Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[45])
33	2672.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	2251.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	2046.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	2420.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2608.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2660.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	2493.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2541.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2554.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2699.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2805.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2956.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	3149.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	3372.5	3199.4842	2923.1886	3475.7797	0.1098	0.6385	1	0.6385
47	3379.33	3199.4842	2738.0231	3660.9452	0.2225	0.2312	1	0.584
48	3517.54	3199.4842	2608.2537	3790.7146	0.1459	0.2755	0.9951	0.5658
49	3527.34	3199.4842	2502.232	3896.7363	0.1784	0.1856	0.9516	0.5559
50	3281.06	3199.4842	2410.3279	3988.6404	0.4197	0.2077	0.9097	0.5494
51	3089.65	3199.4842	2328.063	4070.9053	0.4024	0.4272	0.9437	0.5447
52	3222.76	3199.4842	2252.921	4146.0473	0.4808	0.59	0.9134	0.5412
53	3165.76	3199.4842	2183.3203	4215.648	0.4741	0.4821	0.8932	0.5384
54	3232.43	3199.4842	2118.1904	4280.7779	0.4762	0.5244	0.8176	0.5361
55	3229.54	3199.4842	2056.7667	4342.2016	0.4794	0.4775	0.7504	0.5342
56	3071.74	3199.4842	1998.4803	4400.488	0.4174	0.4804	0.6541	0.5325
57	2850.17	3199.4842	1942.8946	4456.0738	0.2929	0.579	0.5311	0.5311

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
46	0.0441	0.0541	0	29934.4818	0	0
47	0.0736	0.0562	0.0551	32344.5271	31139.5045	176.4639
48	0.0943	0.0994	0.0699	101159.519	54479.5093	233.4085
49	0.1112	0.1025	0.078	107489.4536	67731.9954	260.2537
50	0.1258	0.0255	0.0675	6654.6181	55516.5199	235.6194
51	0.139	-0.0343	0.062	12063.5421	48274.357	219.7143
52	0.1509	0.0073	0.0542	541.7649	41455.4152	203.606
53	0.162	-0.0105	0.0487	1137.3188	36415.6532	190.8289
54	0.1724	0.0103	0.0445	1085.4285	32490.0727	180.25
55	0.1822	0.0094	0.0409	903.3537	29331.4008	171.2641
56	0.1915	-0.0399	0.0409	16318.5697	28148.4161	167.7749
57	0.2004	-0.1092	0.0466	122020.3805	35971.0798	189.6604