| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 24 | 25.1903556387449 | -0.610047262420502 | -0.450144547718309 | -0.963023421655199 |
| 3 | 24 | 24.4733601347727 | -0.620940151387968 | -0.451543461463715 | -0.0198827854267806 |
| 4 | 31 | 30.1787841830944 | 0.239771363709969 | -0.427215740355950 | 1.14921667958191 |
| 5 | 25 | 26.2288129291087 | -0.440533594326057 | -0.434942891838708 | -0.742713084483823 |
| 6 | 28 | 28.0210582884723 | -0.0379749772177109 | -0.432166432667586 | 0.38919316971834 |
| 7 | 24 | 24.9779342291042 | -0.614616794780569 | -0.435004490680034 | -0.518059771009083 |
| 8 | 25 | 25.2721263558739 | -0.433603178356616 | -0.434334791448820 | 0.155563788639703 |
| 9 | 16 | 17.7024380419771 | -1.88716416120165 | -0.438451521005782 | -1.2160653434482 |
| 10 | 17 | 17.194661835341 | -1.60237634158497 | -0.437829359413632 | 0.234408638890516 |
| 11 | 11 | 12.0599508647134 | -2.33761696390631 | -0.439073054851426 | -0.599236086482824 |
| 12 | 12 | 12.0330231837167 | -1.85429295790152 | -0.438438707548212 | 0.391572297318048 |
| 13 | 39 | 24.3167885329999 | 0.94738486405003 | 12.3192947927676 | 2.81025303082098 |
| 14 | 19 | 20.7925806847687 | 0.032237798145887 | -1.23088084425629 | -0.634235368158009 |
| 15 | 14 | 16.076950823633 | -0.962808959179362 | -1.24834167170857 | -0.80328836083839 |
| 16 | 15 | 16.0796115596703 | -0.759554864089283 | -1.24853109004327 | 0.163313662388561 |
| 17 | 7 | 9.29693109312882 | -2.02819363283425 | -1.24409994266194 | -1.01806081797757 |
| 18 | 12 | 12.357988819427 | -0.956214024631568 | -1.24758122260851 | 0.860231737992992 |
| 19 | 12 | 12.9736476978211 | -0.625112611362688 | -1.24845160259970 | 0.265731064749389 |
| 20 | 14 | 14.8177763312605 | -0.104967215997169 | -1.24952582485189 | 0.417490374580361 |
| 21 | 9 | 10.9127548237295 | -0.905485232257669 | -1.24823620557461 | -0.642567275388757 |
| 22 | 8 | 9.36107559993452 | -1.04161831882235 | -1.24806543412147 | -0.109276555287163 |
| 23 | 4 | 5.70482027844626 | -1.59246359821649 | -1.24752759291244 | -0.442183509147414 |
| 24 | 7 | 7.63241270569157 | -0.850841309577437 | -1.24809114321748 | 0.595335122492025 |
| 25 | 3 | -5.43772082590198 | -3.37485503107380 | 10.5211638642697 | -2.25361024116694 |
| 26 | 5 | 3.93071454974965 | -0.74602263931394 | -0.748788387677978 | 1.93339134881815 |
| 27 | 0 | 1.11503877430278 | -1.18091753484906 | -0.753605878263642 | -0.350091592608624 |
| 28 | -2 | -1.07083210373207 | -1.39270865507962 | -0.753406384682896 | -0.169955612780373 |
| 29 | 6 | 5.38557999839507 | 0.261575214782769 | -0.757629669224546 | 1.32683300598187 |
| 30 | 11 | 10.8505477484856 | 1.35805819265193 | -0.760190168034108 | 0.879651443606117 |
| 31 | 9 | 10.1238682238577 | 0.918798706430092 | -0.759362534990196 | -0.352478426150297 |
| 32 | 17 | 16.7611642055105 | 2.12364484507238 | -0.761144704950777 | 0.96696643627517 |
| 33 | 21 | 21.3335011438028 | 2.63956010549129 | -0.76173987876042 | 0.414095543860203 |
| 34 | 21 | 22.0906176054539 | 2.24294606516569 | -0.761383608398902 | -0.318358221409514 |
| 35 | 41 | 39.168793558609 | 5.36863380120591 | -0.763568994312551 | 2.50904945708690 |
| 36 | 57 | 55.7956487522097 | 7.7407032271021 | -0.764859726135171 | 1.90414715922798 |
| 37 | 65 | 58.3741914581075 | 6.66692930425877 | 7.51358395362737 | -0.926778159402315 |
| 38 | 68 | 68.1725670864185 | 7.31633559516851 | -0.644943931141612 | 0.48938205121411 |
| 39 | 73 | 73.9215005208736 | 6.98674708849556 | -0.647655874052798 | -0.265134064217428 |
| 40 | 71 | 73.0252437697251 | 5.32548263576433 | -0.646469895810642 | -1.33322574914109 |
| 41 | 71 | 72.6422213727454 | 4.12241690687484 | -0.644169740685577 | -0.965138447656826 |
| 42 | 70 | 71.5534156617387 | 3.02429414196163 | -0.64225073362856 | -0.881106963016065 |
| 43 | 69 | 70.3757828419728 | 2.13892316051264 | -0.641002576810647 | -0.710526565190972 |
| 44 | 65 | 66.6630095671488 | 0.9059792295439 | -0.63963810437744 | -0.989577579553343 |
| 45 | 57 | 59.1164306015566 | -0.874945083090986 | -0.638100990657305 | -1.42949902586407 |
| 46 | 57 | 57.7278640607268 | -0.98316365242145 | -0.638028262186549 | -0.0868679558690346 |
| 47 | 57 | 57.5051067301631 | -0.822946802362558 | -0.638112069065936 | 0.128610899515467 |
| 48 | 55 | 55.7934821405912 | -1.01019234046785 | -0.638035842242919 | -0.150310111429313 |
| 49 | 65 | 57.2375227417504 | -0.49801498783661 | 7.33857965424223 | 0.434439157825238 |
| 50 | 65 | 64.3999146470969 | 1.0957633912927 | -0.5927434710817 | 1.21757324718585 |
| 51 | 64 | 64.7279652975532 | 0.934262810075358 | -0.593801557162885 | -0.129862427695030 |
| 52 | 60 | 61.3479053684302 | 0.0250841990802132 | -0.5932838941088 | -0.729690949199987 |
| 53 | 43 | 46.2353318657163 | -3.16506613022563 | -0.588421804687931 | -2.55958571065827 |
| 54 | 47 | 46.9169092491301 | -2.35449711859742 | -0.58955092345406 | 0.650444582346629 |
| 55 | 40 | 41.1802299743272 | -3.06714919028493 | -0.58875010331673 | -0.571951867356779 |
| 56 | 31 | 32.5590830818117 | -4.23738691622008 | -0.587717809587045 | -0.939284314023068 |
| 57 | 27 | 27.6969061074955 | -4.36903032551721 | -0.587627243821579 | -0.105668979398577 |
| 58 | 24 | 24.4001876604050 | -4.14309341284519 | -0.587748273612354 | 0.181363988632838 |
| 59 | 23 | 23.0921035779440 | -3.54575062302940 | -0.58799732923217 | 0.479509129300897 |
| 60 | 17 | 17.8794595760055 | -3.89697179387457 | -0.58788336264238 | -0.281941902964288 |
