Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[43])
31	20056.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	16141.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	20359.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	19711.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	15638.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	14384.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	13855.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	14308.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	15290.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	14423.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	13779.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	15686.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	14733.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	12522.5	11285.9023	9788.6247	12783.18	0.0527	0	0	0
45	16189.4	16221.8893	14551.3181	17892.4605	0.4848	1	0	0.9596
46	16059.1	14413.7196	12472.1603	16355.2789	0.0484	0.0365	0	0.3733
47	16007.1	12160.3104	10017.0234	14303.5974	2e-04	2e-04	7e-04	0.0093
48	15806.8	10716.6386	8378.4576	13054.8195	0	0	0.0011	4e-04
49	15160	9951.0064	7436.2259	12465.787	0	0	0.0012	1e-04
50	15692.1	9927.2679	7246.5001	12608.0356	0	1e-04	7e-04	2e-04
51	18908.9	12683.3039	9846.5546	15520.0532	0	0.0188	0.0358	0.0783
52	16969.9	9006.4042	6021.7172	11991.0913	0	0	2e-04	1e-04
53	16997.5	10274.4442	7148.8441	13400.0444	0	0	0.014	0.0026
54	19858.9	11798.2902	8537.8518	15058.7286	0	9e-04	0.0097	0.0388
55	17681.2	10405.1546	7015.2401	13795.0691	0	0	0.0062	0.0062

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
44	0.0677	0.1096	0	1529173.7967	0	0
45	0.0525	-0.002	0.0558	1055.556	765114.6763	874.7083
46	0.0687	0.1142	0.0752	2707276.6764	1412502.0097	1188.4873
47	0.0899	0.3163	0.1355	14797790.5395	4758824.1422	2181.4729
48	0.1113	0.475	0.2034	25909743.3798	8989007.9897	2998.1674
49	0.1289	0.5235	0.2568	27133613.9602	12013108.9848	3465.9932
50	0.1378	0.5807	0.303	33233289.639	15044563.3639	3878.7322
51	0.1141	0.4908	0.3265	38758046.7473	18008748.7869	4243.6716
52	0.1691	0.8842	0.3885	63417264.8736	23054139.4632	4801.4726
53	0.1552	0.6543	0.4151	45199478.8179	25268673.3986	5026.7955
54	0.141	0.6832	0.4394	64973429.6139	28878196.6909	5373.8438
55	0.1662	0.6993	0.4611	52940837.0454	30883416.7205	5557.285