Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 132.1 | NA | NA | 1.36464742142388 | NA |
2 | 125 | NA | NA | 1.22502281121452 | NA |
3 | 127.1 | NA | NA | 1.23277130163144 | NA |
4 | 101.5 | NA | NA | 0.980793667700393 | NA |
5 | 85.7 | NA | NA | 0.863786668523817 | NA |
6 | 79.3 | NA | NA | 0.753165977400242 | NA |
7 | 70.9 | 66.9441859051867 | 101.954166666667 | 0.65661059369998 | 1.05909122713683 |
8 | 77.1 | 74.2619270409077 | 102.845833333333 | 0.722070351651657 | 1.03821706589339 |
9 | 83.9 | 84.0530591443625 | 103.6125 | 0.811225085239353 | 0.998179017564374 |
10 | 96.2 | 105.124888341529 | 104.125 | 1.00960276918635 | 0.9151020421298 |
11 | 111.7 | 118.517876982603 | 104.3125 | 1.13618096568103 | 0.942473851572589 |
12 | 127.2 | 129.570162726042 | 104.145833333333 | 1.24412238664733 | 0.981707495952958 |
13 | 143.6 | 141.667460436567 | 103.8125 | 1.36464742142388 | 1.01364137930812 |
14 | 134.9 | 126.815382269269 | 103.520833333333 | 1.22502281121452 | 1.06375108118639 |
15 | 135.6 | 127.150086669103 | 103.141666666667 | 1.23277130163144 | 1.06645621369404 |
16 | 105.3 | 101.021747773140 | 103 | 0.980793667700393 | 1.04234981398725 |
17 | 86.4 | 89.2903477475308 | 103.370833333333 | 0.863786668523817 | 0.96762978507259 |
18 | 74.6 | 78.3763345232127 | 104.0625 | 0.753165977400242 | 0.951817923788024 |
19 | 67.6 | 68.4379750058541 | 104.229166666667 | 0.65661059369998 | 0.987755701337124 |
20 | 73.4 | 74.5086344110553 | 103.1875 | 0.722070351651657 | 0.985120725674032 |
21 | 78.5 | 82.504971273364 | 101.704166666667 | 0.811225085239353 | 0.951457818704107 |
22 | 98.2 | 101.709065639115 | 100.741666666667 | 1.00960276918635 | 0.965498988540847 |
23 | 118.6 | 114.039430342877 | 100.370833333333 | 1.13618096568103 | 1.03999116484019 |
24 | 136.9 | 124.707717731562 | 100.2375 | 1.24412238664733 | 1.09776686230986 |
25 | 137.9 | 136.333963431169 | 99.9041666666667 | 1.36464742142388 | 1.01148676770937 |
26 | 115.6 | 121.833622836997 | 99.4541666666667 | 1.22502281121452 | 0.94883495465503 |
27 | 119.3 | 122.373097875281 | 99.2666666666667 | 1.23277130163144 | 0.974887471767586 |
28 | 98.5 | 97.9772007629872 | 99.8958333333333 | 0.980793667700393 | 1.00533592747028 |
29 | 84.3 | 87.1308810762212 | 100.870833333333 | 0.863786668523817 | 0.967510014345605 |
30 | 73.5 | 76.1576330814545 | 101.116666666667 | 0.753165977400242 | 0.965103523127983 |
31 | 60.7 | 66.142573805378 | 100.733333333333 | 0.65661059369998 | 0.917714514385356 |
32 | 69.5 | 72.4386994029873 | 100.320833333333 | 0.722070351651657 | 0.959431913780798 |
33 | 77.9 | 80.9839242385403 | 99.8291666666667 | 0.811225085239353 | 0.961919303521814 |
34 | 113.9 | 100.072667817392 | 99.1208333333334 | 1.00960276918635 | 1.13817291458482 |
35 | 126.3 | 112.306754370213 | 98.8458333333333 | 1.13618096568103 | 1.12459843317757 |
36 | 135.1 | 122.981497920089 | 98.85 | 1.24412238664733 | 1.09853922976109 |
37 | 130.5 | 135.065978535429 | 98.975 | 1.36464742142388 | 0.966194458553223 |
38 | 113.1 | 121.333405189084 | 99.0458333333333 | 1.22502281121452 | 0.932142305111658 |
39 | 110 | 121.982720296431 | 98.95 | 1.23277130163144 | 0.901767067767372 |
40 | 90.8 | 96.6939957144125 | 98.5875 | 0.980793667700393 | 0.939044863428537 |
41 | 85.4 | 84.1580152920518 | 97.4291666666667 | 0.863786668523817 | 1.01475777088657 |
42 | 72.5 | 72.3290393630033 | 96.0333333333333 | 0.753165977400242 | 1.00236365142552 |
43 | 64.7 | 62.4108369311831 | 95.05 | 0.65661059369998 | 1.03667893560442 |
44 | 67.2 | 68.199544713499 | 94.45 | 0.722070351651657 | 0.985343821315846 |
45 | 77.9 | 76.2957192667612 | 94.05 | 0.811225085239353 | 1.02102713951263 |
46 | 105.2 | 94.368412171489 | 93.4708333333333 | 1.00960276918635 | 1.11477980374225 |
47 | 107.2 | 105.101473412853 | 92.5041666666667 | 1.13618096568103 | 1.01996667143670 |
48 | 120.7 | 113.977162146729 | 91.6125 | 1.24412238664733 | 1.05898407827190 |
49 | 121.3 | 124.160171225883 | 90.9833333333333 | 1.36464742142388 | 0.976963858879675 |
50 | 107.9 | 110.808417536066 | 90.4541666666667 | 1.22502281121452 | 0.973752738278031 |
51 | 105.6 | 110.836413110847 | 89.9083333333333 | 1.23277130163144 | 0.952755480226433 |
52 | 81.3 | 87.192557058565 | 88.9 | 0.980793667700393 | 0.932419036012362 |
53 | 71.7 | 76.1859841638007 | 88.2 | 0.863786668523817 | 0.941117986293177 |
54 | 64.8 | 66.1028672831613 | 87.7666666666667 | 0.753165977400242 | 0.980290306053136 |
55 | 57.3 | 57.1579521815832 | 87.05 | 0.65661059369998 | 1.00248518032916 |
56 | 61.9 | 62.6426116322464 | 86.7541666666667 | 0.722070351651657 | 0.988145263856397 |
57 | 70.1 | 70.5799625203456 | 87.0041666666667 | 0.811225085239353 | 0.993199733986721 |
58 | 88.8 | 88.3192089127809 | 87.4791666666667 | 1.00960276918635 | 1.00544378842539 |
59 | 106.8 | 99.96972271786 | 87.9875 | 1.13618096568103 | 1.06832345930794 |
60 | 110.7 | 109.980418979624 | 88.4 | 1.24412238664733 | 1.00654281032071 |
61 | 114.1 | 120.816785043395 | 88.5333333333333 | 1.36464742142388 | 0.94440519965018 |
62 | 108 | 108.628897784447 | 88.675 | 1.22502281121452 | 0.99421058486946 |
63 | 111.5 | 109.655007280117 | 88.95 | 1.23277130163144 | 1.01682543064514 |
64 | 86.8 | 87.3641959504125 | 89.075 | 0.980793667700393 | 0.993542023202128 |
65 | 78.4 | 76.7366481649846 | 88.8375 | 0.863786668523817 | 1.02167610750263 |
66 | 68 | 67.1196413526516 | 89.1166666666667 | 0.753165977400242 | 1.01311625970590 |
67 | 57.3 | 59.1907091445794 | 90.1458333333333 | 0.65661059369998 | 0.968057332444503 |
68 | 65.3 | 65.6512380974617 | 90.9208333333333 | 0.722070351651657 | 0.99464993947349 |
69 | 73.3 | 74.4096209435797 | 91.725 | 0.811225085239353 | 0.98508766837529 |
70 | 88.6 | NA | NA | 1.00960276918635 | NA |
71 | 101.3 | NA | NA | 1.13618096568103 | NA |
72 | 122.9 | NA | NA | 1.24412238664733 | NA |
73 | 126.6 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
74 | 114.1 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
75 | 124.7 | NA | NA | NA | NA |