Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.994130042677923 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 1.3146 | 1.2998 | 0.0147999999999999 |
3 | 1.3225 | 1.31451312463163 | 0.00798687536836673 |
4 | 1.3321 | 1.32245311738245 | 0.0096468826175491 |
5 | 1.3339 | 1.33204337321074 | 0.00185662678925613 |
6 | 1.3496 | 1.33388910167998 | 0.0157108983200158 |
7 | 1.3647 | 1.34950777769737 | 0.0151922223026302 |
8 | 1.3674 | 1.36461082230346 | 0.00278917769654385 |
9 | 1.3647 | 1.36738362764596 | -0.00268362764595742 |
10 | 1.3481 | 1.36471575277975 | -0.0166157527797501 |
11 | 1.3612 | 1.34819753375969 | 0.0130024662403085 |
12 | 1.3626 | 1.36112367607809 | 0.00147632392191244 |
13 | 1.3711 | 1.36259133404158 | 0.00850866595841504 |
14 | 1.37 | 1.37105005449396 | -0.00105005449395623 |
15 | 1.377 | 1.37000616377507 | 0.00699383622493444 |
16 | 1.3945 | 1.37695894647984 | 0.0175410535201581 |
17 | 1.3917 | 1.39439703476445 | -0.0026970347644526 |
18 | 1.4084 | 1.39171583147896 | 0.0166841685210366 |
19 | 1.4244 | 1.40830206464283 | 0.0160979353571729 |
20 | 1.4014 | 1.42430550580648 | -0.02290550580648 |
21 | 1.4018 | 1.40153445434152 | 0.000265545658475252 |
22 | 1.3926 | 1.40179844125832 | -0.00919844125831748 |
23 | 1.3857 | 1.39265399445762 | -0.00695399445761602 |
24 | 1.3857 | 1.38574081965068 | -4.0819650684254e-05 |
25 | 1.3803 | 1.38570023960961 | -0.00540023960960734 |
26 | 1.3912 | 1.38033169917604 | 0.0108683008239625 |
27 | 1.4031 | 1.391136203538 | 0.0119637964620001 |
28 | 1.3934 | 1.40302977302536 | -0.00962977302535806 |
29 | 1.4016 | 1.39345652635668 | 0.0081434736433199 |
30 | 1.3861 | 1.40155219815726 | -0.0154521981572602 |
31 | 1.3859 | 1.38619070374372 | -0.000290703743715648 |
32 | 1.3896 | 1.38590170641857 | 0.00369829358143114 |
33 | 1.4089 | 1.38957829117451 | 0.0193217088254876 |
34 | 1.4101 | 1.4087865823938 | 0.00131341760619508 |
35 | 1.3958 | 1.41009229029471 | -0.0142922902947056 |
36 | 1.3833 | 1.39588389513406 | -0.0125838951340647 |
37 | 1.3936 | 1.38337386692738 | 0.0102261330726174 |
38 | 1.3874 | 1.39353997303529 | -0.00613997303529379 |
39 | 1.397 | 1.38743604137968 | 0.00956395862032422 |
40 | 1.3856 | 1.39694385997107 | -0.0113438599710687 |
41 | 1.378 | 1.3856665879739 | -0.00766658797389774 |
42 | 1.3705 | 1.37804500254421 | -0.00754500254421253 |
43 | 1.3726 | 1.37054428884293 | 0.00205571115707048 |
44 | 1.3648 | 1.37258793306324 | -0.00778793306324155 |
45 | 1.3611 | 1.36484571483471 | -0.00374571483470842 |
46 | 1.346 | 1.36112198718622 | -0.0151219871862203 |
47 | 1.3477 | 1.34608876541941 | 0.00161123458059165 |
48 | 1.3412 | 1.34769054212178 | -0.00649054212177602 |
49 | 1.3323 | 1.34123809920525 | -0.0089380992052519 |
50 | 1.3364 | 1.33235246626088 | 0.00404753373912459 |
51 | 1.312 | 1.33637624114969 | -0.0243762411496917 |
52 | 1.3074 | 1.31214308749522 | -0.00474308749522145 |
53 | 1.306 | 1.30742784172117 | -0.00142784172117172 |
54 | 1.3078 | 1.30600838136997 | 0.00179161863003396 |
55 | 1.2989 | 1.3077894832751 | -0.0088894832751043 |
56 | 1.285 | 1.29895218088744 | -0.0139521808874401 |
57 | 1.2801 | 1.28508189870636 | -0.00498189870635901 |
58 | 1.2725 | 1.28012924353279 | -0.00762924353278938 |
59 | 1.2715 | 1.27254478333394 | -0.00104478333393709 |
60 | 1.2697 | 1.27150613283358 | -0.001806132833581 |
61 | 1.2744 | 1.26971060192265 | 0.0046893980773488 |
62 | 1.2874 | 1.27437247343342 | 0.0130275265665805 |
63 | 1.2834 | 1.28732352897504 | -0.00392352897504189 |
64 | 1.2818 | 1.28342303094764 | -0.0016230309476355 |
65 | 1.28 | 1.2818095271224 | -0.00180952712239502 |
66 | 1.268 | 1.28001062184698 | -0.0120106218469815 |
67 | 1.27 | 1.26807050183765 | 0.00192949816234655 |
68 | 1.2713 | 1.26998867392813 | 0.00131132607186601 |
69 | 1.2693 | 1.27129230257192 | -0.00199230257192284 |
70 | 1.2613 | 1.26931169473107 | -0.00801169473106977 |
71 | 1.2611 | 1.26134702830615 | -0.000247028306148867 |
72 | 1.2704 | 1.26110145004561 | 0.0092985499543854 |
73 | 1.2711 | 1.27034541790861 | 0.000754582091389455 |
74 | 1.2836 | 1.27109557063533 | 0.0125044293646726 |
75 | 1.288 | 1.28352659953329 | 0.00447340046670752 |
76 | 1.286 | 1.28797374133018 | -0.00197374133017592 |
77 | 1.282 | 1.28601158577737 | -0.00401158577737304 |
78 | 1.2799 | 1.28202354783731 | -0.00212354783730695 |
79 | 1.279 | 1.27991246513518 | -0.000912465135176399 |
80 | 1.3016 | 1.2790053561314 | 0.0225946438685989 |
81 | 1.3133 | 1.30146737040478 | 0.011832629595216 |
82 | 1.3253 | 1.31323054296927 | 0.0120694570307318 |
83 | 1.3176 | 1.32522915280233 | -0.00762915280232868 |
84 | 1.3184 | 1.31764478280135 | 0.000755217198646685 |
85 | 1.3206 | 1.31839556690728 | 0.00220443309272489 |
86 | 1.3221 | 1.32058706007183 | 0.0015129399281737 |
87 | 1.3073 | 1.32209111910719 | -0.014791119107191 |
88 | 1.3028 | 1.3073868232379 | -0.00458682323790494 |
89 | 1.3069 | 1.30282692445665 | 0.00407307554334957 |
90 | 1.2992 | 1.30687609122039 | -0.00767609122039103 |
91 | 1.3033 | 1.29924505832786 | 0.00405494167213583 |
92 | 1.2931 | 1.30327619766544 | -0.0101761976654411 |
93 | 1.2897 | 1.293159733846 | -0.00345973384599696 |
94 | 1.285 | 1.28972030849002 | -0.00472030849002181 |
95 | 1.2817 | 1.28502770800938 | -0.00332770800938342 |
96 | 1.2844 | 1.281719533504 | 0.00268046649600451 |
97 | 1.2957 | 1.28438426577607 | 0.0113157342239349 |
98 | 1.3 | 1.29563357712304 | 0.00436642287696243 |
99 | 1.2828 | 1.29997436928406 | -0.0171743692840622 |
100 | 1.2703 | 1.28290081281473 | -0.012600812814731 |
101 | 1.2569 | 1.27037396623345 | -0.013473966233446 |
102 | 1.2572 | 1.25697909160675 | 0.000220908393250729 |
103 | 1.2637 | 1.25719870327716 | 0.00650129672284039 |
104 | 1.266 | 1.2636618376657 | 0.00233816233430129 |
105 | 1.2567 | 1.26598627508689 | -0.00928627508688562 |
106 | 1.2579 | 1.25675451003844 | 0.00114548996155905 |
107 | 1.2531 | 1.25789327602281 | -0.00479327602281265 |
108 | 1.2548 | 1.25312813632569 | 0.00167186367431293 |
109 | 1.2328 | 1.25479018623158 | -0.0219901862315834 |
110 | 1.2271 | 1.23292908145468 | -0.00582908145468375 |
111 | 1.2198 | 1.22713421645937 | -0.00733421645936594 |
112 | 1.2339 | 1.21984305153761 | 0.0140569484623927 |
113 | 1.2294 | 1.23381748631245 | -0.00441748631244709 |
114 | 1.2262 | 1.22942593045613 | -0.00322593045612507 |
115 | 1.2271 | 1.2262189360741 | 0.000881063925898706 |
116 | 1.2258 | 1.22709482819236 | -0.00129482819235704 |
117 | 1.2391 | 1.22580760058623 | 0.0132923994137715 |
118 | 1.2372 | 1.23902197418273 | -0.00182197418273322 |
119 | 1.2363 | 1.23721069491069 | -0.000910694910694732 |
120 | 1.2277 | 1.23630534574026 | -0.00860534574025906 |
121 | 1.2258 | 1.22775051301224 | -0.00195051301223703 |
122 | 1.2249 | 1.22581144942814 | -0.000911449428137923 |
123 | 1.2127 | 1.22490535016924 | -0.0122053501692445 |
124 | 1.2045 | 1.21277164488459 | -0.00827164488459453 |
125 | 1.201 | 1.20454855420246 | -0.00354855420245581 |
126 | 1.1942 | 1.20102082986172 | -0.00682082986172361 |
127 | 1.1959 | 1.19424003798019 | 0.00165996201981056 |
128 | 1.206 | 1.19589025609379 | 0.0101097439062126 |
129 | 1.2268 | 1.20594065623473 | 0.0208593437652664 |
130 | 1.2218 | 1.22667755654233 | -0.00487755654233135 |
131 | 1.2155 | 1.22182863104874 | -0.00632863104873937 |
132 | 1.2307 | 1.21553714879416 | 0.0151628512058366 |
133 | 1.2384 | 1.23061099471054 | 0.00778900528945936 |
134 | 1.2255 | 1.23835427887137 | -0.0128542788713693 |
135 | 1.2309 | 1.22557545406838 | 0.00532454593161913 |
136 | 1.2223 | 1.23086874514262 | -0.00856874514262218 |
137 | 1.236 | 1.22235029816829 | 0.013649701831709 |
138 | 1.2497 | 1.23591987683279 | 0.0137801231672112 |
139 | 1.2334 | 1.24961911126512 | -0.0162191112651155 |
140 | 1.227 | 1.23349520549093 | -0.00649520549092819 |
141 | 1.2428 | 1.22703812657903 | 0.0157618734209699 |
142 | 1.2349 | 1.2427074784757 | -0.00780747847570273 |
143 | 1.2492 | 1.23494582956545 | 0.0142541704345545 |
144 | 1.2587 | 1.24911632862789 | 0.00958367137211225 |
145 | 1.2686 | 1.25864374425806 | 0.00995625574194303 |
146 | 1.2698 | 1.26854155720371 | 0.00125844279629295 |
147 | 1.2969 | 1.26979261299449 | 0.0271073870055065 |
148 | 1.2746 | 1.29674088079516 | -0.0221408807951646 |
149 | 1.2727 | 1.27472996602534 | -0.00202996602534089 |
150 | 1.2924 | 1.27271191581393 | 0.019688084186066 |
151 | 1.3089 | 1.29228443178607 | 0.0166155682139257 |
152 | 1.3238 | 1.3088024673237 | 0.0149975326762979 |
153 | 1.3315 | 1.32371196512325 | 0.00778803487674606 |
154 | 1.3256 | 1.33145428456765 | -0.00585428456765058 |
155 | 1.3245 | 1.32563436440056 | -0.00113436440056325 |
156 | 1.329 | 1.32450665867062 | 0.00449334132938106 |
157 | 1.3321 | 1.32897362427816 | 0.00312637572183716 |
158 | 1.3311 | 1.33208164830794 | -0.00098164830794012 |
159 | 1.3339 | 1.33110576223367 | 0.00279423776632726 |
160 | 1.3373 | 1.33388359794356 | 0.00341640205643601 |
161 | 1.3486 | 1.33727994586573 | 0.0113200541342664 |
162 | 1.3432 | 1.34853355176535 | -0.00533355176534833 |
163 | 1.3535 | 1.34323130772124 | 0.0102686922787623 |
164 | 1.3544 | 1.35343972321457 | 0.000960276785429981 |
165 | 1.3615 | 1.35439436321625 | 0.00710563678374765 |
166 | 1.3583 | 1.36145829021533 | -0.00315829021533309 |
167 | 1.3585 | 1.35831853902877 | 0.000181460971225178 |
168 | 1.3384 | 1.35849893483184 | -0.0200989348318432 |
169 | 1.3296 | 1.33851797988968 | -0.00891797988968235 |
170 | 1.334 | 1.32965234816135 | 0.00434765183864871 |
171 | 1.3396 | 1.33397447946926 | 0.00562552053074405 |
172 | 1.3468 | 1.33956697843457 | 0.00723302156542993 |
173 | 1.3479 | 1.3467575424721 | 0.00114245752789888 |
174 | 1.3482 | 1.34789329382307 | 0.000306706176931071 |
175 | 1.3471 | 1.34819819964783 | -0.0010981996478312 |
176 | 1.3353 | 1.34710644638506 | -0.011806446385064 |
177 | 1.3356 | 1.33536930333641 | 0.000230696663594321 |
178 | 1.3338 | 1.33559864582043 | -0.00179864582043021 |
179 | 1.3519 | 1.3338105579742 | 0.0180894420257967 |
180 | 1.3471 | 1.35179381574733 | -0.00469381574732841 |
181 | 1.3548 | 1.34712755249811 | 0.00767244750188545 |
182 | 1.366 | 1.35475496306061 | 0.0112450369393919 |
183 | 1.3756 | 1.36593399211308 | 0.00966600788691929 |
184 | 1.3723 | 1.37554326094623 | -0.00324326094622873 |
185 | 1.3705 | 1.37231903780334 | -0.0018190378033387 |
186 | 1.3765 | 1.37051067767427 | 0.00598932232572724 |
187 | 1.3657 | 1.37646484293356 | -0.0107648429335601 |
188 | 1.361 | 1.3657631891686 | -0.00476318916859886 |
189 | 1.3557 | 1.36102795971714 | -0.00532795971713673 |
190 | 1.3662 | 1.35573127489615 | 0.0104687251038469 |
191 | 1.3582 | 1.36613854903042 | -0.00793854903042379 |
192 | 1.3668 | 1.35824659894401 | 0.00855340105599223 |
193 | 1.3641 | 1.36674979190084 | -0.00264979190084258 |
194 | 1.3548 | 1.36411555416537 | -0.00931555416537044 |
195 | 1.3525 | 1.35485468190538 | -0.00235468190538213 |
196 | 1.357 | 1.35251382188229 | 0.00448617811770835 |
197 | 1.3489 | 1.35697366632591 | -0.00807366632590978 |
198 | 1.3547 | 1.34894739207677 | 0.00575260792323418 |
199 | 1.3577 | 1.354666232437 | 0.00303376756299989 |
200 | 1.3626 | 1.35768219191388 | 0.00491780808612008 |
201 | 1.3519 | 1.36257113267642 | -0.0106711326764162 |
202 | 1.3567 | 1.35196263909339 | 0.00473736090661103 |
203 | 1.3726 | 1.35667219189366 | 0.0159278081063412 |
204 | 1.3649 | 1.37250650444618 | -0.0076065044461815 |
205 | 1.3607 | 1.36494464985647 | -0.00424464985646922 |
206 | 1.3572 | 1.3607249159135 | -0.00352491591350468 |
207 | 1.3718 | 1.35722069110598 | 0.0145793088940238 |
208 | 1.374 | 1.37171442007901 | 0.00228557992099354 |
209 | 1.376 | 1.37398658374341 | 0.00201341625659213 |
210 | 1.3675 | 1.3759881813325 | -0.00848818133250218 |
211 | 1.3691 | 1.36754982526216 | 0.00155017473783614 |
212 | 1.3847 | 1.36909090054045 | 0.015609099459553 |
213 | 1.3984 | 1.38460837525234 | 0.0137916247476637 |
214 | 1.3937 | 1.39831904375133 | -0.00461904375132915 |
215 | 1.3913 | 1.39372711358969 | -0.00242711358968917 |
216 | 1.3966 | 1.39131424705319 | 0.00528575294681288 |
217 | 1.3999 | 1.39656897285579 | 0.00333102714421263 |
218 | 1.4072 | 1.39988044701282 | 0.00731955298717524 |
219 | 1.4085 | 1.40715703453635 | 0.00134296546365142 |
220 | 1.4151 | 1.40849211685004 | 0.00660788314995653 |
221 | 1.4135 | 1.41506121200792 | -0.00156121200792048 |
222 | 1.4064 | 1.41350916424786 | -0.00710916424785712 |
223 | 1.4132 | 1.40644173049073 | 0.00675826950926939 |
224 | 1.4279 | 1.41316032924641 | 0.0147396707535905 |
225 | 1.4369 | 1.42781347876173 | 0.00908652123826514 |
226 | 1.4374 | 1.43684666250813 | 0.000553337491874695 |
227 | 1.4486 | 1.43739675193254 | 0.0112032480674622 |
228 | 1.4563 | 1.44853423741198 | 0.00776576258802453 |
229 | 1.4481 | 1.45625441530503 | -0.0081544153050348 |
230 | 1.4528 | 1.44814786606983 | 0.00465213393017305 |
231 | 1.4273 | 1.45277269217237 | -0.0254726921723734 |
232 | 1.4304 | 1.42744952361593 | 0.00295047638406953 |
233 | 1.435 | 1.43038268082955 | 0.00461731917045438 |
234 | 1.4442 | 1.43497289653353 | 0.00922710346647282 |
235 | 1.4389 | 1.44414583729645 | -0.00524583729644523 |
236 | 1.4406 | 1.43893079284105 | 0.00166920715895125 |
237 | 1.4338 | 1.44059020182522 | -0.00679020182521528 |
238 | 1.4433 | 1.43383985819492 | 0.0094601418050777 |
239 | 1.4405 | 1.44324446937134 | -0.00274446937134343 |
240 | 1.4398 | 1.44051610991808 | -0.000716109918081465 |
241 | 1.4276 | 1.43980420353466 | -0.012204203534657 |
242 | 1.4279 | 1.4276716381539 | 0.000228361846101643 |
243 | 1.4368 | 1.42789865952571 | 0.00890134047429081 |
244 | 1.4337 | 1.43674774951131 | -0.00304774951130682 |
245 | 1.4343 | 1.43371789015956 | 0.000582109840440159 |
246 | 1.456 | 1.43429658304008 | 0.0217034169599202 |
247 | 1.4541 | 1.4558726018687 | -0.0017726018687021 |
248 | 1.4647 | 1.45411040509732 | 0.0105895949026815 |
249 | 1.4757 | 1.46463783952986 | 0.0110621604701369 |
250 | 1.473 | 1.47563506559015 | -0.00263506559015014 |
251 | 1.4768 | 1.47301546772256 | 0.0037845322774448 |
252 | 1.4774 | 1.47677778495705 | 0.000622215042952678 |
253 | 1.4787 | 1.47739634762425 | 0.00130365237574703 |
254 | 1.5068 | 1.47869234761619 | 0.0281076523838084 |
255 | 1.512 | 1.50663500928008 | 0.00536499071991692 |
256 | 1.509 | 1.51196850773344 | -0.00296850773344093 |
257 | 1.5074 | 1.50901742501371 | -0.00161742501370532 |
258 | 1.5023 | 1.5074094942158 | -0.00510949421580231 |
259 | 1.4918 | 1.50232999251298 | -0.010529992512984 |
260 | 1.5071 | 1.49186181060665 | 0.0152381893933471 |
261 | 1.5083 | 1.5070105524786 | 0.00128944752140447 |
262 | 1.4969 | 1.50829243099808 | -0.0113924309980804 |
263 | 1.4968 | 1.49696687308375 | -0.000166873083753405 |
264 | 1.4815 | 1.49680097953788 | -0.0153009795378798 |
265 | 1.4863 | 1.48158981609687 | 0.0047101839031265 |
266 | 1.4957 | 1.48627235142151 | 0.00942764857849054 |
267 | 1.4875 | 1.4956446601052 | -0.00814466010519665 |
268 | 1.4965 | 1.48754780880722 | 0.00895219119277946 |
269 | 1.4868 | 1.49644745101976 | -0.00964745101975928 |
270 | 1.4922 | 1.48685663012575 | 0.00534336987424733 |
271 | 1.5037 | 1.49216863464688 | 0.0115313653531179 |
272 | 1.4966 | 1.50363231137751 | -0.00703231137751192 |
273 | 1.4984 | 1.49664127936766 | 0.0017587206323384 |
274 | 1.4862 | 1.49838967638495 | -0.0121896763849467 |
275 | 1.4867 | 1.48627155288015 | 0.00042844711985035 |
276 | 1.4761 | 1.48669748503369 | -0.0105974850336916 |
277 | 1.4658 | 1.47616220678487 | -0.010362206784869 |
278 | 1.4772 | 1.46586082571159 | 0.0113391742884104 |
279 | 1.48 | 1.47713343953086 | 0.00286656046914047 |
280 | 1.4788 | 1.47998317341238 | -0.00118317341238505 |
281 | 1.4785 | 1.47880694517744 | -0.000306945177435347 |
282 | 1.4874 | 1.47850180175509 | 0.00889819824490834 |
283 | 1.5019 | 1.48734776795606 | 0.0145522320439408 |
284 | 1.502 | 1.50181457901896 | 0.000185420981038797 |
285 | 1.5 | 1.50199891158675 | -0.00199891158675469 |
286 | 1.4921 | 1.5000117335257 | -0.00791173352570484 |
287 | 1.4971 | 1.49214644153814 | 0.00495355846186052 |
288 | 1.4918 | 1.49707092282324 | -0.0052709228232366 |
289 | 1.4869 | 1.49183094009202 | -0.00493094009202033 |
290 | 1.4864 | 1.4869289444079 | -0.000528944407897969 |
291 | 1.4881 | 1.4864031048811 | 0.00169689511890003 |
292 | 1.4864 | 1.48809003929807 | -0.0016900392980721 |
293 | 1.4765 | 1.48640992045855 | -0.00990992045855243 |
294 | 1.475 | 1.47655817081016 | -0.00155817081015663 |
295 | 1.4763 | 1.47500914639616 | 0.00129085360384362 |
296 | 1.4694 | 1.47629242274444 | -0.00689242274443624 |
297 | 1.4722 | 1.46944045822736 | 0.00275954177264426 |
298 | 1.4616 | 1.47218380160757 | -0.0105838016075661 |
299 | 1.4537 | 1.46166212646374 | -0.00796212646374173 |
300 | 1.4539 | 1.45374673734254 | 0.000153262657464737 |
301 | 1.4643 | 1.45389910035474 | 0.0104008996452583 |
302 | 1.4549 | 1.46423894716297 | -0.00933894716297101 |
303 | 1.465 | 1.45495481922128 | 0.0100451807787203 |
304 | 1.467 | 1.46494103521754 | 0.00205896478246359 |
305 | 1.4768 | 1.4669879139646 | 0.00981208603540051 |
306 | 1.4783 | 1.47674240347373 | 0.00155759652626841 |
307 | 1.478 | 1.47829085697487 | -0.000290856974865861 |
308 | 1.4658 | 1.47800170731803 | -0.0122017073180294 |
309 | 1.4705 | 1.46587162350121 | 0.00462837649878667 |
310 | 1.4712 | 1.47047283162748 | 0.000727168372518516 |
311 | 1.4671 | 1.47119573155269 | -0.00409573155268728 |
312 | 1.4611 | 1.46712404176942 | -0.00602404176941707 |
313 | 1.4561 | 1.46113536086809 | -0.00503536086809309 |
314 | 1.4594 | 1.4561295573534 | 0.00327044264660303 |
315 | 1.4545 | 1.45938080264124 | -0.00488080264124036 |
316 | 1.4522 | 1.4545286501032 | -0.0023286501032016 |
317 | 1.4473 | 1.45221366907672 | -0.00491366907672375 |
318 | 1.433 | 1.44732884302778 | -0.0143288430277753 |
319 | 1.4262 | 1.43308410969705 | -0.006884109697048 |
320 | 1.4335 | 1.42624040943012 | 0.00725959056987802 |
321 | 1.422 | 1.43345738651318 | -0.0114573865131791 |
322 | 1.4314 | 1.42206725436985 | 0.00933274563014508 |
323 | 1.4272 | 1.43134521718145 | -0.00414521718145333 |
324 | 1.4364 | 1.42722433224795 | 0.00917566775205403 |
325 | 1.4268 | 1.43634613922189 | -0.00954613922189362 |
326 | 1.427 | 1.42685603542982 | 0.000143964570176847 |
327 | 1.4324 | 1.42699915493412 | 0.00540084506588268 |
328 | 1.4323 | 1.43236829726996 | -6.82972699601603e-05 |
329 | 1.433 | 1.43230040090206 | 0.000699599097940373 |
330 | 1.4243 | 1.43299589338315 | -0.00869589338315269 |
331 | 1.4112 | 1.42435104452304 | -0.0131510445230363 |
332 | 1.4101 | 1.41127719607009 | -0.00117719607009104 |
333 | 1.4072 | 1.41010691009069 | -0.00290691009069111 |
334 | 1.4294 | 1.40721706343817 | 0.0221829365618285 |
335 | 1.4293 | 1.4292697871091 | 3.02128908962196e-05 |
336 | 1.417 | 1.42929982265162 | -0.0122998226516198 |
337 | 1.4166 | 1.41707219943403 | -0.000472199434033982 |
338 | 1.4202 | 1.41660277179053 | 0.0035972282094745 |
339 | 1.4357 | 1.42017888442393 | 0.0155211155760675 |
340 | 1.437 | 1.43560889171398 | 0.00139110828602251 |
341 | 1.441 | 1.43699183425373 | 0.00400816574626939 |
342 | 1.4384 | 1.44097647223813 | -0.00257647223812985 |
343 | 1.4303 | 1.43841512378208 | -0.00811512378207935 |
344 | 1.4138 | 1.43034763543026 | -0.0165476354302641 |
345 | 1.4053 | 1.41389713391376 | -0.00859713391375694 |
346 | 1.4104 | 1.40535046480917 | 0.00504953519083418 |
347 | 1.4229 | 1.41037035944393 | 0.0125296405560664 |
348 | 1.4269 | 1.42282645154467 | 0.00407354845532515 |
349 | 1.4227 | 1.42687608844442 | -0.00417608844441775 |
350 | 1.4229 | 1.42272451346094 | 0.000175486539057967 |
351 | 1.4191 | 1.42289896990151 | -0.00379896990150508 |
352 | 1.4223 | 1.41912229979119 | 0.00317770020881025 |
353 | 1.4217 | 1.42228134703539 | -0.000581347035391921 |
354 | 1.409 | 1.42170341248229 | -0.0127034124822869 |
355 | 1.413 | 1.40907456848912 | 0.00392543151088431 |
356 | 1.4089 | 1.41297695788456 | -0.00407695788456031 |
357 | 1.3991 | 1.40892393156879 | -0.00982393156878625 |
358 | 1.3975 | 1.39915766605904 | -0.00165766605904394 |
359 | 1.3901 | 1.39750973042902 | -0.00740973042902082 |
360 | 1.399 | 1.39014349480139 | 0.00885650519861358 |
361 | 1.3901 | 1.39894801269246 | -0.00884801269246149 |
362 | 1.4019 | 1.39015193745689 | 0.0117480625431101 |
363 | 1.3897 | 1.40183103937425 | -0.0121310393742549 |
364 | 1.4009 | 1.3897712086834 | 0.0111287913166007 |
365 | 1.4049 | 1.40083467446993 | 0.00406532553007466 |
366 | 1.4096 | 1.40487613671264 | 0.00472386328736185 |
367 | 1.4134 | 1.40957227112411 | 0.00382772887589211 |
368 | 1.4058 | 1.41337753139486 | -0.00757753139485806 |
369 | 1.4096 | 1.40584447978589 | 0.00375552021410552 |
370 | 1.394 | 1.40957795525662 | -0.0155779552566211 |
371 | 1.4029 | 1.39409144193252 | 0.0088085580674786 |
372 | 1.3978 | 1.40284829414007 | -0.0050482941400749 |
373 | 1.3858 | 1.39782963327115 | -0.0120296332711516 |
374 | 1.3932 | 1.3858706134339 | 0.00732938656609816 |
375 | 1.392 | 1.39315697681366 | -0.00115697681366012 |
376 | 1.384 | 1.39200679140452 | -0.00800679140451876 |
377 | 1.389 | 1.38404699952383 | 0.00495300047616887 |
378 | 1.385 | 1.38897092609859 | -0.00397092609858873 |
379 | 1.4004 | 1.38502330916673 | 0.0153766908332722 |
380 | 1.3969 | 1.40030973948105 | -0.00340973948105394 |
381 | 1.4102 | 1.39692001502523 | 0.0132799849747667 |
382 | 1.3959 | 1.41012204705496 | -0.0142220470549603 |
383 | 1.3866 | 1.39598348280925 | -0.00938348280924495 |
384 | 1.4177 | 1.38665508064362 | 0.0310449193563771 |
385 | 1.4095 | 1.41751776764831 | -0.00801776764831064 |
386 | 1.4207 | 1.40954706395391 | 0.0111529360460862 |
387 | 1.4238 | 1.42063453274139 | 0.00316546725860634 |
388 | 1.422 | 1.42378141884229 | -0.00178141884228755 |
389 | 1.4098 | 1.42201045685258 | -0.0122104568525769 |
390 | 1.3856 | 1.40987167486061 | -0.0242716748606078 |
391 | 1.3901 | 1.38574247369557 | 0.00435752630443287 |
392 | 1.3908 | 1.39007442150656 | 0.000725578493437018 |
393 | 1.401 | 1.39079574088521 | 0.0102042591147902 |
394 | 1.3972 | 1.40094010143449 | -0.00374010143449288 |
395 | 1.3771 | 1.3972219542358 | -0.0201219542358007 |
396 | 1.369 | 1.3772181150126 | -0.00821811501260084 |
397 | 1.3612 | 1.36904823998439 | -0.007848239984392 |
398 | 1.3494 | 1.36124606883376 | -0.0118460688337618 |
399 | 1.3518 | 1.34946953591849 | 0.00233046408151139 |
400 | 1.3563 | 1.3517863202753 | 0.00451367972469918 |
401 | 1.3623 | 1.35627350489265 | 0.00602649510734943 |
402 | 1.3683 | 1.36226462473092 | 0.00603537526908182 |
403 | 1.3574 | 1.36826457260475 | -0.0108645726047478 |
404 | 1.3425 | 1.35746377457751 | -0.0149637745775124 |
405 | 1.3363 | 1.34258783671815 | -0.00628783671814714 |
406 | 1.3322 | 1.33633690933318 | -0.00413690933318378 |
407 | 1.3403 | 1.33222428348123 | 0.00807571651876882 |
408 | 1.3223 | 1.34025259588869 | -0.0179525958886897 |
409 | 1.3275 | 1.32240538097169 | 0.00509461902831276 |
410 | 1.3266 | 1.32747009480373 | -0.000870094803731458 |
411 | 1.2992 | 1.32660510741936 | -0.0274051074193642 |
412 | 1.3125 | 1.29936086681096 | 0.0131391331890416 |
413 | 1.3232 | 1.31242287384893 | 0.0107771261510687 |
414 | 1.305 | 1.32313673872944 | -0.0181367387294387 |
415 | 1.2947 | 1.3051064618823 | -0.0104064618823034 |
416 | 1.2932 | 1.29476108548712 | -0.00156108548712308 |
417 | 1.2966 | 1.29320916350519 | 0.00339083649481453 |
418 | 1.3058 | 1.29658009593449 | 0.00921990406551076 |
419 | 1.3196 | 1.30574587955662 | 0.0138541204433782 |
420 | 1.3173 | 1.31951867690426 | -0.0022186769042627 |
421 | 1.3276 | 1.31731302353874 | 0.0102869764612605 |
422 | 1.3273 | 1.3275396158872 | -0.000239615887199118 |
423 | 1.3231 | 1.32730140653503 | -0.00420140653503154 |
424 | 1.3255 | 1.32312466207705 | 0.00237533792294653 |
425 | 1.3496 | 1.32548605686777 | 0.0241139431322333 |
426 | 1.3425 | 1.34945845218295 | -0.00695845218294666 |
427 | 1.3392 | 1.34254084581734 | -0.00334084581734162 |
428 | 1.3246 | 1.33921961062237 | -0.0146196106223673 |
429 | 1.3308 | 1.32468581649042 | 0.00611418350958126 |
430 | 1.3193 | 1.33076411000374 | -0.0114641100037394 |
431 | 1.3295 | 1.31936729383646 | 0.0101327061635423 |
432 | 1.3607 | 1.32944052144726 | 0.0312594785527374 |
433 | 1.3494 | 1.36051650819499 | -0.0111165081949851 |
434 | 1.3507 | 1.34946525342868 | 0.00123474657132494 |
435 | 1.3558 | 1.35069275209032 | 0.0051072479096772 |
436 | 1.3549 | 1.35577002067274 | -0.000870020672736782 |
437 | 1.3671 | 1.35490510698422 | 0.0121948930157818 |
438 | 1.313 | 1.36702841649845 | -0.0540284164984501 |
439 | 1.2942 | 1.31331714449903 | -0.0191171444990252 |
440 | 1.3042 | 1.29431221682233 | 0.0098877831776707 |
441 | 1.2905 | 1.30414195913474 | -0.0136419591347372 |
442 | 1.2782 | 1.29058007771791 | -0.0123800777179104 |
443 | 1.2786 | 1.27827267052785 | 0.000327329472151749 |
444 | 1.2783 | 1.27859807858997 | -0.00029807858996822 |
445 | 1.2565 | 1.2783017497086 | -0.0218017497086018 |
446 | 1.2658 | 1.25662797534034 | 0.00917202465966405 |
447 | 1.2555 | 1.26574616060669 | -0.0102461606066908 |
448 | 1.2555 | 1.25556014452548 | -6.01445254764243e-05 |
449 | 1.2615 | 1.2555003530458 | 0.0059996469542023 |
450 | 1.2596 | 1.26146478232843 | -0.00186478232843124 |
451 | 1.2644 | 1.25961094619268 | 0.00478905380731698 |
452 | 1.2782 | 1.26437188845854 | 0.013828111541462 |
453 | 1.2795 | 1.27811882957541 | 0.0013811704245934 |
454 | 1.2763 | 1.27949189258855 | -0.00319189258855324 |
455 | 1.2798 | 1.27631873627327 | 0.00348126372672852 |
456 | 1.2591 | 1.2797795651305 | -0.0206795651304972 |
457 | 1.2705 | 1.25922138816476 | 0.0112786118352448 |
458 | 1.2596 | 1.27043379502987 | -0.0108337950298747 |
459 | 1.2634 | 1.25966359391446 | 0.00373640608553849 |
460 | 1.2765 | 1.26337806745574 | 0.01312193254426 |
461 | 1.2823 | 1.27642297481598 | 0.00587702518401811 |
462 | 1.2833 | 1.28226550211299 | 0.00103449788701115 |
463 | 1.2938 | 1.28329392754155 | 0.0105060724584465 |
464 | 1.2967 | 1.29373832980305 | 0.0029616701969537 |
465 | 1.3008 | 1.29668261512234 | 0.00411738487765811 |
466 | 1.2796 | 1.30077583112649 | -0.0211758311264896 |
467 | 1.2829 | 1.27972430122497 | 0.00317569877502777 |
468 | 1.2818 | 1.28288135878372 | -0.00108135878372262 |
469 | 1.2849 | 1.28180634752991 | 0.00309365247008953 |
470 | 1.276 | 1.28488184039203 | -0.00888184039203122 |
471 | 1.2816 | 1.27605213602404 | 0.00554786397595741 |
472 | 1.3111 | 1.28156743427523 | 0.0295325657247674 |
473 | 1.326 | 1.31092664509958 | 0.0150733549004161 |
474 | 1.3174 | 1.32591152005003 | -0.0085115200500343 |
475 | 1.299 | 1.31744996225944 | -0.0184499622594396 |
476 | 1.2795 | 1.29910830049106 | -0.0196083004910568 |
477 | 1.2984 | 1.27961509988704 | 0.018784900112959 |
478 | 1.291 | 1.29828973343804 | -0.00728973343803752 |
479 | 1.293 | 1.29104279042417 | 0.00195720957582934 |
480 | 1.3182 | 1.29298851126332 | 0.0252114887366806 |
481 | 1.327 | 1.31805200963709 | 0.00894799036291016 |
482 | 1.3085 | 1.32694747567845 | -0.0184474756784514 |
483 | 1.3173 | 1.30860828589493 | 0.0086917141050673 |
484 | 1.3262 | 1.31724898000915 | 0.00895101999085268 |
485 | 1.3394 | 1.32614745789466 | 0.0132525421053353 |
486 | 1.3684 | 1.33932220814343 | 0.0290777918565674 |
487 | 1.3617 | 1.36822931460278 | -0.00652931460278183 |
488 | 1.3595 | 1.36173832679806 | -0.0022383267980608 |
489 | 1.3332 | 1.35951313888278 | -0.0263131388827775 |
490 | 1.3582 | 1.33335445700225 | 0.0248455429977483 |
491 | 1.3866 | 1.35805415772296 | 0.0285458422770406 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
492 | 1.38643243712411 | 1.36625522943545 | 1.40660964481277 |
493 | 1.38643243712411 | 1.35798118236346 | 1.41488369188476 |
494 | 1.38643243712411 | 1.35162111590817 | 1.42124375834005 |
495 | 1.38643243712411 | 1.34625554983623 | 1.42660932441199 |
496 | 1.38643243712411 | 1.34152657492899 | 1.43133829931923 |