Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613952.810436.98375.41140.11550.32630.26650.3263
624951.32735.944273.29320.41780.86430.33840.2758
635865.216845.671193.12730.30610.87260.69390.6939
644750.496835.362772.10760.37560.24810.5180.2481
654250.603435.437472.25990.21810.62780.48570.2516
666258.928741.267684.14810.40570.90590.67750.5288
673937.6726.380253.79140.43580.00150.53250.0067
684027.917219.550339.86480.02370.03450.83420
697254.374638.078477.64510.06880.8870.4790.38
707062.283343.616888.93840.28520.23750.28520.6236
715448.061833.657568.63050.28570.01830.09210.1718
726554.682538.29478.08480.19380.52280.39060.3906


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.2183-0.26150190.726700
620.2183-0.04530.15345.414998.07089.9031
630.2183-0.11070.139252.082282.74139.0962
640.2183-0.06920.121712.227465.11288.0693
650.2183-0.170.131474.018866.8948.1789
660.21830.05210.11819.43357.31727.5708
670.21830.03530.10631.768949.38177.0272
680.21830.43280.1471145.993961.45827.8395
690.21830.32410.1668310.653989.14669.4417
700.21830.12390.162559.547586.18679.2837
710.21830.12360.15935.262781.55739.0309
720.21830.18870.1614106.450183.63179.145