Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613954.182337.263771.1010.03930.32910.25020.3291
624949.4832.560366.39970.47780.88760.2250.1618
635863.348646.334780.36260.26890.95080.73110.7311
644749.226632.014366.43890.39990.15890.46490.1589
654250.59833.338467.85760.16440.65860.48180.2003
666259.185841.873576.4980.3750.97420.75810.5534
673938.98921.674256.30370.49950.00460.58910.0157
684028.60311.289745.91640.09850.11960.77264e-04
697254.801337.487572.11520.02580.95310.4910.3586
707062.762245.452580.07190.20620.14780.20620.7051
715448.111130.803365.41890.25240.00660.05790.1314
726555.626238.318472.93410.14420.57310.3940.394


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1593-0.28020230.503300
620.1745-0.00970.1450.2304115.366810.7409
630.137-0.08440.124828.607986.44729.2977
640.1784-0.04520.10494.957866.07488.1286
650.174-0.16990.117973.925367.64498.2247
660.14920.04750.10627.919957.69087.5954
670.22663e-040.0911e-0449.44927.032
680.30880.39850.1295129.89159.50457.7139
690.16120.31380.15295.793685.75889.2606
700.14070.11530.146552.386182.42159.0786
710.18350.12240.144334.679378.08138.8364
720.15870.16850.146387.867778.89698.8824