Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	9383	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	8579	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	9474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	8318	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	8213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	8059	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	9111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	7708	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	7680	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	8014	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	8007	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	8718	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	9486	9605.9023	8752.0819	10459.7227	0.3916	0.9792	0.4091	0.9792
86	9113	8676.4672	7749.6882	9603.2462	0.178	0.0434	0.5817	0.465
87	9025	9548.323	8609.136	10487.5099	0.1374	0.8182	0.5616	0.9584
88	8476	8396.8443	7455.4631	9338.2255	0.4345	0.0955	0.5652	0.2519
89	7952	8285.4883	7343.7166	9227.26	0.2438	0.3459	0.56	0.184
90	7759	8064.7015	7122.8602	9006.5428	0.2623	0.5927	0.5047	0.087
91	7835	8526.6613	7584.8076	9468.515	0.075	0.9449	0.112	0.3453
92	7600	7763.9932	6822.1373	8705.8491	0.3665	0.4413	0.5464	0.0236
93	7651	7682.8197	6740.9634	8624.6759	0.4736	0.5684	0.5023	0.0156
94	8319	8192.744	7250.8878	9134.6003	0.3964	0.8702	0.645	0.1372
95	8812	8105.9878	7164.1319	9047.8437	0.0709	0.3288	0.5816	0.1014
96	8630	9128.23	8186.3761	10070.084	0.1499	0.7448	0.8034	0.8034

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0453	-0.0125	0	14376.565	0	0
86	0.0545	0.0503	0.0314	190560.9052	102468.7351	320.1074
87	0.0502	-0.0548	0.0392	273866.9253	159601.4651	399.5015
88	0.0572	0.0094	0.0318	6265.6243	121267.5049	348.2348
89	0.058	-0.0402	0.0335	111214.4202	119256.888	345.3359
90	0.0596	-0.0379	0.0342	93453.3936	114956.3056	339.0521
91	0.0564	-0.0811	0.0409	478395.3298	166876.1662	408.5048
92	0.0619	-0.0211	0.0384	26893.7656	149378.3661	386.495
93	0.0625	-0.0041	0.0346	1012.4914	132893.2689	364.5453
94	0.0587	0.0154	0.0327	15940.5691	121197.9989	348.135
95	0.0593	0.0871	0.0376	498453.2165	155493.9278	394.3272
96	0.0526	-0.0546	0.0391	248233.173	163222.1982	404.0077