Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613955.122331.026774.70420.05330.38670.58410.3867
624942.884312.311864.53770.28990.63740.70290.0856
635845.17715.356666.89450.12360.3650.98180.1236
644739.80163.70162.58260.26790.05870.09550.0587
654251.16223.825272.3660.19850.64980.04080.2637
666247.533318.249769.34560.09680.69050.09680.1735
673949.327320.866670.94540.17460.12530.21580.2158
684049.668619.662672.15390.19970.82380.82380.2338
697265.871941.906686.03150.27570.99410.94950.778
707053.241524.960375.21160.06740.04710.33560.3356
715447.155615.269570.18350.28010.02590.50530.178
726557.470830.790878.87570.24530.62470.92170.4807


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1812-0.29250259.928200
620.25760.14260.217537.4015148.664912.1928
630.24530.28380.2396164.4303153.9212.4065
640.2920.18090.224951.8163128.394111.3311
650.2115-0.17910.215883.9418119.503610.9318
660.23410.30430.2305209.2862134.467411.596
670.2236-0.20940.2275106.6534130.49411.4234
680.231-0.19470.223493.4821125.867511.2191
690.15610.0930.208937.5539116.054810.7729
700.21050.31480.2195280.8467132.53411.5123
710.24920.14510.212746.8464124.744211.1689
720.190.1310.205956.6883119.072910.9121