Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[46])
34	237.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	226.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	220.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	239.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	224.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	230.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	233.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	256.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	253.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	224.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	210.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	191.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	198.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	211.04	201.9446	165.1406	242.4478	0.3299	0.5595	0.1141	0.5595
48	206.25	201.9446	144.7332	268.6626	0.4497	0.3947	0.2965	0.5362
49	201.51	201.9446	130.9559	288.2473	0.4961	0.4611	0.1977	0.528
50	194.54	201.9446	120.1436	304.8669	0.4439	0.5033	0.3325	0.5235
51	191.07	201.9446	111.1199	319.6979	0.4282	0.549	0.3144	0.5205
52	192.82	201.9446	103.3269	333.2983	0.4459	0.5645	0.319	0.5184
53	181.88	201.9446	96.4475	345.985	0.3924	0.5494	0.2281	0.5168
54	157.67	201.9446	90.2813	357.9585	0.289	0.5995	0.259	0.5155
55	195.82	201.9446	84.692	369.3552	0.4714	0.6979	0.3938	0.5145
56	246.25	201.9446	79.5816	380.2729	0.3131	0.5268	0.4631	0.5136
57	271.69	201.9446	74.8774	390.7845	0.2346	0.3228	0.5449	0.5128
58	270.29	201.9446	70.5231	400.9462	0.2504	0.2461	0.5122	0.5122

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
47	0.1023	0.045	0	82.7268	0	0
48	0.1686	0.0213	0.0332	18.5367	50.6317	7.1156
49	0.218	-0.0022	0.0228	0.1889	33.8174	5.8153
50	0.26	-0.0367	0.0263	54.8277	39.07	6.2506
51	0.2975	-0.0538	0.0318	118.2564	54.9073	7.4099
52	0.3319	-0.0452	0.034	83.2578	59.6324	7.7222
53	0.3639	-0.0994	0.0434	402.5871	108.6259	10.4224
54	0.3942	-0.2192	0.0654	1960.2379	340.0774	18.4412
55	0.423	-0.0303	0.0615	37.5104	306.4588	17.506
56	0.4505	0.2194	0.0773	1962.9708	472.11	21.7281
57	0.4771	0.3454	0.1016	4864.4245	871.4114	29.5197
58	0.5028	0.3384	0.1214	4671.0973	1188.0519	34.4681