Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.859089779897674 |
beta | 0.0739551466119535 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 299.5 | 239.394497863248 | 60.105502136752 |
14 | 347.4 | 339.492568454785 | 7.90743154521482 |
15 | 338.3 | 339.929368367977 | -1.62936836797678 |
16 | 327.7 | 329.223847139343 | -1.52384713934293 |
17 | 351.6 | 353.166328513730 | -1.56632851373035 |
18 | 396.6 | 400.389465951146 | -3.78946595114559 |
19 | 438.8 | 384.599468387819 | 54.2005316121809 |
20 | 395.6 | 427.763334305495 | -32.1633343054951 |
21 | 363.5 | 393.901916821003 | -30.4019168210031 |
22 | 378.8 | 345.076323015715 | 33.7236769842847 |
23 | 357 | 410.295475302627 | -53.2954753026268 |
24 | 369 | 383.104615914129 | -14.1046159141288 |
25 | 464.8 | 456.976411932666 | 7.82358806733362 |
26 | 479.1 | 502.592180774858 | -23.4921807748580 |
27 | 431.3 | 470.502913550706 | -39.202913550706 |
28 | 366.5 | 420.938862378819 | -54.4388623788188 |
29 | 326.3 | 389.460350164271 | -63.1603501642712 |
30 | 355.1 | 369.585850194136 | -14.4858501941362 |
31 | 331.6 | 338.228916187246 | -6.62891618724552 |
32 | 261.3 | 298.551363583577 | -37.2513635835773 |
33 | 249 | 241.829900212188 | 7.17009978781158 |
34 | 205.5 | 217.967924422901 | -12.4679244229012 |
35 | 235.6 | 211.957644808095 | 23.6423551919051 |
36 | 240.9 | 241.98904722745 | -1.08904722745021 |
37 | 264.9 | 316.562591234604 | -51.6625912346038 |
38 | 253.8 | 289.312575917534 | -35.5125759175336 |
39 | 232.3 | 226.570098552231 | 5.72990144776912 |
40 | 193.8 | 198.202426353210 | -4.40242635320968 |
41 | 177 | 196.401736377519 | -19.4017363775191 |
42 | 213.2 | 211.679691597586 | 1.52030840241380 |
43 | 207.2 | 186.898687006962 | 20.301312993038 |
44 | 180.6 | 159.470671269898 | 21.1293287301018 |
45 | 188.6 | 156.301135563512 | 32.2988644364878 |
46 | 175.4 | 149.994593438554 | 25.4054065614463 |
47 | 199 | 182.750228339167 | 16.2497716608326 |
48 | 179.6 | 203.617164709325 | -24.0171647093253 |
49 | 225.8 | 250.581684813321 | -24.7816848133213 |
50 | 234 | 249.622954887637 | -15.6229548876367 |
51 | 200.2 | 211.965074818564 | -11.7650748185640 |
52 | 183.6 | 168.214511591807 | 15.3854884081933 |
53 | 178.2 | 183.631681264515 | -5.43168126451542 |
54 | 203.2 | 217.078693406992 | -13.8786934069917 |
55 | 208.5 | 183.956032762703 | 24.5439672372974 |
56 | 191.8 | 162.800100601192 | 28.999899398808 |
57 | 172.8 | 170.976629955543 | 1.82337004445708 |
58 | 148 | 138.591946465025 | 9.40805353497475 |
59 | 159.4 | 156.372321819668 | 3.02767818033197 |
60 | 154.5 | 159.424241468732 | -4.92424146873239 |
61 | 213.2 | 223.114591521913 | -9.91459152191297 |
62 | 196.4 | 237.594179120147 | -41.1941791201465 |
63 | 182.8 | 178.262882364703 | 4.53711763529682 |
64 | 176.4 | 153.129849185552 | 23.2701508144476 |
65 | 153.6 | 173.674936082875 | -20.0749360828750 |
66 | 173.2 | 193.709097448662 | -20.5090974486619 |
67 | 171 | 160.240503322417 | 10.7594966775835 |
68 | 151.2 | 126.930608984476 | 24.2693910155242 |
69 | 161.9 | 125.973456778233 | 35.9265432217675 |
70 | 157.2 | 124.881635601938 | 32.3183643980615 |
71 | 201.7 | 163.826966358072 | 37.8730336419277 |
72 | 236.4 | 200.289538262072 | 36.1104617379277 |
73 | 356.1 | 305.732164758813 | 50.367835241187 |
74 | 398.3 | 378.625119516164 | 19.6748804838356 |
75 | 403.7 | 392.930042429074 | 10.7699575709265 |
76 | 384.6 | 391.087477668013 | -6.4874776680125 |
77 | 365.8 | 393.365923368252 | -27.5659233682523 |
78 | 368.1 | 419.833142168581 | -51.7331421685811 |
79 | 367.9 | 374.89222873197 | -6.99222873197033 |
80 | 347 | 338.053724532858 | 8.94627546714219 |
81 | 343.3 | 334.419745556591 | 8.88025444340911 |
82 | 292.9 | 316.710436241821 | -23.8104362418211 |
83 | 311.5 | 311.778835654345 | -0.278835654344562 |
84 | 300.9 | 316.353255060838 | -15.4532550608384 |
85 | 366.9 | 377.367067087161 | -10.4670670871610 |
86 | 356.9 | 387.667374574820 | -30.7673745748205 |
87 | 329.7 | 348.173219823229 | -18.4732198232289 |
88 | 316.2 | 307.708594744637 | 8.49140525536296 |
89 | 269 | 309.768950771735 | -40.7689507717352 |
90 | 289.3 | 310.533206458106 | -21.2332064581061 |
91 | 266.2 | 289.081745239821 | -22.8817452398206 |
92 | 253.6 | 230.811908838495 | 22.7880911615046 |
93 | 233.8 | 229.912707575474 | 3.88729242452641 |
94 | 228.4 | 193.843038149833 | 34.5569618501666 |
95 | 253.6 | 236.613931438545 | 16.9860685614551 |
96 | 260.1 | 249.222948841631 | 10.8770511583691 |
97 | 306.6 | 330.573061287800 | -23.9730612877995 |
98 | 309.2 | 322.565493664962 | -13.3654936649622 |
99 | 309.5 | 297.014609303718 | 12.4853906962820 |
100 | 271 | 286.173849460292 | -15.1738494602924 |
101 | 279.9 | 258.686836584542 | 21.2131634154579 |
102 | 317.9 | 317.114554808372 | 0.785445191628298 |
103 | 298.4 | 317.408207348347 | -19.0082073483469 |
104 | 246.7 | 272.208947367314 | -25.5089473673142 |
105 | 227.3 | 227.393941712298 | -0.0939417122979478 |
106 | 209.1 | 192.211763945066 | 16.8882360549335 |
107 | 259.9 | 216.191209606794 | 43.7087903932063 |
108 | 266 | 251.457918172993 | 14.5420818270065 |
109 | 320.6 | 331.840035391451 | -11.2400353914510 |
110 | 308.5 | 337.869127744946 | -29.3691277449465 |
111 | 282.2 | 302.798694924629 | -20.5986949246292 |
112 | 262.7 | 258.122653888003 | 4.57734611199737 |
113 | 263.5 | 252.470256166133 | 11.0297438338667 |
114 | 313.1 | 298.363296829439 | 14.7367031705608 |
115 | 284.3 | 307.831853745127 | -23.5318537451273 |
116 | 252.6 | 257.521597984580 | -4.92159798457968 |
117 | 250.3 | 234.973450068096 | 15.3265499319041 |
118 | 246.5 | 217.410790950303 | 29.0892090496972 |
119 | 312.7 | 258.405405469605 | 54.2945945303951 |
120 | 333.2 | 302.083089947340 | 31.1169100526596 |
121 | 446.4 | 397.551282945143 | 48.8487170548572 |
122 | 511.6 | 460.944893522612 | 50.6551064773881 |
123 | 515.5 | 509.240034140055 | 6.25996585994528 |
124 | 506.4 | 506.273724748613 | 0.126275251387142 |
125 | 483.2 | 512.512040675153 | -29.312040675153 |
126 | 522.3 | 536.512509971341 | -14.2125099713409 |
127 | 509.8 | 526.121695403856 | -16.3216954038557 |
128 | 460.7 | 495.489111659899 | -34.7891116598992 |
129 | 405.8 | 459.098776494406 | -53.2987764944056 |
130 | 375 | 389.123568567087 | -14.1235685670874 |
131 | 378.5 | 398.404206937121 | -19.9042069371205 |
132 | 406.8 | 372.216314957998 | 34.5836850420023 |
133 | 467.8 | 470.525458397287 | -2.72545839728718 |
134 | 469.8 | 483.954127951157 | -14.1541279511571 |
135 | 429.8 | 460.286358805320 | -30.4863588053195 |
136 | 355.8 | 412.522482908257 | -56.7224829082571 |
137 | 332.7 | 349.797741990305 | -17.0977419903055 |
138 | 378 | 371.218383121015 | 6.78161687898495 |
139 | 360.5 | 364.699360233611 | -4.19936023361089 |
140 | 334.7 | 328.78204248591 | 5.91795751409 |
141 | 319.5 | 314.244160340019 | 5.2558396599814 |
142 | 323.1 | 293.302654217216 | 29.7973457827839 |
143 | 363.6 | 335.501068763852 | 28.0989312361477 |
144 | 352.1 | 357.280238295066 | -5.18023829506632 |
145 | 411.9 | 412.695151719774 | -0.79515171977448 |
146 | 388.6 | 422.818141734829 | -34.2181417348292 |
147 | 416.4 | 374.983885952752 | 41.4161140472477 |
148 | 360.7 | 385.233692068623 | -24.5336920686227 |
149 | 338 | 357.730570008506 | -19.7305700085058 |
150 | 417.2 | 382.071973480155 | 35.1280265198452 |
151 | 388.4 | 401.97644570551 | -13.5764457055102 |
152 | 371.1 | 362.451954544012 | 8.64804545598793 |
153 | 331.5 | 353.362568993653 | -21.8625689936526 |
154 | 353.7 | 314.055525322435 | 39.6444746775654 |
155 | 396.7 | 366.573273416466 | 30.1267265835342 |
156 | 447 | 387.633049996948 | 59.3669500030517 |
157 | 533.5 | 505.446568820139 | 28.0534311798609 |
158 | 565.4 | 543.805181842573 | 21.5948181574265 |
159 | 542.3 | 566.284677040684 | -23.9846770406839 |
160 | 488.7 | 518.608917065626 | -29.908917065626 |
161 | 467.1 | 494.375879818437 | -27.2758798184374 |
162 | 531.3 | 526.697013795197 | 4.60298620480307 |
163 | 496.1 | 518.307088803149 | -22.2070888031488 |
164 | 444 | 478.743728919878 | -34.7437289198785 |
165 | 403.4 | 429.564768896736 | -26.1647688967365 |
166 | 386.3 | 396.442496697389 | -10.142496697389 |
167 | 394.1 | 402.898223963434 | -8.79822396343422 |
168 | 404.1 | 390.215762980853 | 13.8842370191471 |
169 | 462.1 | 457.23099268672 | 4.86900731328035 |
170 | 448.1 | 465.976857378014 | -17.8768573780137 |
171 | 432.3 | 436.831062875644 | -4.53106287564430 |
172 | 386.3 | 394.975926168384 | -8.67592616838436 |
173 | 395.2 | 380.646983570677 | 14.5530164293227 |
174 | 421.9 | 447.344541882730 | -25.4445418827305 |
175 | 382.9 | 401.403825092133 | -18.5038250921331 |
176 | 384.2 | 355.531190126330 | 28.6688098736704 |
177 | 345.5 | 358.342846127191 | -12.8428461271914 |
178 | 323.4 | 336.074088928867 | -12.6740889288669 |
179 | 372.6 | 337.534615886879 | 35.0653841131211 |
180 | 376 | 365.508201147855 | 10.4917988521452 |
181 | 462.7 | 427.900226617631 | 34.7997733823692 |
182 | 487 | 460.617349070091 | 26.3826509299093 |
183 | 444.2 | 475.650160482946 | -31.4501604829458 |
184 | 399.3 | 412.649923436822 | -13.3499234368217 |
185 | 394.9 | 399.846709607714 | -4.94670960771367 |
186 | 455.4 | 445.185206713036 | 10.2147932869642 |
187 | 414 | 434.151681288589 | -20.1516812885894 |
188 | 375.5 | 396.700404236917 | -21.2004042369169 |
189 | 347 | 350.842023269268 | -3.84202326926834 |
190 | 339.4 | 336.922931677305 | 2.47706832269495 |
191 | 385.8 | 359.682629003082 | 26.1173709969177 |
192 | 378.8 | 377.49388064792 | 1.30611935207986 |
193 | 451.8 | 435.823703111756 | 15.9762968882444 |
194 | 446.1 | 450.391656203322 | -4.29165620332213 |
195 | 422.5 | 428.182330339259 | -5.68233033925878 |
196 | 383.1 | 388.765698048713 | -5.66569804871318 |
197 | 352.8 | 383.132449695987 | -30.3324496959868 |
198 | 445.3 | 406.570294496037 | 38.7297055039631 |
199 | 367.5 | 415.337928552713 | -47.8379285527133 |
200 | 355.1 | 351.778118991755 | 3.32188100824504 |
201 | 326.2 | 328.814772864798 | -2.61477286479806 |
202 | 319.8 | 316.300613326789 | 3.49938667321084 |
203 | 331.8 | 342.794875426611 | -10.9948754266111 |
204 | 340.9 | 322.394464234047 | 18.5055357659534 |
205 | 394.1 | 395.827304834317 | -1.72730483431701 |
206 | 417.2 | 389.465527626702 | 27.7344723732983 |
207 | 369.9 | 393.743527649005 | -23.8435276490048 |
208 | 349.2 | 336.743250834798 | 12.4567491652016 |
209 | 321.4 | 342.370518648668 | -20.9705186486678 |
210 | 405.7 | 383.344972566581 | 22.3550274334191 |
211 | 342.9 | 364.568979412128 | -21.6689794121277 |
212 | 316.5 | 331.084163280832 | -14.5841632808317 |
213 | 284.2 | 291.148314350786 | -6.94831435078623 |
214 | 270.9 | 274.744405521449 | -3.84440552144861 |
215 | 288.8 | 291.392324176541 | -2.59232417654061 |
216 | 278.8 | 281.406239980988 | -2.60623998098799 |
217 | 324.4 | 331.548709542247 | -7.14870954224693 |
218 | 310.9 | 322.03403410479 | -11.1340341047900 |
219 | 299 | 280.536263762386 | 18.4637362376139 |
220 | 273 | 262.568392994379 | 10.4316070056209 |
221 | 279.3 | 259.188560635149 | 20.1114393648514 |
222 | 359.2 | 341.614145144379 | 17.5858548556214 |
223 | 305 | 312.287595026467 | -7.28759502646739 |
224 | 282.1 | 292.819733659708 | -10.7197336597077 |
225 | 250.3 | 258.189000392346 | -7.88900039234625 |
226 | 246.5 | 242.263819140545 | 4.23618085945469 |
227 | 257.9 | 267.392999763603 | -9.49299976360294 |
228 | 266.5 | 252.401108266266 | 14.0988917337345 |
229 | 315.9 | 318.240504504690 | -2.34050450469039 |
230 | 318.4 | 314.586220079017 | 3.81377992098322 |
231 | 295.4 | 293.341572567023 | 2.05842743297711 |
232 | 266.4 | 262.346943102054 | 4.05305689794619 |
233 | 245.8 | 256.644778866016 | -10.8447788660155 |
234 | 362.8 | 311.946964229095 | 50.8530357709055 |
235 | 324.9 | 309.635238925732 | 15.264761074268 |
236 | 294.2 | 312.431349656668 | -18.2313496566681 |
237 | 289.5 | 274.642196131005 | 14.8578038689951 |
238 | 295.2 | 284.308174910184 | 10.891825089816 |
239 | 290.3 | 317.984481049331 | -27.6844810493308 |
240 | 272 | 294.296944379872 | -22.2969443798723 |
241 | 307.4 | 327.848325620151 | -20.4483256201514 |
242 | 328.7 | 309.650289181224 | 19.0497108187762 |
243 | 292.9 | 302.360618874707 | -9.4606188747066 |
244 | 249.1 | 262.132597556559 | -13.0325975565586 |
245 | 230.4 | 238.948982446017 | -8.548982446017 |
246 | 361.5 | 304.359094641057 | 57.1409053589425 |
247 | 321.7 | 302.275735370039 | 19.4242646299612 |
248 | 277.2 | 304.030832271001 | -26.8308322710011 |
249 | 260.7 | 263.075734057070 | -2.37573405706956 |
250 | 251 | 255.841975116547 | -4.84197511654668 |
251 | 257.6 | 268.030371034543 | -10.4303710345427 |
252 | 241.8 | 258.485679976229 | -16.6856799762290 |
253 | 287.5 | 296.035494145975 | -8.53549414597478 |
254 | 292.3 | 293.311561388790 | -1.01156138878952 |
255 | 274.7 | 263.169720141407 | 11.5302798585933 |
256 | 254.2 | 240.204734992584 | 13.9952650074159 |
257 | 230 | 242.322756684355 | -12.3227566843547 |
258 | 339 | 314.957960267801 | 24.0420397321986 |
259 | 318.2 | 278.232862392812 | 39.9671376071882 |
260 | 287 | 291.531307526183 | -4.53130752618301 |
261 | 295.8 | 275.009248754181 | 20.7907512458190 |
262 | 284 | 290.631696408165 | -6.631696408165 |
263 | 271 | 303.683025011475 | -32.6830250114747 |
264 | 262.7 | 275.913992861356 | -13.2139928613565 |
265 | 340.6 | 319.589436458078 | 21.010563541922 |
266 | 379.4 | 347.180295443733 | 32.2197045562672 |
267 | 373.3 | 353.337564206285 | 19.9624357937149 |
268 | 355.2 | 344.482824624507 | 10.7171753754927 |
269 | 338.4 | 346.386849258154 | -7.986849258154 |
270 | 466.9 | 434.457290558637 | 32.4427094413634 |
271 | 451 | 414.312992794001 | 36.6870072059986 |
272 | 422 | 425.434687129450 | -3.43468712944951 |
273 | 429.2 | 420.40399481374 | 8.7960051862596 |
274 | 425.9 | 428.076834263778 | -2.17683426377778 |
275 | 460.7 | 447.786485345991 | 12.9135146540092 |
276 | 463.6 | 471.33139000913 | -7.73139000913011 |
277 | 541.4 | 534.286833737744 | 7.11316626225619 |
278 | 544.2 | 560.382466783197 | -16.1824667831972 |
279 | 517.5 | 529.019964978043 | -11.5199649780434 |
280 | 469.4 | 495.60527322686 | -26.2052732268602 |
281 | 439.4 | 464.597184716138 | -25.1971847161378 |
282 | 549 | 543.929070700797 | 5.07092929920282 |
283 | 533 | 499.478709552813 | 33.521290447187 |
284 | 506.1 | 500.636769458459 | 5.46323054154055 |
285 | 484 | 503.948495371552 | -19.9484953715518 |
286 | 457 | 482.529665212826 | -25.5296652128258 |
287 | 481.5 | 479.9684432083 | 1.53155679170021 |
288 | 469.5 | 485.767924492514 | -16.2679244925141 |
289 | 544.7 | 537.880885611893 | 6.81911438810675 |
290 | 541.2 | 554.822043823008 | -13.6220438230080 |
291 | 521.5 | 520.85957847172 | 0.64042152827983 |
292 | 469.7 | 491.138448912611 | -21.4384489126114 |
293 | 434.4 | 459.986404812567 | -25.5864048125666 |
294 | 542.6 | 538.843138031383 | 3.75686196861693 |
295 | 517.3 | 492.783469254944 | 24.5165307450561 |
296 | 485.7 | 477.190502868034 | 8.5094971319661 |
297 | 465.8 | 474.670553357688 | -8.87055335768804 |
298 | 447 | 457.818133261494 | -10.8181332614943 |
299 | 426.6 | 468.479232017238 | -41.8792320172377 |
300 | 411.6 | 428.489344879765 | -16.8893448797654 |
301 | 467.5 | 477.294693840822 | -9.79469384082205 |
302 | 484.5 | 470.000231579893 | 14.4997684201068 |
303 | 451.2 | 456.910849666036 | -5.71084966603627 |
304 | 417.4 | 412.922941889743 | 4.47705811025679 |
305 | 379.9 | 399.397346773819 | -19.4973467738193 |
306 | 484.7 | 483.953947729368 | 0.746052270631992 |
307 | 455 | 434.375737518072 | 20.6242624819278 |
308 | 420.8 | 409.07888172303 | 11.7211182769699 |
309 | 416.5 | 402.968496975434 | 13.5315030245664 |
310 | 376.3 | 402.609835981495 | -26.3098359814953 |
311 | 405.6 | 392.123908769078 | 13.4760912309223 |
312 | 405.8 | 403.266059598942 | 2.53394040105781 |
313 | 500.8 | 471.047019437011 | 29.7529805629895 |
314 | 514 | 504.953080580885 | 9.04691941911528 |
315 | 475.5 | 487.787069745690 | -12.2870697456895 |
316 | 430.1 | 442.623105111373 | -12.5231051113732 |
317 | 414.4 | 413.072440870974 | 1.32755912902644 |
318 | 538 | 521.652935370207 | 16.3470646297931 |
319 | 526 | 492.550562754175 | 33.4494372458245 |
320 | 488.5 | 482.10409993225 | 6.39590006775046 |
321 | 520.2 | 476.422603773408 | 43.7773962265922 |
322 | 504.4 | 503.104102004112 | 1.29589799588808 |
323 | 568.5 | 530.364401574544 | 38.1355984254559 |
324 | 610.6 | 571.140321084605 | 39.4596789153952 |
325 | 818 | 686.81618934528 | 131.183810654720 |
326 | 830.9 | 823.724004843686 | 7.17599515631389 |
327 | 835.9 | 820.606917966822 | 15.2930820331775 |
328 | 782 | 819.518193452945 | -37.5181934529445 |
329 | 762.3 | 789.272837104078 | -26.9728371040779 |
330 | 856.9 | 892.685744440066 | -35.7857444400662 |
331 | 820.9 | 834.922887967442 | -14.0228879674422 |
332 | 769.6 | 790.581584409861 | -20.9815844098612 |
333 | 752.2 | 775.608670422403 | -23.4086704224034 |
334 | 724.4 | 743.27748562043 | -18.8774856204301 |
335 | 723.1 | 761.808687252763 | -38.7086872527631 |
336 | 719.5 | 735.283368875808 | -15.7833688758084 |
337 | 817.4 | 811.443875160517 | 5.95612483948332 |
338 | 803.3 | 810.35817559438 | -7.05817559438037 |
339 | 752.5 | 782.314361775406 | -29.8143617754065 |
340 | 689 | 718.3247066874 | -29.3247066873996 |
341 | 630.4 | 680.416867311052 | -50.0168673110519 |
342 | 765.5 | 745.139600878037 | 20.3603991219634 |
343 | 757.7 | 724.593672493996 | 33.1063275060045 |
344 | 732.2 | 708.670098704652 | 23.5299012953485 |
345 | 702.6 | 723.332597474981 | -20.7325974749814 |
346 | 683.3 | 685.846963279467 | -2.54696327946715 |
347 | 709.5 | 708.558749420682 | 0.94125057931842 |
348 | 702.2 | 714.791441256038 | -12.5914412560384 |
349 | 784.8 | 792.42495525268 | -7.6249552526806 |
350 | 810.9 | 772.642717267078 | 38.2572827329222 |
351 | 755.6 | 778.006125333704 | -22.4061253337040 |
352 | 656.8 | 718.604237548373 | -61.8042375483727 |
353 | 615.1 | 645.968699821164 | -30.8686998211639 |
354 | 745.3 | 734.365737852872 | 10.9342621471280 |
355 | 694.1 | 704.226495241626 | -10.126495241626 |
356 | 675.7 | 643.77442214323 | 31.9255778567701 |
357 | 643.7 | 653.907727436926 | -10.2077274369261 |
358 | 622.1 | 623.190336538489 | -1.0903365384886 |
359 | 634.6 | 642.901459588552 | -8.30145958855155 |
360 | 588 | 633.956150404699 | -45.956150404699 |
361 | 689.7 | 676.17562668597 | 13.5243733140298 |
362 | 673.9 | 674.920955045504 | -1.02095504550380 |
363 | 647.9 | 629.390346445731 | 18.509653554269 |
364 | 568.8 | 593.584347262271 | -24.7843472622714 |
365 | 545.7 | 553.460535954125 | -7.76053595412498 |
366 | 632.6 | 665.417366198776 | -32.8173661987756 |
367 | 643.8 | 589.761490297839 | 54.0385097021606 |
368 | 593.1 | 589.472770007479 | 3.62722999252139 |
369 | 579.7 | 566.67461613441 | 13.0253838655896 |
370 | 546 | 555.993757927082 | -9.9937579270819 |
371 | 562.9 | 565.266721418102 | -2.36672141810209 |
372 | 572.5 | 554.717812381705 | 17.782187618295 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 662.72907376386 | 615.085169490331 | 710.37297803739 |
374 | 649.600323407577 | 584.775983773264 | 714.424663041891 |
375 | 609.557892278852 | 529.497099827506 | 689.618684730198 |
376 | 552.432900405948 | 458.035476354263 | 646.830324457633 |
377 | 538.257577684042 | 429.980386344299 | 646.534769023785 |
378 | 656.101380491767 | 534.16990139446 | 778.032859589073 |
379 | 625.713210163436 | 490.217064183838 | 761.209356143034 |
380 | 573.299566371783 | 424.242410480975 | 722.356722262591 |
381 | 549.881611806264 | 387.209851343412 | 712.553372269115 |
382 | 525.111610517392 | 348.732107793196 | 701.491113241588 |
383 | 545.02424463445 | 354.815823879371 | 735.23266538953 |
384 | 540.477524462648 | 336.298754010789 | 744.656294914508 |