Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.4006 |
R-squared | 0.1604 |
RMSE | 0.0835 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | -0.0326433382 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0466412893135417 |
2 | 0.044072034 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0300740828864583 |
3 | 0.0882361169 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0742381657864583 |
4 | -0.0355066885 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0495046396135417 |
5 | 0.0278273388 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0138293876864583 |
6 | -0.2004308914 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.214428842513542 |
7 | -0.0263424279 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0403403790135417 |
8 | 0.0655051718 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0515072206864583 |
9 | -0.0709357514 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0849337025135417 |
10 | -0.012918559 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0269165101135417 |
11 | 0.118395754 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.104397802886458 |
12 | -0.0330932173 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0470911684135417 |
13 | -0.0860908693 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.100088820413542 |
14 | 0.0210698391 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.00707188798645833 |
15 | 0.01494567 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.000947718886458332 |
16 | -0.190034757 | -0.131116500914286 | -0.0589182560857143 |
17 | -0.1242436027 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.138241553813542 |
18 | 0.0062305498 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.00776740131354167 |
19 | 0.0255507001 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0115527489864583 |
20 | 0.0268806628 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0128827116864583 |
21 | 0.1773155966 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.163317645486458 |
22 | 0.0660542373 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0520562861864583 |
23 | -0.0139591255 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0279570766135417 |
24 | -0.0373949697 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0513929208135417 |
25 | 0.0366137196 | -0.131116500914286 | 0.167730220514286 |
26 | 0.019350449 | -0.131116500914286 | 0.150466949914286 |
27 | 0.0837801497 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0697821985864583 |
28 | -0.0369814175 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0509793686135417 |
29 | -0.111311701 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.125309652113542 |
30 | 0.1156912701 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.101693318986458 |
31 | 0.0961044085 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0821064573864583 |
32 | 0.0671607829 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0531628317864583 |
33 | -0.0791409595 | -0.131116500914286 | 0.0519755414142857 |
34 | -0.1831923744 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.197190325513542 |
35 | 0.0242315729 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0102336217864583 |
36 | 0.0682600023 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0542620511864583 |
37 | 0.0345855796 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0205876284864583 |
38 | 0.0463590447 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0323610935864583 |
39 | -0.0931151599 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.107113111013542 |
40 | 0.0760673553 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0620694041864583 |
41 | -0.0110651198 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0250630709135417 |
42 | 0.0284509336 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0144529824864583 |
43 | 0.0368261882 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0228282370864583 |
44 | -0.0058804482 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0198783993135417 |
45 | 0.0680750192 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0540770680864583 |
46 | 0.0157914001 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.00179344898645833 |
47 | 0.1121766425 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0981786913864583 |
48 | -0.0437664455 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0577643966135417 |
49 | 0.060326653 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0463287018864583 |
50 | 0.1028673441 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0888693929864583 |
51 | 0.0259509727 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0119530215864583 |
52 | 0.1348695746 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.120871623486458 |
53 | -0.096715318 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.110713269113542 |
54 | -0.1035936648 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.117591615913542 |
55 | 0.0950389075 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0810409563864583 |
56 | 0.0359719068 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0219739556864583 |
57 | 0.1520609453 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.138062994186458 |
58 | -0.0022505636 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0162485147135417 |
59 | -0.0277954311 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0417933822135417 |
60 | 0.0653827593 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0513848081864583 |
61 | 0.0443888626 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0303909114864583 |
62 | 0.1010961169 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0870981657864583 |
63 | -0.0029750276 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0169729787135417 |
64 | -0.0752062699 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0892042210135417 |
65 | -0.0525843352 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0665822863135417 |
66 | 0.0229004195 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.00890246838645833 |
67 | 0.1009621422 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0869641910864583 |
68 | -0.0289088246 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0429067757135417 |
69 | 0.0208474516 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.00684950048645833 |
70 | 0.0788578228 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0648598716864583 |
71 | 0.0549314322 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0409334810864583 |
72 | -0.0321652782 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0461632293135417 |
73 | 0.0646729207 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0506749695864583 |
74 | -0.0010757027 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0150736538135417 |
75 | -0.1458885691 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.159886520213542 |
76 | -0.0677816324 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0817795835135417 |
77 | -0.0098770369 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0238749880135417 |
78 | 0.0501991563 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0362012051864583 |
79 | -0.1271063631 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.141104314213542 |
80 | 0.0582277708 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0442298196864583 |
81 | 0.0595552648 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0455573136864583 |
82 | 0.0885041253 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0745061741864583 |
83 | 0.0004433607 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0135545904135417 |
84 | 0.0379810835 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0239831323864583 |
85 | 0.0681769863 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0541790351864583 |
86 | -0.0520908486 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0660887997135417 |
87 | 0.0666010623 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0526031111864583 |
88 | 0.0677173945 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0537194433864583 |
89 | 0.1251127483 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.111114797186458 |
90 | -0.0218349286 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.0358328797135417 |
91 | 0.0178312442 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.00383329308645833 |
92 | 0.0199663138 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.00596836268645833 |
93 | 0.088436301 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0744383498864583 |
94 | 0.0646054028 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0506074516864583 |
95 | 0.1233912353 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.109393284186458 |
96 | 0.0673308704 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0533329192864583 |
97 | 0.0232412696 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.00924331848645833 |
98 | -0.1570633927 | -0.131116500914286 | -0.0259468917857143 |
99 | -0.134923147 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.148921098113542 |
100 | -0.2920959272 | 0.0139979511135417 | -0.306093878313542 |
101 | -0.3111517877 | -0.131116500914286 | -0.180035286785714 |
102 | -0.2363887781 | -0.131116500914286 | -0.105272277185714 |
103 | 0.0334524402 | 0.0139979511135417 | 0.0194544890864583 |