Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 761 | 0 | 77 |
Trend | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Low-pass | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 186448 | 185050.824600083 | 1690.03762222191 | 186155.137777695 | -1397.17539991738 |
2 | 190530 | 192770.117494401 | -950.9576102756 | 189240.840115875 | 2240.11749440077 |
3 | 194207 | 194747.899711109 | 1227.03858932125 | 192439.06169957 | 540.899711109174 |
4 | 190855 | 188084.924561974 | -1966.12424123113 | 195591.199679257 | -2770.07543802614 |
5 | 200779 | 200654.053871007 | 1690.03762222191 | 199213.908506771 | -124.94612899315 |
6 | 204428 | 206171.632339207 | -950.9576102756 | 203635.325271068 | 1743.63233920737 |
7 | 207617 | 206029.850934608 | 1227.03858932125 | 207977.110476071 | -1587.14906539235 |
8 | 212071 | 214999.618670542 | -1966.12424123113 | 211108.505570689 | 2928.61867054229 |
9 | 214239 | 212403.753702267 | 1690.03762222191 | 214384.208675511 | -1835.2462977331 |
10 | 215883 | 215204.58744744 | -950.9576102756 | 217512.370162836 | -678.412552560214 |
11 | 223484 | 225398.190852133 | 1227.03858932125 | 220342.770558546 | 1914.19085213268 |
12 | 221529 | 222081.364653109 | -1966.12424123113 | 222942.759588122 | 552.364653109282 |
13 | 225247 | 223680.982033711 | 1690.03762222191 | 225122.980344067 | -1566.01796628867 |
14 | 226699 | 226851.316018484 | -950.9576102756 | 227497.641591792 | 152.316018483893 |
15 | 231406 | 231130.331066577 | 1227.03858932125 | 230454.630344102 | -275.668933423178 |
16 | 232324 | 233392.757069822 | -1966.12424123113 | 233221.367171409 | 1068.75706982211 |
17 | 237192 | 237080.277262301 | 1690.03762222191 | 235613.685115477 | -111.722737698932 |
18 | 236727 | 236666.273405189 | -950.9576102756 | 237738.684205087 | -60.7265948111308 |
19 | 240698 | 240326.278218719 | 1227.03858932125 | 239842.68319196 | -371.721781281201 |
20 | 240688 | 241575.917374155 | -1966.12424123113 | 241766.206867076 | 887.917374154757 |
21 | 245283 | 245401.030107625 | 1690.03762222191 | 243474.932270153 | 118.030107625294 |
22 | 243556 | 243113.46579255 | -950.9576102756 | 244949.491817725 | -442.534207449731 |
23 | 247826 | 248145.275375966 | 1227.03858932125 | 246279.686034712 | 319.275375966303 |
24 | 245798 | 245919.459485265 | -1966.12424123113 | 247642.664755967 | 121.459485264611 |
25 | 250479 | 250419.473221793 | 1690.03762222191 | 248848.489155986 | -59.5267782074225 |
26 | 249216 | 249739.51913421 | -950.9576102756 | 249643.438476066 | 523.519134209782 |
27 | 251896 | 252728.087187569 | 1227.03858932125 | 249836.87422311 | 832.087187568832 |
28 | 247616 | 247814.569507334 | -1966.12424123113 | 249383.554733897 | 198.569507333857 |
29 | 249994 | 249711.078414935 | 1690.03762222191 | 248586.883962843 | -282.921585064731 |
30 | 246552 | 245926.566874364 | -950.9576102756 | 248128.390735912 | -625.433125636075 |
31 | 248771 | 248148.455371613 | 1227.03858932125 | 248166.506039066 | -622.54462838688 |
32 | 247551 | 248915.86459789 | -1966.12424123113 | 248152.259643341 | 1364.86459789029 |
33 | 249745 | 249796.764538161 | 1690.03762222191 | 248003.197839617 | 51.7645381612529 |
34 | 245742 | 244716.987333436 | -950.9576102756 | 247717.970276839 | -1025.01266656377 |
35 | 249019 | 249341.706522121 | 1227.03858932125 | 247469.254888557 | 322.706522121327 |
36 | 245841 | 246355.975816114 | -1966.12424123113 | 247292.148425117 | 514.975816114369 |
37 | 248771 | 249017.499061895 | 1690.03762222191 | 246834.463315883 | 246.499061894894 |
38 | 244723 | 243923.987883825 | -950.9576102756 | 246472.969726451 | -799.012116175203 |
39 | 246878 | 246016.301494198 | 1227.03858932125 | 246512.659916481 | -861.69850580176 |
40 | 246014 | 247410.90632744 | -1966.12424123113 | 246583.217913791 | 1396.90632744011 |
41 | 248496 | 248697.832538264 | 1690.03762222191 | 246604.129839514 | 201.832538263698 |
42 | 244351 | 242998.700394303 | -950.9576102756 | 246654.257215973 | -1352.29960569739 |
43 | 248016 | 247868.486608209 | 1227.03858932125 | 246936.47480247 | -147.513391790882 |
44 | 246509 | 247416.707697809 | -1966.12424123113 | 247567.416543422 | 907.707697809237 |
45 | 249426 | 248853.445973205 | 1690.03762222191 | 248308.516404573 | -572.554026795289 |
46 | 247840 | 247547.545415393 | -950.9576102756 | 249083.412194883 | -292.45458460736 |
47 | 251035 | 250630.306632435 | 1227.03858932125 | 250212.654778243 | -404.693367564527 |
48 | 250161 | 251008.782987628 | -1966.12424123113 | 251279.341253604 | 847.78298762755 |
49 | 254278 | 254871.635721363 | 1690.03762222191 | 251994.326656415 | 593.635721363244 |
50 | 250801 | 250352.416664365 | -950.9576102756 | 252200.540945911 | -448.583335635223 |
51 | 253985 | 254990.993868892 | 1227.03858932125 | 251751.967541787 | 1005.99386889176 |
52 | 249174 | 249317.97717815 | -1966.12424123113 | 250996.147063081 | 143.977178150439 |
53 | 251287 | 250837.54800537 | 1690.03762222191 | 250046.414372408 | -449.451994630072 |
54 | 247947 | 247890.399958032 | -950.9576102756 | 248954.557652243 | -56.6000419677584 |
55 | 249992 | 250106.242918835 | 1227.03858932125 | 248650.718491843 | 114.242918835458 |
56 | 243805 | 240023.552781595 | -1966.12424123113 | 249552.571459636 | -3781.44721840532 |
57 | 255812 | 259426.839382925 | 1690.03762222191 | 250507.122994853 | 3614.83938292469 |
58 | 250417 | 250228.323721118 | -950.9576102756 | 251556.633889158 | -188.676278882456 |
59 | 253033 | 253159.102328647 | 1227.03858932125 | 251679.859082032 | 126.102328646666 |
60 | 248705 | 247760.490630309 | -1966.12424123113 | 251615.633610922 | -944.50936969096 |
61 | 253950 | 254597.446764155 | 1690.03762222191 | 251612.515613623 | 647.446764155437 |
62 | 251484 | 252811.525721479 | -950.9576102756 | 251107.431888797 | 1327.52572147909 |
63 | 251093 | 250566.368328979 | 1227.03858932125 | 250392.5930817 | -526.631671020936 |
64 | 245996 | 244172.716300125 | -1966.12424123113 | 249785.407941106 | -1823.28369987471 |
65 | 252721 | 254332.281896178 | 1690.03762222191 | 249419.680481601 | 1611.28189617753 |
66 | 248019 | 247666.33355966 | -950.9576102756 | 249322.624050616 | -352.666440340428 |
67 | 250464 | 250612.374749133 | 1227.03858932125 | 249088.586661546 | 148.374749132665 |
68 | 245571 | 243744.127198889 | -1966.12424123113 | 249363.997042343 | -1826.87280111149 |
69 | 252690 | 253578.591084769 | 1690.03762222191 | 250111.371293009 | 888.591084769025 |
70 | 250183 | 249722.472466656 | -950.9576102756 | 251594.48514362 | -460.527533344226 |
71 | 253639 | 251966.511016707 | 1227.03858932125 | 254084.450393972 | -1672.48898329321 |
72 | 254436 | 252817.165038397 | -1966.12424123113 | 258020.959202834 | -1618.83496160287 |
73 | 265280 | 266103.118230539 | 1690.03762222191 | 262766.844147239 | 823.1182305392 |
74 | 268705 | 271706.25859601 | -950.9576102756 | 266654.699014265 | 3001.25859601033 |
75 | 270643 | 269552.859157532 | 1227.03858932125 | 270506.102253147 | -1090.14084246795 |
76 | 271480 | 270784.232181658 | -1966.12424123113 | 274141.892059573 | -695.767818342312 |