Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.00486104141907233
beta0.816160950605529
gamma0.253859759879226


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
134446.6829275162342-2.68292751623424
143637.4196383690258-1.41963836902578
157273.8547395004858-1.85473950048576
164546.5003158720121-1.50031587201206
175658.5293158416863-2.52931584168627
185456.6179340105627-2.61793401056273
195339.825869690735213.1741303092648
203526.7436464175698.25635358243098
216158.30266627102122.69733372897877
225270.667386235984-18.6673862359840
234749.8742525002373-2.87425250023728
245160.2580225998112-9.25802259981117
255243.88711655824388.11288344175625
266335.419364207753827.5806357922462
277470.68919633858383.31080366141622
284544.62910981452910.370890185470877
295156.2747338131084-5.2747338131084
306454.61095231604359.38904768395653
313642.3713431831259-6.37134318312594
323028.3315118057261.66848819427402
335558.0298335364493-3.02983353644935
346464.9666781000709-0.966678100070894
353948.6148066632519-9.61480666325193
364057.3813612933541-17.3813612933541
376345.554295734300817.4457042656992
384542.15560803022532.84439196977471
395970.9117520359552-11.9117520359552
405544.241096990614810.7589030093852
414054.3989780908847-14.3989780908847
426456.319500689847.68049931015996
432740.237866253895-13.2378662538950
442828.3092091538995-0.309209153899509
454556.2456489846546-11.2456489846546
465763.3572291256966-6.35722912569665
474545.0549821644299-0.0549821644299016
486951.623107205678617.3768927943214
496048.83677367443311.1632263255670
505641.871317707152614.1286822928474
515866.4498641015078-8.44986410150784
525046.00471250467523.99528749532485
535149.70609807620211.29390192379785
545357.2169843150172-4.21698431501715
553736.21467178145530.785328218544734
562227.8192640714578-5.81926407145777
575552.63774541666852.36225458333146
587061.07513148409788.92486851590216
596244.745638714964717.2543612850353
605856.00907963593721.99092036406280
613951.7658097966268-12.7658097966268
624945.50490764904423.49509235095576
635864.37374008907-6.37374008907004
644747.0997914298967-0.0997914298967402
654250.1236187423505-8.12361874235045
666256.18280732034175.81719267965832
673936.47831959689372.52168040310625
684026.415682442467813.5843175575322
697253.74313603243318.2568639675670
707064.3185543765825.68144562341796
715450.06643977630463.93356022369539
726557.7210271947887.27897280521199


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7349.767755753690444.972350825860354.5631606815204
7447.830331798597443.032348703388752.6283148938061
7564.954047705819660.143620457396669.7644749542427
7648.958077200170744.145470295495953.7706841048456
7750.214979671072245.387149802398555.0428095397458
7860.576485582196755.70494519010565.4480259742883
7939.158503224865934.315376391998144.0016300577338
8031.607055872534326.766507555788336.4476041892803
8161.790548334183856.754604238701566.8264924296661
8269.581249767776464.379624583401374.7828749521514
8354.038959206827148.919594805601359.1583236080529
8463.024726540055439.485705973781886.5637471063289