Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	54.4392	37.3577	74.7272	0.0679	0.3654	0.2956	0.3654
62	49	51.2274	34.6739	71.0012	0.4126	0.8872	0.3181	0.251
63	58	64.2618	45.2514	86.5974	0.2913	0.9098	0.7087	0.7087
64	47	49.4157	32.9419	69.2182	0.4055	0.1978	0.4769	0.1978
65	42	49.5061	32.9973	69.3521	0.2293	0.5977	0.4414	0.2008
66	62	57.5992	39.659	78.8774	0.3426	0.9246	0.6641	0.4853
67	39	36.926	22.8921	54.2991	0.4075	0.0023	0.4967	0.0087
68	40	27.0666	15.2912	42.1813	0.0468	0.0609	0.7444	0
69	72	53.0873	35.9246	73.5906	0.0353	0.8945	0.4275	0.3193
70	70	61.0536	42.5259	82.9225	0.2113	0.1633	0.2113	0.6078
71	54	46.9065	30.8592	66.3012	0.2367	0.0098	0.0636	0.1311
72	65	53.9523	36.6165	74.6372	0.1476	0.4982	0.3507	0.3507

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.1901	-0.2836	0	238.3687	0	0
62	0.1969	-0.0435	0.1635	4.9615	121.6651	11.0302
63	0.1773	-0.0974	0.1415	39.2101	94.1801	9.7046
64	0.2045	-0.0489	0.1184	5.8355	72.0939	8.4908
65	0.2045	-0.1516	0.125	56.3413	68.9434	8.3032
66	0.1885	0.0764	0.1169	19.3669	60.6807	7.7898
67	0.24	0.0562	0.1082	4.3013	52.6265	7.2544
68	0.2849	0.4778	0.1544	167.2741	66.9574	8.1828
69	0.1971	0.3563	0.1769	357.6893	99.261	9.963
70	0.1828	0.1465	0.1738	80.0377	97.3386	9.866
71	0.211	0.1512	0.1718	50.318	93.064	9.647
72	0.1956	0.2048	0.1745	122.0524	95.4797	9.7714