| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1751 | 0.2201 | 0.4863 | -0.3807 | -0.473 | -0.5641 | -0.242 |
| (p-val) | (0.4659 ) | (0.2171 ) | (0.0016 ) | (0.1339 ) | (0.5402 ) | (0.1837 ) | (0.8313 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1818 | 0.2102 | 0.4858 | -0.3727 | -0.625 | -0.6385 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4564 ) | (0.2274 ) | (0.0017 ) | (0.1477 ) | (0.0031 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.2564 | 0.4426 | -0.4995 | -0.583 | -0.6647 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0839 ) | (0.0035 ) | (0.0012 ) | (0.0024 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.4509 | -0.4229 | -0.5333 | -0.6273 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0055 ) | (0.0026 ) | (0.0046 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -54.7660093017507 |
| -354.354063953912 |
| -510.134774984885 |
| 547.727977207703 |
| -112.500076082238 |
| 318.046845547704 |
| 605.609126517355 |
| 108.679837757776 |
| -1149.94574171273 |
| 625.864508871192 |
| -465.384569729975 |
| -352.47448669539 |
| 321.602675338662 |
| 895.425765199452 |
| -1523.85492621416 |
| 1968.21675270783 |
| -647.723275014838 |
| 42.7822774069878 |
| -135.407170854433 |
| -836.626104677806 |
| 318.384707532497 |
| -1214.21172023498 |
| -2513.76842991052 |
| -862.989149528827 |
| -539.738933138938 |
| 535.854177211678 |
| -483.442199589105 |
| 1003.45493921406 |
| -756.971777071584 |
| 1047.92638725952 |
| 1091.45949166329 |
| 1061.69506842261 |
| -281.222532814559 |
| -277.470180863485 |
| 1284.47369307801 |
| 2402.61304426171 |
| -429.058373352698 |
| -778.825432383547 |
| 326.281152155956 |
| 704.362391876095 |
| -766.097155484361 |
| 586.657268704526 |
| -687.585974186694 |
