| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1751 | 0.2201 | 0.4863 | -0.3807 | -0.473 | -0.5641 | -0.242 |
| (p-val) | (0.466 ) | (0.2172 ) | (0.0016 ) | (0.1339 ) | (0.5402 ) | (0.1837 ) | (0.8314 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1818 | 0.2102 | 0.4858 | -0.3727 | -0.625 | -0.6385 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4564 ) | (0.2274 ) | (0.0017 ) | (0.1477 ) | (0.0031 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.2564 | 0.4426 | -0.4995 | -0.583 | -0.6647 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0839 ) | (0.0035 ) | (0.0012 ) | (0.0024 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.4509 | -0.4229 | -0.5333 | -0.6273 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0055 ) | (0.0026 ) | (0.0046 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -54.766009301795 |
| -354.35406693493 |
| -510.134777079171 |
| 547.727980567681 |
| -112.500080104682 |
| 318.046853415756 |
| 605.609126347507 |
| 108.679838799095 |
| -1149.94574965135 |
| 625.864515070817 |
| -465.384580407576 |
| -352.4744786683 |
| 321.602671169523 |
| 895.4257738214 |
| -1523.85493501189 |
| 1968.2167712407 |
| -647.723296566174 |
| 42.7822963186628 |
| -135.407186590958 |
| -836.62610822275 |
| 318.384718247227 |
| -1214.21173760287 |
| -2513.76843784076 |
| -862.989149823882 |
| -539.738942679065 |
| 535.854193648548 |
| -483.442187082145 |
| 1003.45493194236 |
| -756.97177536332 |
| 1047.92639383693 |
| 1091.45947762644 |
| 1061.69507868098 |
| -281.222531543768 |
| -277.470177102679 |
| 1284.47371274495 |
| 2402.61304577690 |
| -429.058369846770 |
| -778.825437721806 |
| 326.281148141033 |
| 704.362381527173 |
| -766.09714637175 |
| 586.657265078891 |
| -687.58598156288 |
