Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[55])
43363-------
44365-------
45474-------
46373-------
47403-------
48384-------
49364-------
50361-------
51419-------
52352-------
53363-------
54410-------
55361-------
56383384.901314.0574469.81620.48250.70940.6770.7094
57342379.6165300.6206476.82720.22410.47280.02850.6463
58369385.6978296.2203498.80570.38620.77550.58710.6657
59361351.1773256.7026475.86850.43860.38970.20770.4386
60317352.0383253.1487484.43080.3020.44720.3180.4472
61386366.3924253.2767523.1030.40310.73160.51190.5269
62318352.0115239.0193510.99210.33750.33760.45590.4559
63407373.7693246.8424556.68410.36090.72490.3140.5544
64393373.6542242.1796566.20450.42190.36710.58720.5512
65404366.9432232.2801568.19950.35910.39980.51530.5231
66498387.717241.1888609.99790.16540.44290.42210.5931
67438356.5137216.6999572.84590.23020.09990.48380.4838


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
560.1126-0.004903.61400
570.1307-0.09910.0521414.9974709.305726.6328
580.1496-0.04330.0491278.8166565.809323.7867
590.18120.0280.043896.486448.478521.1773
600.1919-0.09950.0551227.679604.318624.5829
610.21820.05350.0547384.4596567.675423.8259
620.2304-0.09660.06071156.783651.833625.531
630.24970.08890.06421104.2763708.38926.6156
640.26290.05180.0628374.2618671.263725.9088
650.27980.1010.06671373.2054741.457927.2297
660.29250.28440.086512162.33541779.719542.1867
670.30960.22860.09836640.01342184.74446.7412