Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 46 | 36.4219352653799 | -1.06327449224725 | 56.6413392268674 | -9.57806473462015 |
2 | 62 | 67.6930864217614 | 0.0994992650936819 | 56.2074143131449 | 5.69308642176144 |
3 | 66 | 63.4642247719535 | 12.7622858286241 | 55.7734893994223 | -2.53577522804649 |
4 | 59 | 64.3254419639629 | -1.64060804315987 | 55.315166079197 | 5.32544196396289 |
5 | 58 | 63.3533214485102 | -2.21016420748182 | 54.8568427589716 | 5.35332144851019 |
6 | 61 | 59.8570228399605 | 7.74803404288557 | 54.3949431171540 | -1.14297716003952 |
7 | 41 | 41.1940625712892 | -13.1271060466254 | 53.9330434753363 | 0.194062571289166 |
8 | 27 | 22.2720342413456 | -21.6800365776477 | 53.408002336302 | -4.72796575865438 |
9 | 58 | 57.5166778481113 | 5.6003609546209 | 52.8829611972678 | -0.483322151888707 |
10 | 70 | 76.0689190070463 | 11.7094427070518 | 52.2216382859018 | 6.06891900704635 |
11 | 49 | 49.2878276758584 | -2.84814305039416 | 51.5603153745358 | 0.287827675858360 |
12 | 59 | 61.8693205390778 | 4.64971233884341 | 51.4809671220788 | 2.86932053907781 |
13 | 44 | 37.6616556226255 | -1.06327449224725 | 51.4016188696218 | -6.33834437737452 |
14 | 36 | 20.2923432920945 | 0.0994992650936819 | 51.6081574428118 | -15.7076567079055 |
15 | 72 | 79.423018155374 | 12.7622858286241 | 51.8146960160018 | 7.42301815537401 |
16 | 45 | 39.880002307446 | -1.64060804315987 | 51.7606057357139 | -5.11999769255398 |
17 | 56 | 62.503648752056 | -2.21016420748182 | 51.7065154554259 | 6.50364875205597 |
18 | 54 | 48.4577991365265 | 7.74803404288557 | 51.794166820588 | -5.54220086347354 |
19 | 53 | 67.2452878608754 | -13.1271060466254 | 51.8818181857501 | 14.2452878608753 |
20 | 35 | 39.3126183512332 | -21.6800365776477 | 52.3674182264145 | 4.31261835123318 |
21 | 61 | 63.5466207783002 | 5.6003609546209 | 52.8530182670789 | 2.54662077830024 |
22 | 52 | 39.2521682773744 | 11.7094427070518 | 53.0383890155737 | -12.7478317226256 |
23 | 47 | 43.6243832863255 | -2.84814305039416 | 53.2237597640686 | -3.37561671367447 |
24 | 51 | 44.2774550111896 | 4.64971233884341 | 53.072832649967 | -6.72254498881042 |
25 | 52 | 52.1413689563819 | -1.06327449224725 | 52.9219055358654 | 0.141368956381854 |
26 | 63 | 73.1432092674779 | 0.0994992650936819 | 52.7572914674285 | 10.1432092674779 |
27 | 74 | 82.6450367723843 | 12.7622858286241 | 52.5926773989915 | 8.64503677238433 |
28 | 45 | 39.1806383240464 | -1.64060804315987 | 52.4599697191135 | -5.81936167595359 |
29 | 51 | 51.8829021682464 | -2.21016420748182 | 52.3272620392354 | 0.882902168246417 |
30 | 64 | 68.3917069773624 | 7.74803404288557 | 51.860258979752 | 4.39170697736241 |
31 | 36 | 33.7338501263568 | -13.1271060466254 | 51.3932559202687 | -2.26614987364321 |
32 | 30 | 30.9447079403866 | -21.6800365776477 | 50.7353286372611 | 0.944707940386564 |
33 | 55 | 54.3222376911256 | 5.6003609546209 | 50.0774013542535 | -0.677762308874428 |
34 | 64 | 66.6265755325199 | 11.7094427070518 | 49.6639817604283 | 2.62657553251985 |
35 | 39 | 31.5975808837911 | -2.84814305039416 | 49.2505621666031 | -7.40241911620891 |
36 | 40 | 26.4005892996235 | 4.64971233884341 | 48.9496983615331 | -13.5994107003765 |
37 | 63 | 78.414439935784 | -1.06327449224725 | 48.6488345564632 | 15.4144399357841 |
38 | 45 | 41.5675097874044 | 0.0994992650936819 | 48.3329909475019 | -3.43249021259558 |
39 | 59 | 57.2205668328352 | 12.7622858286241 | 48.0171473385406 | -1.77943316716475 |
40 | 55 | 63.6981659156896 | -1.64060804315987 | 47.9424421274702 | 8.69816591568964 |
41 | 40 | 34.3424272910820 | -2.21016420748182 | 47.8677369163999 | -5.65757270891804 |
42 | 64 | 71.9010884776593 | 7.74803404288557 | 48.3508774794552 | 7.90108847765928 |
43 | 27 | 18.293088004115 | -13.1271060466254 | 48.8340180425105 | -8.70691199588502 |
44 | 28 | 28.3713481005724 | -21.6800365776477 | 49.3086884770753 | 0.371348100572405 |
45 | 45 | 34.6162801337391 | 5.6003609546209 | 49.78335891164 | -10.3837198662609 |
46 | 57 | 52.1660662920335 | 11.7094427070518 | 50.1244910009147 | -4.83393370796654 |
47 | 45 | 42.3825199602048 | -2.84814305039416 | 50.4656230901894 | -2.61748003979520 |
48 | 69 | 82.652666042068 | 4.64971233884341 | 50.6976216190886 | 13.6526660420680 |
49 | 60 | 70.1336543442595 | -1.06327449224725 | 50.9296201479878 | 10.1336543442595 |
50 | 56 | 60.728421006318 | 0.0994992650936819 | 51.1720797285883 | 4.72842100631803 |
51 | 58 | 51.8231748621871 | 12.7622858286241 | 51.4145393091888 | -6.17682513781293 |
52 | 50 | 49.9848409745743 | -1.64060804315987 | 51.6557670685856 | -0.0151590254257457 |
53 | 51 | 52.3131693794994 | -2.21016420748182 | 51.8969948279825 | 1.31316937949936 |
54 | 53 | 46.5549140799125 | 7.74803404288557 | 51.6970518772019 | -6.44508592008748 |
55 | 37 | 35.6299971202041 | -13.1271060466254 | 51.4971089264214 | -1.37000287979594 |
56 | 22 | 14.5811344327679 | -21.6800365776477 | 51.0989021448797 | -7.41886556723205 |
57 | 55 | 53.6989436820411 | 5.6003609546209 | 50.700695363338 | -1.30105631795894 |
58 | 70 | 77.8184527562157 | 11.7094427070518 | 50.4721045367324 | 7.81845275621574 |
59 | 62 | 76.6046293402674 | -2.84814305039416 | 50.2435137101268 | 14.6046293402674 |
60 | 58 | 61.0097818229296 | 4.64971233884341 | 50.340505838227 | 3.00978182292960 |
61 | 39 | 28.6257765259201 | -1.06327449224725 | 50.4374979663272 | -10.3742234740799 |
62 | 49 | 46.9813591915328 | 0.0994992650936819 | 50.9191415433735 | -2.01864080846720 |
63 | 58 | 51.836929050956 | 12.7622858286241 | 51.4007851204198 | -6.16307094904398 |
64 | 47 | 43.3006707792362 | -1.64060804315987 | 52.3399372639237 | -3.69932922076383 |
65 | 42 | 32.9310748000542 | -2.21016420748182 | 53.2790894074276 | -9.06892519994576 |
66 | 62 | 62.0819742703485 | 7.74803404288557 | 54.1699916867659 | 0.0819742703485105 |
67 | 39 | 36.0662120805212 | -13.1271060466254 | 55.0608939661043 | -2.93378791947883 |
68 | 40 | 45.6010195404533 | -21.6800365776477 | 56.0790170371943 | 5.60101954045332 |
69 | 72 | 81.3024989370947 | 5.6003609546209 | 57.0971401082844 | 9.3024989370947 |
70 | 70 | 70.0437115666013 | 11.7094427070518 | 58.2468457263468 | 0.043711566601317 |
71 | 54 | 51.4515917059849 | -2.84814305039416 | 59.3965513444093 | -2.54840829401512 |
72 | 65 | 64.7433691464514 | 4.64971233884341 | 60.6069185147052 | -0.256630853548621 |