Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 16198.1 | 14541.5294089165 | 1073.59713231006 | 16781.0734587735 | -1656.57059108355 |
2 | 17535.2 | 18034.0913871055 | 201.368466260902 | 16834.9401466336 | 498.891387105494 |
3 | 16571.8 | 17539.1529272871 | -1284.35976178088 | 16888.8068344937 | 967.35292728715 |
4 | 16198.9 | 16329.3896639022 | -875.20587797414 | 16943.6162140719 | 130.489663902208 |
5 | 16554.2 | 16735.4675155467 | -625.493109196818 | 16998.4255936501 | 181.267515546679 |
6 | 19554.2 | 20729.7217395293 | 1319.37384566924 | 17059.3044148014 | 1175.52173952935 |
7 | 15903.8 | 14909.1134640115 | -221.696699964191 | 17120.1832359527 | -994.686535988501 |
8 | 18003.8 | 18801.7014653872 | 28.1186737630300 | 17177.7798608498 | 797.901465387207 |
9 | 18329.6 | 17964.3887831537 | 1459.43473109948 | 17235.3764857468 | -365.211216846314 |
10 | 16260.7 | 15210.3475507611 | 42.2169725697458 | 17268.8354766692 | -1050.35244923894 |
11 | 14851.9 | 14629.0877718107 | -2227.58223940231 | 17302.2944675916 | -222.81222818925 |
12 | 18174.1 | 17869.0339261935 | 1110.22805941285 | 17368.9380143936 | -305.066073806451 |
13 | 18406.6 | 18304.0213064943 | 1073.59713231006 | 17435.5815611956 | -102.578693505708 |
14 | 18466.5 | 19205.6584654816 | 201.368466260902 | 17525.9730682575 | 739.158465481632 |
15 | 16016.5 | 15700.9951864616 | -1284.35976178088 | 17616.3645753193 | -315.504813538410 |
16 | 17428.5 | 18018.4229266358 | -875.20587797414 | 17713.7829513383 | 589.922926635791 |
17 | 17167.2 | 17148.6917818394 | -625.493109196818 | 17811.2013273574 | -18.5082181605867 |
18 | 19630 | 20045.8321495583 | 1319.37384566924 | 17894.7940047724 | 415.832149558348 |
19 | 17183.6 | 16610.5100177768 | -221.696699964191 | 17978.3866821874 | -573.089982223235 |
20 | 18344.7 | 18613.0197569495 | 28.1186737630300 | 18048.2615692874 | 268.319756949524 |
21 | 19301.4 | 19025.2288125131 | 1459.43473109948 | 18118.1364563875 | -276.17118748694 |
22 | 18147.5 | 18047.9841501739 | 42.2169725697458 | 18204.7988772563 | -99.515849826068 |
23 | 16192.9 | 16321.9209412771 | -2227.58223940231 | 18291.4612981252 | 129.020941277126 |
24 | 18374.4 | 17231.891120929 | 1110.22805941285 | 18406.6808196581 | -1142.50887907099 |
25 | 20515.2 | 21434.9025264988 | 1073.59713231006 | 18521.9003411911 | 919.702526498844 |
26 | 18957.2 | 19055.9917096258 | 201.368466260902 | 18657.0398241133 | 98.7917096257552 |
27 | 16471.5 | 15435.1804547453 | -1284.35976178088 | 18792.1793070356 | -1036.31954525472 |
28 | 18746.8 | 19463.8354715590 | -875.20587797414 | 18904.9704064152 | 717.035471558975 |
29 | 19009.5 | 19626.7316034021 | -625.493109196818 | 19017.7615057947 | 617.231603402088 |
30 | 19211.2 | 18051.078719645 | 1319.37384566924 | 19051.9474346858 | -1160.12128035501 |
31 | 20547.7 | 22230.9633363874 | -221.696699964191 | 19086.1333635768 | 1683.26333638738 |
32 | 19325.8 | 19678.2404352319 | 28.1186737630300 | 18945.2408910050 | 352.440435231947 |
33 | 20605.5 | 20947.2168504673 | 1459.43473109948 | 18804.3484184332 | 341.716850467295 |
34 | 20056.9 | 21588.9007055521 | 42.2169725697458 | 18482.6823218782 | 1532.00070555209 |
35 | 16141.4 | 16349.3660140792 | -2227.58223940231 | 18161.0162253231 | 207.966014079200 |
36 | 20359.8 | 21894.0243770564 | 1110.22805941285 | 17715.3475635307 | 1534.22437705643 |
37 | 19711.6 | 21079.9239659516 | 1073.59713231006 | 17269.6789017383 | 1368.32396595160 |
38 | 15638.6 | 14292.3404503966 | 201.368466260902 | 16783.4910833425 | -1346.25954960336 |
39 | 14384.5 | 13756.0564968343 | -1284.35976178088 | 16297.3032649466 | -628.443503165694 |
40 | 13855.6 | 12717.4337702552 | -875.20587797414 | 15868.9721077189 | -1138.16622974480 |
41 | 14308.3 | 13801.4521587055 | -625.493109196818 | 15440.6409504913 | -506.847841294488 |
42 | 15290.6 | 14098.2155709001 | 1319.37384566924 | 15163.6105834306 | -1192.38442909987 |
43 | 14423.8 | 14182.7164835942 | -221.696699964191 | 14886.5802163700 | -241.083516405781 |
44 | 13779.7 | 12693.6714616933 | 28.1186737630300 | 14837.6098645437 | -1086.02853830673 |
45 | 15686.3 | 15124.5257561831 | 1459.43473109948 | 14788.6395127174 | -561.774243816913 |
46 | 14733.8 | 14505.0248316716 | 42.2169725697458 | 14920.3581957586 | -228.775168328393 |
47 | 12522.5 | 12220.5053606025 | -2227.58223940231 | 15052.0768787999 | -301.994639397548 |
48 | 16189.4 | 15986.1285804780 | 1110.22805941285 | 15282.4433601091 | -203.271419521974 |
49 | 16059.1 | 15531.7930262715 | 1073.59713231006 | 15512.8098414184 | -527.306973728451 |
50 | 16007.1 | 16019.4814050775 | 201.368466260902 | 15793.3501286616 | 12.3814050774836 |
51 | 15806.8 | 16824.0693458760 | -1284.35976178088 | 16073.8904159048 | 1017.26934587604 |
52 | 15160 | 14841.5191951544 | -875.20587797414 | 16353.6866828197 | -318.480804845576 |
53 | 15692.1 | 15376.2101594622 | -625.493109196818 | 16633.4829497346 | -315.889840537775 |
54 | 18908.9 | 19588.3929484716 | 1319.37384566924 | 16910.0332058591 | 679.492948471627 |
55 | 16969.9 | 16974.9132379805 | -221.696699964191 | 17186.5834619837 | 5.01323798051089 |
56 | 16997.5 | 16506.1439674894 | 28.1186737630300 | 17460.7373587476 | -491.356032510641 |
57 | 19858.9 | 20523.474013389 | 1459.43473109948 | 17734.8912555115 | 664.574013388989 |
58 | 17681.2 | 17314.4743037075 | 42.2169725697458 | 18005.7087237227 | -366.725696292495 |
59 | 16006.9 | 15964.8560474683 | -2227.58223940231 | 18276.5261919340 | -42.0439525316579 |
60 | 19539.9 | 19425.0688449506 | 1110.22805941285 | 18544.5030956365 | -114.831155049382 |