Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613951.699935.020671.61750.10570.26760.2070.2676
624950.548234.066770.27110.43890.87440.2940.2295
635863.901745.16185.8870.29940.9080.70060.7006
644749.322333.047668.84450.40780.19180.47290.1918
654249.506233.191269.07190.2260.59910.44050.1974
666257.611339.875778.60070.3410.92760.66660.4855
673936.989223.095454.13980.40910.00210.49950.0082
684027.112415.446942.03790.04530.05930.7490
697253.160936.166273.41860.03420.89860.42940.3198
707061.0242.68882.61820.20760.15950.20760.608
715447.046331.141966.21990.23860.00950.06320.1314
726553.742136.623974.13280.13960.49010.34120.3412


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1966-0.24560161.287800
620.1991-0.03060.13812.39781.84249.0467
630.1755-0.09240.122934.830666.17188.1346
640.2019-0.04710.10395.39350.97717.1398
650.2016-0.15160.113556.343752.05047.2146
660.18590.07620.107319.260546.58546.8254
670.23660.05440.09974.043540.5086.3646
680.28090.47530.1467166.089856.20577.497
690.19440.35440.1697354.912489.39549.4549
700.18060.14720.167580.6488.51989.4085
710.20790.14780.165748.354684.86849.2124
720.19360.20950.1693126.739688.35779.3999