Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.994130042677923
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
21.31461.29980.0147999999999999
31.32251.314513124631630.00798687536836673
41.33211.322453117382450.0096468826175491
51.33391.332043373210740.00185662678925613
61.34961.333889101679980.0157108983200158
71.36471.349507777697370.0151922223026302
81.36741.364610822303460.00278917769654385
91.36471.36738362764596-0.00268362764595742
101.34811.36471575277975-0.0166157527797501
111.36121.348197533759690.0130024662403085
121.36261.361123676078090.00147632392191244
131.37111.362591334041580.00850866595841504
141.371.37105005449396-0.00105005449395623
151.3771.370006163775070.00699383622493444
161.39451.376958946479840.0175410535201581
171.39171.39439703476445-0.0026970347644526
181.40841.391715831478960.0166841685210366
191.42441.408302064642830.0160979353571729
201.40141.42430550580648-0.02290550580648
211.40181.401534454341520.000265545658475252
221.39261.40179844125832-0.00919844125831748
231.38571.39265399445762-0.00695399445761602
241.38571.38574081965068-4.0819650684254e-05
251.38031.38570023960961-0.00540023960960734
261.39121.380331699176040.0108683008239625
271.40311.3911362035380.0119637964620001
281.39341.40302977302536-0.00962977302535806
291.40161.393456526356680.0081434736433199
301.38611.40155219815726-0.0154521981572602
311.38591.38619070374372-0.000290703743715648
321.38961.385901706418570.00369829358143114
331.40891.389578291174510.0193217088254876
341.41011.40878658239380.00131341760619508
351.39581.41009229029471-0.0142922902947056
361.38331.39588389513406-0.0125838951340647
371.39361.383373866927380.0102261330726174
381.38741.39353997303529-0.00613997303529379
391.3971.387436041379680.00956395862032422
401.38561.39694385997107-0.0113438599710687
411.3781.3856665879739-0.00766658797389774
421.37051.37804500254421-0.00754500254421253
431.37261.370544288842930.00205571115707048
441.36481.37258793306324-0.00778793306324155
451.36111.36484571483471-0.00374571483470842
461.3461.36112198718622-0.0151219871862203
471.34771.346088765419410.00161123458059165
481.34121.34769054212178-0.00649054212177602
491.33231.34123809920525-0.0089380992052519
501.33641.332352466260880.00404753373912459
511.3121.33637624114969-0.0243762411496917
521.30741.31214308749522-0.00474308749522145
531.3061.30742784172117-0.00142784172117172
541.30781.306008381369970.00179161863003396
551.29891.3077894832751-0.0088894832751043
561.2851.29895218088744-0.0139521808874401
571.28011.28508189870636-0.00498189870635901
581.27251.28012924353279-0.00762924353278938
591.27151.27254478333394-0.00104478333393709
601.26971.27150613283358-0.001806132833581
611.27441.269710601922650.0046893980773488
621.28741.274372473433420.0130275265665805
631.28341.28732352897504-0.00392352897504189
641.28181.28342303094764-0.0016230309476355
651.281.2818095271224-0.00180952712239502
661.2681.28001062184698-0.0120106218469815
671.271.268070501837650.00192949816234655
681.27131.269988673928130.00131132607186601
691.26931.27129230257192-0.00199230257192284
701.26131.26931169473107-0.00801169473106977
711.26111.26134702830615-0.000247028306148867
721.27041.261101450045610.0092985499543854
731.27111.270345417908610.000754582091389455
741.28361.271095570635330.0125044293646726
751.2881.283526599533290.00447340046670752
761.2861.28797374133018-0.00197374133017592
771.2821.28601158577737-0.00401158577737304
781.27991.28202354783731-0.00212354783730695
791.2791.27991246513518-0.000912465135176399
801.30161.27900535613140.0225946438685989
811.31331.301467370404780.011832629595216
821.32531.313230542969270.0120694570307318
831.31761.32522915280233-0.00762915280232868
841.31841.317644782801350.000755217198646685
851.32061.318395566907280.00220443309272489
861.32211.320587060071830.0015129399281737
871.30731.32209111910719-0.014791119107191
881.30281.3073868232379-0.00458682323790494
891.30691.302826924456650.00407307554334957
901.29921.30687609122039-0.00767609122039103
911.30331.299245058327860.00405494167213583
921.29311.30327619766544-0.0101761976654411
931.28971.293159733846-0.00345973384599696
941.2851.28972030849002-0.00472030849002181
951.28171.28502770800938-0.00332770800938342
961.28441.2817195335040.00268046649600451
971.29571.284384265776070.0113157342239349
981.31.295633577123040.00436642287696243
991.28281.29997436928406-0.0171743692840622
1001.27031.28290081281473-0.012600812814731
1011.25691.27037396623345-0.013473966233446
1021.25721.256979091606750.000220908393250729
1031.26371.257198703277160.00650129672284039
1041.2661.26366183766570.00233816233430129
1051.25671.26598627508689-0.00928627508688562
1061.25791.256754510038440.00114548996155905
1071.25311.25789327602281-0.00479327602281265
1081.25481.253128136325690.00167186367431293
1091.23281.25479018623158-0.0219901862315834
1101.22711.23292908145468-0.00582908145468375
1111.21981.22713421645937-0.00733421645936594
1121.23391.219843051537610.0140569484623927
1131.22941.23381748631245-0.00441748631244709
1141.22621.22942593045613-0.00322593045612507
1151.22711.22621893607410.000881063925898706
1161.22581.22709482819236-0.00129482819235704
1171.23911.225807600586230.0132923994137715
1181.23721.23902197418273-0.00182197418273322
1191.23631.23721069491069-0.000910694910694732
1201.22771.23630534574026-0.00860534574025906
1211.22581.22775051301224-0.00195051301223703
1221.22491.22581144942814-0.000911449428137923
1231.21271.22490535016924-0.0122053501692445
1241.20451.21277164488459-0.00827164488459453
1251.2011.20454855420246-0.00354855420245581
1261.19421.20102082986172-0.00682082986172361
1271.19591.194240037980190.00165996201981056
1281.2061.195890256093790.0101097439062126
1291.22681.205940656234730.0208593437652664
1301.22181.22667755654233-0.00487755654233135
1311.21551.22182863104874-0.00632863104873937
1321.23071.215537148794160.0151628512058366
1331.23841.230610994710540.00778900528945936
1341.22551.23835427887137-0.0128542788713693
1351.23091.225575454068380.00532454593161913
1361.22231.23086874514262-0.00856874514262218
1371.2361.222350298168290.013649701831709
1381.24971.235919876832790.0137801231672112
1391.23341.24961911126512-0.0162191112651155
1401.2271.23349520549093-0.00649520549092819
1411.24281.227038126579030.0157618734209699
1421.23491.2427074784757-0.00780747847570273
1431.24921.234945829565450.0142541704345545
1441.25871.249116328627890.00958367137211225
1451.26861.258643744258060.00995625574194303
1461.26981.268541557203710.00125844279629295
1471.29691.269792612994490.0271073870055065
1481.27461.29674088079516-0.0221408807951646
1491.27271.27472996602534-0.00202996602534089
1501.29241.272711915813930.019688084186066
1511.30891.292284431786070.0166155682139257
1521.32381.30880246732370.0149975326762979
1531.33151.323711965123250.00778803487674606
1541.32561.33145428456765-0.00585428456765058
1551.32451.32563436440056-0.00113436440056325
1561.3291.324506658670620.00449334132938106
1571.33211.328973624278160.00312637572183716
1581.33111.33208164830794-0.00098164830794012
1591.33391.331105762233670.00279423776632726
1601.33731.333883597943560.00341640205643601
1611.34861.337279945865730.0113200541342664
1621.34321.34853355176535-0.00533355176534833
1631.35351.343231307721240.0102686922787623
1641.35441.353439723214570.000960276785429981
1651.36151.354394363216250.00710563678374765
1661.35831.36145829021533-0.00315829021533309
1671.35851.358318539028770.000181460971225178
1681.33841.35849893483184-0.0200989348318432
1691.32961.33851797988968-0.00891797988968235
1701.3341.329652348161350.00434765183864871
1711.33961.333974479469260.00562552053074405
1721.34681.339566978434570.00723302156542993
1731.34791.34675754247210.00114245752789888
1741.34821.347893293823070.000306706176931071
1751.34711.34819819964783-0.0010981996478312
1761.33531.34710644638506-0.011806446385064
1771.33561.335369303336410.000230696663594321
1781.33381.33559864582043-0.00179864582043021
1791.35191.33381055797420.0180894420257967
1801.34711.35179381574733-0.00469381574732841
1811.35481.347127552498110.00767244750188545
1821.3661.354754963060610.0112450369393919
1831.37561.365933992113080.00966600788691929
1841.37231.37554326094623-0.00324326094622873
1851.37051.37231903780334-0.0018190378033387
1861.37651.370510677674270.00598932232572724
1871.36571.37646484293356-0.0107648429335601
1881.3611.3657631891686-0.00476318916859886
1891.35571.36102795971714-0.00532795971713673
1901.36621.355731274896150.0104687251038469
1911.35821.36613854903042-0.00793854903042379
1921.36681.358246598944010.00855340105599223
1931.36411.36674979190084-0.00264979190084258
1941.35481.36411555416537-0.00931555416537044
1951.35251.35485468190538-0.00235468190538213
1961.3571.352513821882290.00448617811770835
1971.34891.35697366632591-0.00807366632590978
1981.35471.348947392076770.00575260792323418
1991.35771.3546662324370.00303376756299989
2001.36261.357682191913880.00491780808612008
2011.35191.36257113267642-0.0106711326764162
2021.35671.351962639093390.00473736090661103
2031.37261.356672191893660.0159278081063412
2041.36491.37250650444618-0.0076065044461815
2051.36071.36494464985647-0.00424464985646922
2061.35721.3607249159135-0.00352491591350468
2071.37181.357220691105980.0145793088940238
2081.3741.371714420079010.00228557992099354
2091.3761.373986583743410.00201341625659213
2101.36751.3759881813325-0.00848818133250218
2111.36911.367549825262160.00155017473783614
2121.38471.369090900540450.015609099459553
2131.39841.384608375252340.0137916247476637
2141.39371.39831904375133-0.00461904375132915
2151.39131.39372711358969-0.00242711358968917
2161.39661.391314247053190.00528575294681288
2171.39991.396568972855790.00333102714421263
2181.40721.399880447012820.00731955298717524
2191.40851.407157034536350.00134296546365142
2201.41511.408492116850040.00660788314995653
2211.41351.41506121200792-0.00156121200792048
2221.40641.41350916424786-0.00710916424785712
2231.41321.406441730490730.00675826950926939
2241.42791.413160329246410.0147396707535905
2251.43691.427813478761730.00908652123826514
2261.43741.436846662508130.000553337491874695
2271.44861.437396751932540.0112032480674622
2281.45631.448534237411980.00776576258802453
2291.44811.45625441530503-0.0081544153050348
2301.45281.448147866069830.00465213393017305
2311.42731.45277269217237-0.0254726921723734
2321.43041.427449523615930.00295047638406953
2331.4351.430382680829550.00461731917045438
2341.44421.434972896533530.00922710346647282
2351.43891.44414583729645-0.00524583729644523
2361.44061.438930792841050.00166920715895125
2371.43381.44059020182522-0.00679020182521528
2381.44331.433839858194920.0094601418050777
2391.44051.44324446937134-0.00274446937134343
2401.43981.44051610991808-0.000716109918081465
2411.42761.43980420353466-0.012204203534657
2421.42791.42767163815390.000228361846101643
2431.43681.427898659525710.00890134047429081
2441.43371.43674774951131-0.00304774951130682
2451.43431.433717890159560.000582109840440159
2461.4561.434296583040080.0217034169599202
2471.45411.4558726018687-0.0017726018687021
2481.46471.454110405097320.0105895949026815
2491.47571.464637839529860.0110621604701369
2501.4731.47563506559015-0.00263506559015014
2511.47681.473015467722560.0037845322774448
2521.47741.476777784957050.000622215042952678
2531.47871.477396347624250.00130365237574703
2541.50681.478692347616190.0281076523838084
2551.5121.506635009280080.00536499071991692
2561.5091.51196850773344-0.00296850773344093
2571.50741.50901742501371-0.00161742501370532
2581.50231.5074094942158-0.00510949421580231
2591.49181.50232999251298-0.010529992512984
2601.50711.491861810606650.0152381893933471
2611.50831.50701055247860.00128944752140447
2621.49691.50829243099808-0.0113924309980804
2631.49681.49696687308375-0.000166873083753405
2641.48151.49680097953788-0.0153009795378798
2651.48631.481589816096870.0047101839031265
2661.49571.486272351421510.00942764857849054
2671.48751.4956446601052-0.00814466010519665
2681.49651.487547808807220.00895219119277946
2691.48681.49644745101976-0.00964745101975928
2701.49221.486856630125750.00534336987424733
2711.50371.492168634646880.0115313653531179
2721.49661.50363231137751-0.00703231137751192
2731.49841.496641279367660.0017587206323384
2741.48621.49838967638495-0.0121896763849467
2751.48671.486271552880150.00042844711985035
2761.47611.48669748503369-0.0105974850336916
2771.46581.47616220678487-0.010362206784869
2781.47721.465860825711590.0113391742884104
2791.481.477133439530860.00286656046914047
2801.47881.47998317341238-0.00118317341238505
2811.47851.47880694517744-0.000306945177435347
2821.48741.478501801755090.00889819824490834
2831.50191.487347767956060.0145522320439408
2841.5021.501814579018960.000185420981038797
2851.51.50199891158675-0.00199891158675469
2861.49211.5000117335257-0.00791173352570484
2871.49711.492146441538140.00495355846186052
2881.49181.49707092282324-0.0052709228232366
2891.48691.49183094009202-0.00493094009202033
2901.48641.4869289444079-0.000528944407897969
2911.48811.48640310488110.00169689511890003
2921.48641.48809003929807-0.0016900392980721
2931.47651.48640992045855-0.00990992045855243
2941.4751.47655817081016-0.00155817081015663
2951.47631.475009146396160.00129085360384362
2961.46941.47629242274444-0.00689242274443624
2971.47221.469440458227360.00275954177264426
2981.46161.47218380160757-0.0105838016075661
2991.45371.46166212646374-0.00796212646374173
3001.45391.453746737342540.000153262657464737
3011.46431.453899100354740.0104008996452583
3021.45491.46423894716297-0.00933894716297101
3031.4651.454954819221280.0100451807787203
3041.4671.464941035217540.00205896478246359
3051.47681.46698791396460.00981208603540051
3061.47831.476742403473730.00155759652626841
3071.4781.47829085697487-0.000290856974865861
3081.46581.47800170731803-0.0122017073180294
3091.47051.465871623501210.00462837649878667
3101.47121.470472831627480.000727168372518516
3111.46711.47119573155269-0.00409573155268728
3121.46111.46712404176942-0.00602404176941707
3131.45611.46113536086809-0.00503536086809309
3141.45941.45612955735340.00327044264660303
3151.45451.45938080264124-0.00488080264124036
3161.45221.4545286501032-0.0023286501032016
3171.44731.45221366907672-0.00491366907672375
3181.4331.44732884302778-0.0143288430277753
3191.42621.43308410969705-0.006884109697048
3201.43351.426240409430120.00725959056987802
3211.4221.43345738651318-0.0114573865131791
3221.43141.422067254369850.00933274563014508
3231.42721.43134521718145-0.00414521718145333
3241.43641.427224332247950.00917566775205403
3251.42681.43634613922189-0.00954613922189362
3261.4271.426856035429820.000143964570176847
3271.43241.426999154934120.00540084506588268
3281.43231.43236829726996-6.82972699601603e-05
3291.4331.432300400902060.000699599097940373
3301.42431.43299589338315-0.00869589338315269
3311.41121.42435104452304-0.0131510445230363
3321.41011.41127719607009-0.00117719607009104
3331.40721.41010691009069-0.00290691009069111
3341.42941.407217063438170.0221829365618285
3351.42931.42926978710913.02128908962196e-05
3361.4171.42929982265162-0.0122998226516198
3371.41661.41707219943403-0.000472199434033982
3381.42021.416602771790530.0035972282094745
3391.43571.420178884423930.0155211155760675
3401.4371.435608891713980.00139110828602251
3411.4411.436991834253730.00400816574626939
3421.43841.44097647223813-0.00257647223812985
3431.43031.43841512378208-0.00811512378207935
3441.41381.43034763543026-0.0165476354302641
3451.40531.41389713391376-0.00859713391375694
3461.41041.405350464809170.00504953519083418
3471.42291.410370359443930.0125296405560664
3481.42691.422826451544670.00407354845532515
3491.42271.42687608844442-0.00417608844441775
3501.42291.422724513460940.000175486539057967
3511.41911.42289896990151-0.00379896990150508
3521.42231.419122299791190.00317770020881025
3531.42171.42228134703539-0.000581347035391921
3541.4091.42170341248229-0.0127034124822869
3551.4131.409074568489120.00392543151088431
3561.40891.41297695788456-0.00407695788456031
3571.39911.40892393156879-0.00982393156878625
3581.39751.39915766605904-0.00165766605904394
3591.39011.39750973042902-0.00740973042902082
3601.3991.390143494801390.00885650519861358
3611.39011.39894801269246-0.00884801269246149
3621.40191.390151937456890.0117480625431101
3631.38971.40183103937425-0.0121310393742549
3641.40091.38977120868340.0111287913166007
3651.40491.400834674469930.00406532553007466
3661.40961.404876136712640.00472386328736185
3671.41341.409572271124110.00382772887589211
3681.40581.41337753139486-0.00757753139485806
3691.40961.405844479785890.00375552021410552
3701.3941.40957795525662-0.0155779552566211
3711.40291.394091441932520.0088085580674786
3721.39781.40284829414007-0.0050482941400749
3731.38581.39782963327115-0.0120296332711516
3741.39321.38587061343390.00732938656609816
3751.3921.39315697681366-0.00115697681366012
3761.3841.39200679140452-0.00800679140451876
3771.3891.384046999523830.00495300047616887
3781.3851.38897092609859-0.00397092609858873
3791.40041.385023309166730.0153766908332722
3801.39691.40030973948105-0.00340973948105394
3811.41021.396920015025230.0132799849747667
3821.39591.41012204705496-0.0142220470549603
3831.38661.39598348280925-0.00938348280924495
3841.41771.386655080643620.0310449193563771
3851.40951.41751776764831-0.00801776764831064
3861.42071.409547063953910.0111529360460862
3871.42381.420634532741390.00316546725860634
3881.4221.42378141884229-0.00178141884228755
3891.40981.42201045685258-0.0122104568525769
3901.38561.40987167486061-0.0242716748606078
3911.39011.385742473695570.00435752630443287
3921.39081.390074421506560.000725578493437018
3931.4011.390795740885210.0102042591147902
3941.39721.40094010143449-0.00374010143449288
3951.37711.3972219542358-0.0201219542358007
3961.3691.3772181150126-0.00821811501260084
3971.36121.36904823998439-0.007848239984392
3981.34941.36124606883376-0.0118460688337618
3991.35181.349469535918490.00233046408151139
4001.35631.35178632027530.00451367972469918
4011.36231.356273504892650.00602649510734943
4021.36831.362264624730920.00603537526908182
4031.35741.36826457260475-0.0108645726047478
4041.34251.35746377457751-0.0149637745775124
4051.33631.34258783671815-0.00628783671814714
4061.33221.33633690933318-0.00413690933318378
4071.34031.332224283481230.00807571651876882
4081.32231.34025259588869-0.0179525958886897
4091.32751.322405380971690.00509461902831276
4101.32661.32747009480373-0.000870094803731458
4111.29921.32660510741936-0.0274051074193642
4121.31251.299360866810960.0131391331890416
4131.32321.312422873848930.0107771261510687
4141.3051.32313673872944-0.0181367387294387
4151.29471.3051064618823-0.0104064618823034
4161.29321.29476108548712-0.00156108548712308
4171.29661.293209163505190.00339083649481453
4181.30581.296580095934490.00921990406551076
4191.31961.305745879556620.0138541204433782
4201.31731.31951867690426-0.0022186769042627
4211.32761.317313023538740.0102869764612605
4221.32731.3275396158872-0.000239615887199118
4231.32311.32730140653503-0.00420140653503154
4241.32551.323124662077050.00237533792294653
4251.34961.325486056867770.0241139431322333
4261.34251.34945845218295-0.00695845218294666
4271.33921.34254084581734-0.00334084581734162
4281.32461.33921961062237-0.0146196106223673
4291.33081.324685816490420.00611418350958126
4301.31931.33076411000374-0.0114641100037394
4311.32951.319367293836460.0101327061635423
4321.36071.329440521447260.0312594785527374
4331.34941.36051650819499-0.0111165081949851
4341.35071.349465253428680.00123474657132494
4351.35581.350692752090320.0051072479096772
4361.35491.35577002067274-0.000870020672736782
4371.36711.354905106984220.0121948930157818
4381.3131.36702841649845-0.0540284164984501
4391.29421.31331714449903-0.0191171444990252
4401.30421.294312216822330.0098877831776707
4411.29051.30414195913474-0.0136419591347372
4421.27821.29058007771791-0.0123800777179104
4431.27861.278272670527850.000327329472151749
4441.27831.27859807858997-0.00029807858996822
4451.25651.2783017497086-0.0218017497086018
4461.26581.256627975340340.00917202465966405
4471.25551.26574616060669-0.0102461606066908
4481.25551.25556014452548-6.01445254764243e-05
4491.26151.25550035304580.0059996469542023
4501.25961.26146478232843-0.00186478232843124
4511.26441.259610946192680.00478905380731698
4521.27821.264371888458540.013828111541462
4531.27951.278118829575410.0013811704245934
4541.27631.27949189258855-0.00319189258855324
4551.27981.276318736273270.00348126372672852
4561.25911.2797795651305-0.0206795651304972
4571.27051.259221388164760.0112786118352448
4581.25961.27043379502987-0.0108337950298747
4591.26341.259663593914460.00373640608553849
4601.27651.263378067455740.01312193254426
4611.28231.276422974815980.00587702518401811
4621.28331.282265502112990.00103449788701115
4631.29381.283293927541550.0105060724584465
4641.29671.293738329803050.0029616701969537
4651.30081.296682615122340.00411738487765811
4661.27961.30077583112649-0.0211758311264896
4671.28291.279724301224970.00317569877502777
4681.28181.28288135878372-0.00108135878372262
4691.28491.281806347529910.00309365247008953
4701.2761.28488184039203-0.00888184039203122
4711.28161.276052136024040.00554786397595741
4721.31111.281567434275230.0295325657247674
4731.3261.310926645099580.0150733549004161
4741.31741.32591152005003-0.0085115200500343
4751.2991.31744996225944-0.0184499622594396
4761.27951.29910830049106-0.0196083004910568
4771.29841.279615099887040.018784900112959
4781.2911.29828973343804-0.00728973343803752
4791.2931.291042790424170.00195720957582934
4801.31821.292988511263320.0252114887366806
4811.3271.318052009637090.00894799036291016
4821.30851.32694747567845-0.0184474756784514
4831.31731.308608285894930.0086917141050673
4841.32621.317248980009150.00895101999085268
4851.33941.326147457894660.0132525421053353
4861.36841.339322208143430.0290777918565674
4871.36171.36822931460278-0.00652931460278183
4881.35951.36173832679806-0.0022383267980608
4891.33321.35951313888278-0.0263131388827775
4901.35821.333354457002250.0248455429977483
4911.38661.358054157722960.0285458422770406


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
4921.386432437124111.366255229435451.40660964481277
4931.386432437124111.357981182363461.41488369188476
4941.386432437124111.351621115908171.42124375834005
4951.386432437124111.346255549836231.42660932441199
4961.386432437124111.341526574928991.43133829931923