| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 31514 | 31514 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 27071 | 28488.2212273871 | -1092.63511967583 | -1417.22122738713 | -1.46598300534814 |
| 3 | 29462 | 28256.6349716561 | -703.143393727116 | 1205.36502834395 | 0.311490301374225 |
| 4 | 26105 | 26681.1863445095 | -1151.42398132673 | -576.186344509478 | -0.309348729200586 |
| 5 | 22397 | 23266.1456560182 | -2311.8923233458 | -869.145656018176 | -0.773902918482607 |
| 6 | 23843 | 22753.2425014063 | -1398.55116318587 | 1089.75749859373 | 0.621016281464426 |
| 7 | 21705 | 21809.5519609645 | -1167.00062176535 | -104.551960964524 | 0.158797925588194 |
| 8 | 18089 | 18952.9154866462 | -2029.74342518538 | -863.915486646162 | -0.591919734718616 |
| 9 | 20764 | 19423.4582449803 | -752.009215500641 | 1340.54175501972 | 0.876493082066904 |
| 10 | 25316 | 23548.0975279228 | 1739.87741108158 | 1767.90247207722 | 1.7094055674526 |
| 11 | 17704 | 20588.7166309384 | -660.821193441494 | -2884.71663093844 | -1.64686183446903 |
| 12 | 15548 | 16432.9158986701 | -2446.0898610964 | -884.915898670094 | -1.22467857740565 |
| 13 | 28029 | 21943.6580911247 | 1543.87381828001 | 6085.34190887531 | 2.88637957046384 |
| 14 | 29383 | 29386.9431055603 | 4496.42366564184 | -3.94310556029283 | 1.99736580372881 |
| 15 | 36438 | 35122.8636057356 | 5090.31100382709 | 1315.13639426435 | 0.403221519417058 |
| 16 | 32034 | 34834.2123772179 | 2469.73346978688 | -2800.21237721788 | -1.83277717885368 |
| 17 | 22679 | 28115.1589124382 | -2084.13305485642 | -5436.15891243816 | -3.12236828533848 |
| 18 | 24319 | 23375.7949989356 | -3394.70451896832 | 943.20500106442 | -0.89166031005516 |
| 19 | 18004 | 18142.4003279398 | -4299.60362375608 | -138.400327939775 | -0.619028939551949 |
| 20 | 17537 | 17756.7072176541 | -2369.74896154116 | -219.707217654075 | 1.3238400442228 |
| 21 | 20366 | 19234.9677852415 | -468.607282096917 | 1131.03221475852 | 1.30421222697792 |
| 22 | 22782 | 18961.2397152154 | -372.290443850608 | 3820.76028478456 | 0.0660722955655084 |
| 23 | 19169 | 20082.6207999373 | 364.866350614665 | -913.620799937298 | 0.505788839182921 |
| 24 | 13807 | 19011.6124477755 | -342.283221651173 | -5204.61244777549 | -0.486851166435701 |
| 25 | 29743 | 23961.3608030342 | 2270.02751697578 | 5781.63919696579 | 1.81086866717164 |
| 26 | 25591 | 26781.7124992614 | 2540.7681319951 | -1190.71249926141 | 0.185062379425685 |
| 27 | 29096 | 26651.4350208536 | 1247.05484536475 | 2444.5649791464 | -0.882823073454282 |
| 28 | 26482 | 26083.6978991895 | 367.493641551635 | 398.302100810479 | -0.608103734693225 |
| 29 | 22405 | 26319.7769794379 | 303.19324958791 | -3914.77697943795 | -0.0443024160915607 |
| 30 | 27044 | 25817.5742423243 | -91.227837338334 | 1226.4257576757 | -0.269655334946142 |
| 31 | 17970 | 21602.5780615616 | -2104.92347908123 | -3632.57806156159 | -1.37682344777417 |
| 32 | 18730 | 19759.9225270495 | -1976.89122823787 | -1029.92252704946 | 0.0877484655676938 |
| 33 | 19684 | 18318.0297126147 | -1715.42208819939 | 1365.9702873853 | 0.179359381648078 |
| 34 | 19785 | 16370.9629013692 | -1828.66141618983 | 3414.03709863076 | -0.077695110328347 |
| 35 | 18479 | 17692.5620884627 | -289.879399954303 | 786.437911537346 | 1.05670711850978 |
| 36 | 10698 | 18138.7150162829 | 69.696047029169 | -7440.7150162829 | 0.247479031943035 |
| 37 | 31956 | 23764.0841280832 | 2788.24887253282 | 8191.91587191676 | 1.8706676840445 |
| 38 | 29506 | 29092.1493213489 | 4027.60057321021 | 413.850678651081 | 0.848002732211462 |
| 39 | 34506 | 32248.8809169439 | 3605.67405017206 | 2257.11908305605 | -0.288666585293711 |
| 40 | 27165 | 29681.1770239054 | 617.433506084196 | -2516.17702390538 | -2.05735468034303 |
| 41 | 26736 | 29778.3258637963 | 364.350265418488 | -3042.32586379626 | -0.17430263086117 |
| 42 | 23691 | 23811.5921987584 | -2721.31134715396 | -120.592198758363 | -2.11544564455643 |
| 43 | 18157 | 21100.1115898896 | -2716.52816758589 | -2943.11158988959 | 0.00327304663945432 |
| 44 | 17328 | 18284.8278370536 | -2764.51200622069 | -956.827837053579 | -0.0328679746865906 |
| 45 | 18205 | 16196.0630878301 | -2436.20072242296 | 2008.93691216986 | 0.225156364196841 |
| 46 | 20995 | 17041.4817046502 | -841.637143650251 | 3953.5182953498 | 1.09444070399215 |
| 47 | 17382 | 17150.3468270701 | -379.713517185379 | 231.653172929865 | 0.317369819034716 |
| 48 | 9367 | 18676.3965326998 | 547.316984630072 | -9309.3965326998 | 0.637433920144565 |
| 49 | 31124 | 22814.1116753729 | 2295.14737793078 | 8309.88832462707 | 1.20007575058211 |
| 50 | 26551 | 25761.0102974431 | 2611.71108081836 | 789.989702556944 | 0.216709054194197 |
| 51 | 30651 | 26900.7812026231 | 1899.69548010354 | 3750.21879737695 | -0.487645385788549 |
| 52 | 25859 | 27990.5879822702 | 1508.24231731052 | -2131.58798227022 | -0.2690959440572 |
| 53 | 25100 | 26773.807452881 | 187.378996447071 | -1673.80745288103 | -0.908922851010369 |
| 54 | 25778 | 25929.1190478969 | -313.810950606371 | -151.119047896935 | -0.343984937948234 |
| 55 | 20418 | 23857.1357457246 | -1166.84705259402 | -3439.13574572458 | -0.584207483168731 |
| 56 | 18688 | 20657.7921073125 | -2151.35322136518 | -1969.79210731248 | -0.674280897650774 |
| 57 | 20424 | 19060.1900979504 | -1883.35131348562 | 1363.80990204964 | 0.183761235129989 |
| 58 | 24776 | 19961.1418024234 | -535.818369073787 | 4814.85819757664 | 0.925086773851587 |
| 59 | 19814 | 20438.026705414 | -45.3659375627472 | -624.026705414013 | 0.337018949556687 |
| 60 | 12738 | 22675.8354535334 | 1061.62281234123 | -9937.83545353344 | 0.760683058345722 |
| 61 | 31566 | 23795.6230169492 | 1089.83280941663 | 7770.37698305079 | 0.0193537559141595 |
| 62 | 30111 | 27632.2046298552 | 2419.55305098262 | 2478.79537014481 | 0.910600280274049 |
| 63 | 30019 | 27424.7108195739 | 1151.24043906613 | 2594.2891804261 | -0.869069542329468 |
| 64 | 31934 | 31443.6313372599 | 2534.91514941043 | 490.368662740143 | 0.950530719347023 |
| 65 | 25826 | 29391.1525439304 | 317.335125140292 | -3565.1525439304 | -1.52496652118284 |
| 66 | 26835 | 26809.4430710926 | -1086.28064775948 | 25.5569289073651 | -0.963697357874404 |
| 67 | 20205 | 23458.147856514 | -2182.4166615121 | -3253.14785651397 | -0.751122983402322 |
| 68 | 17789 | 20273.8898930891 | -2666.48518493185 | -2484.8898930891 | -0.331567149409735 |
| 69 | 20520 | 19320.7733431684 | -1839.58315781802 | 1199.22665683155 | 0.566935581227682 |
| 70 | 22518 | 18071.6119185777 | -1554.6620451087 | 4446.38808142226 | 0.195608479914645 |
| 71 | 15572 | 16923.6835349286 | -1358.21542188005 | -1351.6835349286 | 0.134982435235803 |
| 72 | 11509 | 19836.2460455606 | 706.787143468736 | -8327.24604556057 | 1.41842718367463 |
| 73 | 25447 | 19628.2687863865 | 264.429108684158 | 5818.73121361346 | -0.303393890663685 |
| 74 | 24090 | 20637.0681093318 | 623.837430724692 | 3452.93189066824 | 0.246192740508689 |
| 75 | 27786 | 24742.2607045372 | 2301.42089169511 | 3043.73929546278 | 1.14982269207412 |
| 76 | 26195 | 25022.483543241 | 1327.87850460597 | 1172.51645675902 | -0.668539730547871 |
| 77 | 20516 | 23679.8324597026 | 39.8456708709375 | -3163.83245970261 | -0.885312009111272 |
| 78 | 22759 | 22113.0981708124 | -736.030694326834 | 645.901829187568 | -0.532730011919173 |
| 79 | 19028 | 21634.7581063078 | -611.612160398208 | -2606.7581063078 | 0.0852871052821534 |
| 80 | 16971 | 20354.3949683974 | -934.051594808297 | -3383.39496839739 | -0.220897776081142 |
| 81 | 20036 | 19036.5520929539 | -1118.87350012147 | 999.447907046087 | -0.126715897967117 |
| 82 | 22485 | 18251.6346566049 | -958.074787118192 | 4233.3653433951 | 0.110388168502649 |
| 83 | 18730 | 20300.4474713421 | 490.970715153167 | -1570.44747134215 | 0.995514662440418 |
| 84 | 14538 | 22239.3318675064 | 1189.43281575743 | -7701.3318675064 | 0.479639832666078 |
