Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[55])
43507-------
44472-------
45540-------
46496-------
47432-------
48452-------
49420-------
50435-------
51509-------
52441-------
53416-------
54490-------
55396-------
56463506.7083419.0176602.72420.18610.98810.76070.9881
57403528.0069435.7827629.07640.00770.89630.4080.9948
58448497.4463406.7946597.2090.16570.96820.51130.9769
59398429.5841345.0782523.33610.25450.35010.47990.7587
60387460.9324372.9297558.24870.06820.89750.57140.9045
61426472.9564383.8085571.40560.17490.95650.85410.9373
62428441.7877355.7038537.1910.38850.62720.55550.8266
63510503.9435411.6425605.57330.45350.92850.46120.9813
64437477.6629387.9024576.7570.21060.26120.76580.9469
65453461.445373.2904558.93550.43260.68840.81950.9059
66451514.2675420.9382616.9340.11360.87890.67840.988
67434449.5839362.622545.88370.37560.48850.86230.8623


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
560.0967-0.086301910.411700
570.0977-0.23680.161515626.73238768.57293.6407
580.1023-0.09940.14082444.94016660.694781.6131
590.1113-0.07350.124997.55375244.909472.4217
600.1077-0.16040.13135466.00325289.128272.7264
610.1062-0.09930.12592204.90554775.091169.102
620.1102-0.03120.1124190.09984120.092364.1879
630.10290.0120.099936.68113609.665960.0805
640.1058-0.08510.09821653.47363392.311258.2436
650.1078-0.01830.090271.31783060.211955.3192
660.1019-0.1230.09324002.77753145.899756.0883
670.1093-0.03470.0883242.85932903.979653.8886