| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3287 | 0.1219 | -0.0838 | -1 | 0.3516 | 0.4831 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.0086 ) | (0.3572 ) | (0.5005 ) | (0 ) | (0.026 ) | (0.0031 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3142 | 0.1041 | 0 | -1 | 0.3363 | 0.4959 | -0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0.0147 ) | (0.4443 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0723 ) | (0.0182 ) | (0.0018 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3496 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0.3488 | 0.4502 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (0.0031 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0335 ) | (0.0046 ) | (0.0202 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -38.2805909879409 |
| 777.600354370594 |
| 1062.03187313405 |
| 405.062039256935 |
| 652.643111779269 |
| 77.2748166402063 |
| 119.840567305103 |
| 119.027040655907 |
| 87.6208128048723 |
| -238.306414602437 |
| -157.075335025361 |
| 551.663933233048 |
| 143.279032741731 |
| 267.333303200384 |
| 332.419015598376 |
| 239.292807320751 |
| -91.1509204293838 |
| -97.2482032660786 |
| 263.007251126209 |
| 48.5548274958255 |
| 93.9425706301934 |
| 401.443269018874 |
| -280.951927861857 |
| 561.900402568793 |
| -787.605640581041 |
| 404.99639767696 |
| 341.003170652816 |
| 348.792928303481 |
| -386.76660610041 |
| 40.0936701892881 |
| 59.924404382818 |
| 313.090072426748 |
| 314.339257420917 |
| 185.970008298672 |
| 96.4816123456803 |
| 684.889634914603 |
| -645.205946242765 |
| -374.768396469973 |
| -241.179308246527 |
| -379.697749528688 |
| -157.103136174338 |
| -53.2474942374579 |
| -148.312922325738 |
| -445.765905822265 |
| 3.04284329717006 |
| -37.1752401245885 |
| -136.647718229172 |
| -362.001457800104 |
| 66.0343763913002 |
| 737.0059849215 |
| 1012.33785375636 |
| -720.863490692973 |
| 102.169081127092 |
| -14.6526785274693 |
| -628.689875921194 |
| -533.955859563544 |
| -132.801725898951 |
| 35.686049399637 |
| -229.542320014106 |
| -379.599491285187 |
| -308.055085759243 |
| -37.3811210487568 |
| 223.234415416605 |
| 11.1345184558395 |
| 20.9995848195592 |
| 121.481288500443 |
| 1172.91477566297 |
| -377.147852871748 |
| -43.2775389333166 |
| -296.842642641704 |
| -33.2895039226744 |
| -553.829286270648 |
| -216.063805785670 |
| 359.769420370368 |
| -778.036200409918 |
| 390.379739097070 |
| -270.827110460206 |
| -139.153679163221 |
| -192.237885910035 |
| 175.891884219968 |
| 176.139262399222 |
| 181.573647142424 |
| 718.630312817827 |
| -676.18236506685 |
