| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.6057 | -0.2487 | -0.191 | -0.9974 | -0.0854 | -0.1376 | -0.9073 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.1165 ) | (0.1583 ) | (0 ) | (0.648 ) | (0.4458 ) | (0.0205 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.6158 | -0.2664 | -0.1979 | -1.0024 | 0 | -0.1011 | -1.0503 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0814 ) | (0.1404 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.5451 ) | (0.0023 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.6136 | -0.2654 | -0.2048 | -1.0023 | 0 | 0 | -1.0434 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0808 ) | (0.1239 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0011 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.5756 | -0.1434 | 0 | -1.0021 | 0 | 0 | -1.034 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.2771 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (3e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | -0.5019 | 0 | 0 | -1.002 | 0 | 0 | -1.0295 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.609417599032244 |
| 19.1721075795585 |
| -5.83228864027913 |
| 2.36310250066486 |
| -1.96301857920571 |
| 10.1564325842777 |
| 0.947317723373413 |
| -6.22255665409318 |
| -18.136972180611 |
| 1.99769351027868 |
| -0.836050087180649 |
| 12.9246887089899 |
| 9.9423702876329 |
| -5.52194533448843 |
| -14.5102845413972 |
| -5.60014389281797 |
| 9.06337817226068 |
| -8.27511108371082 |
| 1.64754588335628 |
| -0.0498620124689872 |
| 5.53783446575334 |
| -6.60362996174072 |
| -9.1961779154081 |
| 21.8229186892331 |
| -7.15638610144195 |
| -10.1159923878555 |
| 10.7388189116681 |
| -8.74387933323043 |
| 9.14084677269513 |
| -9.98317459951987 |
| 4.69420129518571 |
| -3.86347776179853 |
| 4.23440798209859 |
| 7.37820694112472 |
| 18.6940100646784 |
| 0.512705679861746 |
| -6.88998416552944 |
| -15.8276377566350 |
| 0.444508374272324 |
| 3.65512529322004 |
| -4.72899804304026 |
| 1.63152346344803 |
| -2.69009990120355 |
| 5.45096386820113 |
| 11.3788924783977 |
| 11.8756646794085 |
| -8.20802094393976 |
| -21.2555577558873 |
| -0.30528245259918 |
| -0.0524461131397259 |
| 3.11309159019596 |
| -2.90394375130314 |
| 8.75705632459629 |
| 3.15347650302008 |
| 10.0911499065850 |
| 9.75532598921576 |
| -5.30320526441907 |
| -6.55557634248793 |
| 0.520094391010681 |
