Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613951.733327.743875.72290.14910.30430.24970.3043
624951.733327.743875.72290.41160.85090.36370.3043
635851.733327.743875.72290.30430.58840.30430.3043
644751.733327.743875.72290.34950.30430.55630.3043
654251.733327.743875.72290.21320.65050.52390.3043
666251.733327.743875.72290.20080.78680.45880.3043
673951.733327.743875.72290.14910.20080.88570.3043
684051.733327.743875.72290.16890.85090.99240.3043
697251.733327.743875.72290.04890.83110.39480.3043
707051.733327.743875.72290.06780.04890.06780.3043
715451.733327.743875.72290.42650.06780.20080.3043
726551.733327.743875.72290.13920.42650.30430.3043


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.2366-0.24610162.137800
620.2366-0.05280.14957.471184.80449.2089
630.23660.12110.1439.271169.62678.3443
640.2366-0.09150.127922.404457.82117.604
650.2366-0.18810.139994.737865.20448.0749
660.23660.19850.1497105.404571.90448.4796
670.2366-0.24610.1635162.137884.79499.2084
680.2366-0.22680.1714137.671191.40449.5606
690.23660.39180.1959410.7378126.885911.2644
700.23660.35310.2116333.6711147.564412.1476
710.23660.04380.19635.1378134.616611.6024
720.23660.25640.2014176.0045138.065611.7501