Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613960.226137.081783.37050.03610.57480.50760.5748
624956.226133.068979.38340.27040.92760.50760.4403
635858.226135.05681.39620.49240.78240.50760.5076
644750.226127.043173.40910.39250.25550.50760.2555
654251.226128.030374.42190.21780.63950.50760.2835
666253.226130.017576.43470.22940.82850.50760.3434
673937.226114.004660.44760.44050.01830.50760.0398
684022.2261-1.008245.46040.06690.07850.50760.0013
697255.226131.97978.47320.07860.90040.50760.4075
707070.226146.966293.4860.49240.44060.50760.8486
715462.226138.953485.49880.24420.25630.50760.639
726558.226134.940681.51160.28430.6390.50760.5076


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1961-0.35240450.547700
620.2101-0.12850.240552.2166251.382215.855
630.203-0.00390.16160.0511167.605112.9462
640.2355-0.06420.137310.4078128.305811.3272
650.231-0.18010.145885.1211119.668910.9393
660.22250.16480.14976.9812112.554210.6092
670.31830.04770.13453.146796.92469.845
680.53330.79970.2177315.9112124.297911.1489
690.21480.30370.2272281.3634141.749611.9059
700.169-0.00320.20480.0511127.579811.2951
710.1908-0.13220.198267.6689122.133311.0514
720.2040.11630.191445.8856115.779410.7601