Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.0052078015322195
beta0.748150948749452
gamma0.25528536166977


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
134446.6829275162342-2.68292751623424
143637.4190430644953-1.41904306449529
157273.8530991176902-1.85309911769019
164546.4992868689191-1.49928686891911
175658.5280218489155-2.52802184891554
185456.6166500130302-2.61665001303023
195339.825039805973913.1749601940261
203526.74601746280038.25398253719967
216158.31243667050482.68756332949519
225270.6780753105334-18.6780753105334
234749.8765178806111-2.8765178806111
245160.2589543160451-9.2589543160451
255243.88207271917888.11792728082122
266335.418266243847427.5817337561526
277470.70268774381393.2973122561861
284544.63472079251720.365279207482814
295156.2770561007029-5.27705610070291
306454.60763547858419.39236452141591
313642.3875265574203-6.38752655742034
323028.33724819233721.66275180766281
335558.0193961688328-3.01939616883282
346464.9214476290073-0.921447629007304
353948.5935132205767-9.5935132205767
364057.3421270504528-17.3421270504528
376345.535706491793817.4642935082062
384542.16704545379122.83295454620884
395970.871765996104-11.8717659961041
405544.209867064611110.7901329353889
414054.3550646421634-14.3550646421634
426456.28766261938567.71233738061445
432740.2125612602168-13.2125612602168
442828.295078420808-0.295078420808014
454556.1952612606278-11.1952612606278
465763.2805438281635-6.28054382816352
474544.99887790736510.00112209263485852
486951.546725302810717.4532746971893
496048.834228794391811.1657712056082
505641.873031577775114.1269684222249
515866.3961330276469-8.3961330276469
525045.99095018140544.00904981859455
535149.64827465318911.35172534681087
545357.2022581602745-4.20225816027445
553736.17564932645230.824350673547698
562227.8097452358259-5.80974523582585
575552.58509862837722.41490137162282
587061.01439609709288.98560390290722
596244.709966828124317.2900331718757
605855.98672915131622.01327084868375
613951.7821660569171-12.7821660569171
624945.52007181477993.47992818522015
635864.3110080261975-6.31100802619751
644747.0876940994298-0.0876940994297968
654250.0740054724618-8.07400547246176
666256.15509613229575.84490386770427
673936.44605171361482.55394828638519
684026.398537237622313.6014627623777
697253.714171540275218.2858284597248
707064.29639572690395.70360427309613
715450.06746924521993.9325307547801
726557.70447279388587.29552720611421


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7349.760097916772944.9339930730154.5862027605359
7447.845822211215843.016990788617152.6746536338144
7564.89066218895760.04902146626469.73230291165
7648.942461021049644.09882489178953.7860971503103
7750.155622280434945.296804001159955.0144405597099
7860.550248970572955.647712920462865.452785020683
7939.124302006699634.250606090119843.9979979232794
8031.598956329719826.727908195786336.4700044636533
8161.754062659104556.688978963750866.8191463544582
8269.518974377173764.290732528406474.747216225941
8354.002255584012848.856273588146859.1482375798789
8462.969937369239238.867976012579487.071898725899