Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[357])
345140.56-------
346121.41-------
347120.44-------
348116.97-------
349128.03-------
350128.51-------
351127.76-------
352134.58-------
353147.64-------
354144.46-------
355137.6-------
356146.87-------
357145.67-------
358151.95145.4049123.563173.05920.32140.49250.95550.4925
359150.23145.346112.9233192.46240.41950.39180.84990.4946
360155.86145.3329105.5687209.69260.37430.44070.80610.4959
361154.4145.3399.9759225.67090.41240.39860.66350.4967
362156.36145.329395.4543240.95550.41060.42630.63490.4972
363162.13145.329291.6503255.87940.38290.42250.62230.4976
364171.06145.329188.3622270.64990.34370.39640.56680.4979
365174.01145.329185.4647285.40450.34410.35940.48710.4981
366193.52145.329182.8741300.2410.2710.35830.50440.4983
367205.26145.329180.5318315.23330.24470.28910.53550.4984
368212.8145.329178.3949330.44030.23750.26290.49350.4986
369222.1145.329176.4309345.91110.22660.25490.49870.4987


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
3580.0970.045042.838600
3590.16540.03360.039323.853633.34615.7746
3600.22590.07240.0504110.820159.17087.6923
3610.2820.06240.053482.265464.94448.0588
3620.33570.07590.0579121.675876.29078.7345
3630.38810.11560.0675282.2676110.620210.5176
3640.440.17710.0831662.0768189.399713.7623
3650.49180.19740.0974822.5917268.548716.3875
3660.54380.33160.12342322.3591496.749922.2879
3670.59650.41240.15233591.7082806.245728.3945
3680.64990.46430.18074552.31721146.797633.8644
3690.70420.52830.20975893.76521542.378339.2731