Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[90])
84	8718	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	9486	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	9113	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	9025	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	8476	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	7952	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	7759	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	7835	8819.5035	7941.4446	9697.5624	0.014	0.991	0.0684	0.991
92	7600	7716.4948	6746.2206	8686.769	0.407	0.4054	0.0024	0.4658
93	7651	7899.0586	6909.5426	8888.5747	0.3116	0.7232	0.0129	0.6093
94	8319	8145.2398	7151.5192	9138.9603	0.3659	0.8352	0.2571	0.7769
95	8812	8206.1679	7211.5307	9200.8052	0.1163	0.412	0.6918	0.8109
96	8630	8962.225	7967.4353	9957.0147	0.2564	0.6164	0.9911	0.9911

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
91	0.0508	-0.1116	0	969247.1838	0	0
92	0.0642	-0.0151	0.0634	13571.0401	491409.1119	701.0058
93	0.0639	-0.0314	0.0527	61533.0913	348117.105	590.0145
94	0.0622	0.0213	0.0449	30192.6174	268635.9831	518.3011
95	0.0618	0.0738	0.0507	367032.4783	288315.2822	536.95
96	0.0566	-0.0371	0.0484	110373.4489	258658.31	508.5846