| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.4251 | 0.1077 | 0.2543 | 0.3003 | -0.6044 | -0.3742 | -0.0179 |
| (p-val) | (0.3148 ) | (0.4618 ) | (0.0452 ) | (0.4889 ) | (0.2711 ) | (0.1921 ) | (0.9767 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.423 | 0.1074 | 0.255 | 0.2977 | -0.6199 | -0.381 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.3131 ) | (0.4602 ) | (0.0405 ) | (0.4872 ) | (0 ) | (0.0178 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.1438 | 0.1412 | 0.2213 | 0 | -0.6076 | -0.3715 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2694 ) | (0.2686 ) | (0.0786 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0211 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1491 | 0.2037 | 0 | -0.6149 | -0.4182 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2494 ) | (0.1072 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0062 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1849 | 0 | -0.6266 | -0.4552 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1445 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0017 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6291 | -0.4525 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0018 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.931604072615315 |
| -1.35595362597397 |
| 17.0144882081183 |
| 0.243259526792153 |
| 0.208091721880407 |
| 5.552529775767 |
| 5.2517948780415 |
| 70.8810526933129 |
| -55.3373252302041 |
| 1.49566636265484 |
| 16.6194481180997 |
| 16.5348368271969 |
| -41.7505817458043 |
| -6.40167972320261 |
| -26.3271879793835 |
| 22.9847721711825 |
| 34.2620960020178 |
| -73.7993106824365 |
| 50.3023686859455 |
| -60.2474792413243 |
| 66.1032120584824 |
| 46.7747315926997 |
| 41.0114980454743 |
| 31.7487681393718 |
| 48.5598298507638 |
| 28.4622949435984 |
| 2.01138481052462 |
| -20.4800531795684 |
| -12.3749356758129 |
| -45.8211642025481 |
| -24.7873797669525 |
| -32.1353326036016 |
| 24.1052449316207 |
| 22.4854589566767 |
| 6.78783679162671 |
| -14.7628216430014 |
| -5.38447620991962 |
| -27.9838350563272 |
| 34.8959839531985 |
| 23.2283403455795 |
| -68.2873387556435 |
| 26.5724562886419 |
| -16.5637259425321 |
| -27.9618153696367 |
| 58.4235420824168 |
| 17.3938864873246 |
| 9.81619971742589 |
| -4.30231645523827 |
| 4.19082258373271 |
| 18.5463743298073 |
| -24.8762063631470 |
| -34.7426463082004 |
| -15.1945499509868 |
| -10.9095375001216 |
| -16.8632415429543 |
| -12.0957613181201 |
| 21.6914847513444 |
| -11.9461939672324 |
| -4.85226900626549 |
| -22.8998240802385 |
| -14.9220352913891 |
