564e-06
14110.4210.4199995164524.83547951901642e-07
14210.4210.41999983148591.68514066700709e-07
14310.4210.41999994127375.87263180307218e-08
14410.4210.41999997953422.04658316960149e-08
14510.4210.41999999286787.13224146409175e-09
14610.4210.41999999751442.48555132031925e-09
14710.3410.4199999991338-0.079999999133797
14810.3410.3678796033971-0.0278796033971087
14910.3410.3497159036749-0.0097159036749499
15010.3410.3433859443004-0.00338594430043848


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
15110.341179984815510.24464656486710.437713404764
15210.341179984815510.225966682656110.456393286975
15310.341179984815510.209918761211510.4724412084196
15410.341179984815510.195629606425210.4867303632058
15510.341179984815510.182623003016910.4997369666142