Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613954.319237.310871.32760.03880.33570.25640.3357
624949.321632.313266.330.48520.88290.22080.1586
635862.623445.519779.72720.29810.94080.70190.7019
644749.111331.828366.39420.40540.15670.45990.1567
654250.402433.046967.75790.17130.64960.47310.1954
666259.321341.908676.73390.38150.97440.76160.5591
673939.036921.620656.45320.49830.00490.59070.0164
684028.656211.24146.07140.10090.12220.77315e-04
697254.776937.359572.19440.02630.95180.490.3584
707062.809245.393480.22490.20920.15050.20920.7058
715448.318630.904265.7330.26130.00730.06180.1379
726555.866138.451773.28050.1520.58320.40510.4051


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1598-0.2820234.678400
620.1759-0.00650.14430.1034117.390910.8347
630.1393-0.07380.120821.37685.3869.2405
640.1795-0.0430.10134.457565.15388.0718
650.1757-0.16670.114470.600566.24328.139
660.14980.04520.10297.175656.39867.5099
670.2276-9e-040.08830.001448.34186.9528
680.31010.39590.1268128.681658.38437.641
690.16220.31440.1476296.634884.85669.2118
700.14150.11450.144351.708381.54189.03
710.18390.11760.141932.278277.06338.7786
720.1590.16350.143783.42877.59378.8087