Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = + 3.49514166391521 -0.240396339657892Tijd[t] + 0.242393786561951KnowingPeople[t] + 0.365785984054008Liked[t] + 0.62160080454706Celebrity[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 3.49514166391521 | 3.53926 | 0.9875 | 0.32496 | 0.16248 |
Tijd | -0.240396339657892 | 0.363679 | -0.661 | 0.509611 | 0.254806 |
KnowingPeople | 0.242393786561951 | 0.061463 | 3.9438 | 0.000122 | 6.1e-05 |
Liked | 0.365785984054008 | 0.0971 | 3.7671 | 0.000236 | 0.000118 |
Celebrity | 0.62160080454706 | 0.156427 | 3.9738 | 0.000109 | 5.5e-05 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.705290485738547 |
R-squared | 0.497434669273315 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.484121680379893 |
F-TEST (value) | 37.3646123538115 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 4 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 151 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.10922287268072 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 671.771990122567 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 11.3451078252048 | 1.65489217479524 |
2 | 12 | 11.1339467149272 | 0.866053285072809 |
3 | 15 | 13.8224806178841 | 1.17751938211590 |
4 | 12 | 11.1473677488583 | 0.852632251141696 |
5 | 10 | 10.8871623199431 | -0.88716231994308 |
6 | 12 | 9.28256533521712 | 2.71743466478288 |
7 | 15 | 16.7668293413340 | -1.76682934133403 |
8 | 9 | 10.5079553019580 | -1.50795530195797 |
9 | 12 | 12.3324946138059 | -0.332494613805853 |
10 | 11 | 8.5644144010402 | 2.4355855989598 |
11 | 11 | 14.0604837960239 | -3.06048379602387 |
12 | 11 | 12.1169428951061 | -1.11694289510610 |
13 | 15 | 12.3415250393148 | 2.65847496068521 |
14 | 7 | 11.1161350725739 | -4.11613507257393 |
15 | 11 | 11.5131537329123 | -0.513153732912306 |
16 | 11 | 10.9927428750819 | 0.00725712491812329 |
17 | 10 | 12.1169428951061 | -2.11694289510610 |
18 | 14 | 14.5496619775699 | -0.549661977569941 |
19 | 10 | 8.80680818760215 | 1.19319181239785 |
20 | 6 | 10.0231677288341 | -4.02316772883407 |
21 | 11 | 9.02675051472407 | 1.97324948527593 |
22 | 15 | 14.5630830115010 | 0.436916988498959 |
23 | 11 | 11.7333452686988 | -0.73334526869883 |
24 | 12 | 9.53838015571017 | 2.46161984428983 |
25 | 14 | 13.4523040254079 | 0.547695974592085 |
26 | 15 | 15.0344495506938 | -0.034449550693843 |
27 | 9 | 14.805476798063 | -5.80547679806299 |
28 | 13 | 12.9540954183529 | 0.0459045816470873 |
29 | 13 | 13.5756962229000 | -0.575696222899973 |
30 | 16 | 10.8781318944341 | 5.12186810556585 |
31 | 13 | 8.6834159901101 | 4.31658400988990 |
32 | 12 | 13.8315110433930 | -1.83151104339302 |
33 | 14 | 14.5630830115010 | -0.563083011501041 |
34 | 11 | 10.5123459103801 | 0.487654089619862 |
35 | 9 | 10.5079553019580 | -1.50795530195797 |
36 | 16 | 14.4262697800779 | 1.57373021992212 |
37 | 12 | 12.9719070607062 | -0.971907060706176 |
38 | 10 | 9.67080277871116 | 0.329197221288836 |
39 | 13 | 13.2099102388460 | -0.209910238845964 |
40 | 16 | 15.4136565686790 | 0.586343431321049 |
41 | 14 | 12.967516452284 | 1.03248354771599 |
42 | 15 | 8.4319917780392 | 6.56800822196079 |
43 | 5 | 9.52495912177907 | -4.52495912177907 |
44 | 8 | 10.6313474994500 | -2.63134749945003 |
45 | 11 | 11.3897615354202 | -0.389761535420249 |
46 | 16 | 13.9549032408851 | 2.04509675911492 |
47 | 17 | 13.1964892049149 | 3.80351079508514 |
48 | 9 | 8.1986284169862 | 0.801371583013807 |
49 | 9 | 12.103521861175 | -3.103521861175 |
50 | 13 | 14.7920557641319 | -1.79205576413189 |
51 | 10 | 11.0283661597884 | -1.02836615978840 |
52 | 6 | 12.480335717642 | -6.48033571764201 |
53 | 12 | 12.2289115055711 | -0.228911505571119 |
54 | 8 | 10.2719495707222 | -2.27194957072225 |
55 | 14 | 12.1055193080791 | 1.89448069192094 |
56 | 12 | 12.3479130946410 | -0.347913094641013 |
57 | 11 | 10.8757387329160 | 0.124261267083957 |
58 | 16 | 14.551659424474 | 1.448340575526 |
59 | 8 | 10.2451075028600 | -2.24510750286005 |
60 | 15 | 15.1866812629522 | -0.186681262952160 |
61 | 7 | 9.28456278212118 | -2.28456278212118 |
62 | 16 | 13.820087456366 | 2.17991254363402 |
63 | 14 | 13.8156968479438 | 0.18430315205618 |
64 | 16 | 13.7010858672961 | 2.29891413270391 |
65 | 9 | 10.0429768180914 | -1.04297681809140 |
66 | 14 | 12.1055193080791 | 1.89448069192094 |
67 | 11 | 12.8461217016960 | -1.84612170169602 |
68 | 13 | 10.2853706046533 | 2.71462939534665 |
69 | 15 | 12.7271201126261 | 2.27287988737388 |
70 | 5 | 5.13288494294826 | -0.132884942948255 |
71 | 15 | 12.3479130946410 | 2.65208690535899 |
72 | 13 | 12.1055193080791 | 0.894480691920938 |
73 | 11 | 11.9865177190092 | -0.986517719009168 |
74 | 11 | 14.4326578354041 | -3.43265783540411 |
75 | 12 | 12.4847263260642 | -0.484726326064171 |
76 | 12 | 13.2119076857500 | -1.21190768575002 |
77 | 12 | 11.982127110587 | 0.0178728894129951 |
78 | 12 | 12.1055193080791 | -0.105519308079062 |
79 | 14 | 10.6377355547763 | 3.36226444522374 |
80 | 6 | 7.81238842039621 | -1.81238842039621 |
81 | 7 | 9.66376980010629 | -2.66376980010629 |
82 | 14 | 12.3613341285721 | 1.63866587142789 |
83 | 14 | 13.8244780647881 | 0.175521935211853 |
84 | 10 | 11.2549457509012 | -1.25494575090115 |
85 | 13 | 8.55738142243533 | 4.44261857756467 |
86 | 12 | 12.1189403420102 | -0.118940342010162 |
87 | 9 | 9.17459161856022 | -0.174591618560221 |
88 | 12 | 12.3523037030632 | -0.352303703063177 |
89 | 16 | 14.9442874763902 | 1.05571252360979 |
90 | 10 | 10.1485573732302 | -0.148557373230189 |
91 | 14 | 13.0972967051023 | 0.902703294897706 |
92 | 10 | 13.4586920807341 | -3.45869208073414 |
93 | 16 | 15.1732602290211 | 0.82673977097894 |
94 | 15 | 13.4543014723120 | 1.54569852768802 |
95 | 12 | 11.2549457509012 | 0.745054249098849 |
96 | 10 | 9.54037760261423 | 0.45962239738577 |
97 | 8 | 10.5455760335686 | -2.54557603356856 |
98 | 8 | 8.31059702745121 | -0.310597027451210 |
99 | 11 | 13.0794850627490 | -2.07948506274903 |
100 | 13 | 12.2423325395022 | 0.75766746049778 |
101 | 16 | 15.415654015583 | 0.584345984416989 |
102 | 16 | 14.5650804584051 | 1.4349195415949 |
103 | 14 | 15.5256251791440 | -1.52562517914397 |
104 | 11 | 8.92316740648933 | 2.07683259351067 |
105 | 4 | 6.9618148632183 | -2.96181486321830 |
106 | 14 | 14.3404983141964 | -0.340498314196413 |
107 | 9 | 10.3775301258610 | -1.37753012586104 |
108 | 14 | 15.1866812629522 | -1.18668126295216 |
109 | 8 | 10.5009223233531 | -2.5009223233531 |
110 | 8 | 11.2459153253922 | -3.24591532539222 |
111 | 11 | 12.2289115055711 | -1.22891150557112 |
112 | 12 | 13.8335084902971 | -1.83350849029708 |
113 | 11 | 11.2727573932544 | -0.272757393254415 |
114 | 14 | 13.4586920807341 | 0.541307919265861 |
115 | 15 | 14.2036850827733 | 0.796314917226744 |
116 | 16 | 13.3352998832421 | 2.66470011675792 |
117 | 16 | 13.3352998832421 | 2.66470011675792 |
118 | 11 | 12.6125091319784 | -1.61250913197839 |
119 | 14 | 13.5776936698040 | 0.422306330195967 |
120 | 14 | 10.8757387329160 | 3.12426126708396 |
121 | 12 | 11.2415247169701 | 0.758475283029949 |
122 | 14 | 12.4669146837109 | 1.53308531628909 |
123 | 8 | 10.1485573732302 | -2.14855737323019 |
124 | 13 | 13.5776936698040 | -0.577693669804033 |
125 | 16 | 13.5776936698040 | 2.42230633019597 |
126 | 12 | 10.7745487861994 | 1.22545121380059 |
127 | 16 | 15.3100734604442 | 0.689926539555782 |
128 | 12 | 13.2119076857500 | -1.21190768575002 |
129 | 11 | 11.7441239324472 | -0.744123932447217 |
130 | 4 | 6.49508814111227 | -2.49508814111227 |
131 | 16 | 15.3100734604442 | 0.689926539555782 |
132 | 15 | 12.4847263260642 | 2.51527367393583 |
133 | 10 | 11.3693075228843 | -1.36930752288427 |
134 | 13 | 12.9739045076102 | 0.0260954923897635 |
135 | 15 | 13.0929060966801 | 1.90709390331987 |
136 | 12 | 10.5143433572842 | 1.48565664271580 |
137 | 14 | 13.5776936698040 | 0.422306330195967 |
138 | 7 | 10.4965317149309 | -3.49653171493093 |
139 | 19 | 13.9434796538580 | 5.05652034614196 |
140 | 12 | 12.7136990786950 | -0.713699078695022 |
141 | 12 | 12.2110998632179 | -0.211099863217856 |
142 | 13 | 13.3352998832421 | -0.335299883242082 |
143 | 15 | 12.8236702422560 | 2.17632975774402 |
144 | 8 | 8.1962352554681 | -0.196235255468090 |
145 | 12 | 10.7567371438461 | 1.24326285615385 |
146 | 10 | 10.5455760335686 | -0.545576033568562 |
147 | 8 | 11.2593363593233 | -3.25933635932331 |
148 | 10 | 13.9434796538580 | -3.94347965385804 |
149 | 15 | 13.820087456366 | 1.17991254363402 |
150 | 16 | 14.4594999032663 | 1.54050009673369 |
151 | 13 | 13.1063271306112 | -0.106327130611230 |
152 | 16 | 14.9308664424591 | 1.06913355754089 |
153 | 9 | 10.1485573732302 | -1.14855737323019 |
154 | 14 | 13.2162982941722 | 0.783701705827813 |
155 | 14 | 12.6037279151341 | 1.39627208486594 |
156 | 12 | 10.1217153053680 | 1.87828469463201 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
8 | 0.127514957262765 | 0.255029914525530 | 0.872485042737235 |
9 | 0.0635313000659471 | 0.127062600131894 | 0.936468699934053 |
10 | 0.0847751220823577 | 0.169550244164715 | 0.915224877917642 |
11 | 0.0433853298095546 | 0.0867706596191093 | 0.956614670190445 |
12 | 0.0196112708280225 | 0.039222541656045 | 0.980388729171978 |
13 | 0.346571630621525 | 0.69314326124305 | 0.653428369378475 |
14 | 0.696739602581205 | 0.606520794837589 | 0.303260397418795 |
15 | 0.621500725383042 | 0.756998549233916 | 0.378499274616958 |
16 | 0.530986057313098 | 0.938027885373805 | 0.469013942686902 |
17 | 0.487925986037719 | 0.975851972075437 | 0.512074013962281 |
18 | 0.406683686924412 | 0.813367373848825 | 0.593316313075588 |
19 | 0.332468526230137 | 0.664937052460273 | 0.667531473769863 |
20 | 0.59979977150374 | 0.80040045699252 | 0.40020022849626 |
21 | 0.531636574289975 | 0.93672685142005 | 0.468363425710025 |
22 | 0.498966590680976 | 0.997933181361951 | 0.501033409319024 |
23 | 0.429768269352671 | 0.859536538705343 | 0.570231730647329 |
24 | 0.416451148700541 | 0.832902297401083 | 0.583548851299459 |
25 | 0.383300093023595 | 0.76660018604719 | 0.616699906976405 |
26 | 0.327995456298815 | 0.65599091259763 | 0.672004543701185 |
27 | 0.598933898808472 | 0.802132202383057 | 0.401066101191528 |
28 | 0.538237336626264 | 0.923525326747471 | 0.461762663373736 |
29 | 0.478615444546823 | 0.957230889093645 | 0.521384555453177 |
30 | 0.648766198353575 | 0.70246760329285 | 0.351233801646425 |
31 | 0.773077836349461 | 0.453844327301079 | 0.226922163650539 |
32 | 0.736123722411629 | 0.527752555176742 | 0.263876277588371 |
33 | 0.69420877756902 | 0.61158244486196 | 0.30579122243098 |
34 | 0.649221804905754 | 0.701556390188493 | 0.350778195094246 |
35 | 0.63871822750469 | 0.72256354499062 | 0.36128177249531 |
36 | 0.657303729395 | 0.68539254121 | 0.342696270605 |
37 | 0.616163625580746 | 0.767672748838509 | 0.383836374419254 |
38 | 0.561773939453182 | 0.876452121093637 | 0.438226060546818 |
39 | 0.511722773396646 | 0.976554453206708 | 0.488277226603354 |
40 | 0.493674700182179 | 0.987349400364358 | 0.506325299817821 |
41 | 0.466213791791783 | 0.932427583583565 | 0.533786208208217 |
42 | 0.753477446875755 | 0.493045106248489 | 0.246522553124245 |
43 | 0.929115161530606 | 0.141769676938788 | 0.0708848384693939 |
44 | 0.943523597097611 | 0.112952805804777 | 0.0564764029023886 |
45 | 0.928463589076474 | 0.143072821847052 | 0.0715364109235262 |
46 | 0.934605231571096 | 0.130789536857808 | 0.065394768428904 |
47 | 0.969734025086922 | 0.0605319498261568 | 0.0302659749130784 |
48 | 0.96700997644179 | 0.0659800471164207 | 0.0329900235582103 |
49 | 0.97097436446139 | 0.0580512710772196 | 0.0290256355386098 |
50 | 0.96414648588855 | 0.0717070282228996 | 0.0358535141114498 |
51 | 0.957311057493635 | 0.0853778850127303 | 0.0426889425063651 |
52 | 0.984679798943632 | 0.0306404021127369 | 0.0153202010563684 |
53 | 0.987727911814627 | 0.0245441763707453 | 0.0122720881853727 |
54 | 0.985144503303812 | 0.0297109933923761 | 0.0148554966961881 |
55 | 0.991225500085354 | 0.0175489998292923 | 0.00877449991464617 |
56 | 0.98900185190436 | 0.0219962961912814 | 0.0109981480956407 |
57 | 0.985630062633828 | 0.0287398747323433 | 0.0143699373661716 |
58 | 0.986278567389698 | 0.0274428652206048 | 0.0137214326103024 |
59 | 0.98769075233253 | 0.0246184953349387 | 0.0123092476674693 |
60 | 0.985492872904674 | 0.0290142541906528 | 0.0145071270953264 |
61 | 0.98525408462663 | 0.0294918307467402 | 0.0147459153733701 |
62 | 0.988450982361008 | 0.023098035277983 | 0.0115490176389915 |
63 | 0.985841244351123 | 0.0283175112977535 | 0.0141587556488767 |
64 | 0.987678297997942 | 0.0246434040041154 | 0.0123217020020577 |
65 | 0.984176638557192 | 0.0316467228856153 | 0.0158233614428077 |
66 | 0.98379098611905 | 0.0324180277619016 | 0.0162090138809508 |
67 | 0.982565027399357 | 0.0348699452012865 | 0.0174349726006433 |
68 | 0.986342795345818 | 0.0273144093083631 | 0.0136572046541815 |
69 | 0.987192962559734 | 0.0256140748805327 | 0.0128070374402664 |
70 | 0.983343748871827 | 0.0333125022563462 | 0.0166562511281731 |
71 | 0.985894884806572 | 0.0282102303868554 | 0.0141051151934277 |
72 | 0.98194757604818 | 0.0361048479036409 | 0.0180524239518204 |
73 | 0.977584521953422 | 0.0448309560931568 | 0.0224154780465784 |
74 | 0.986884147637398 | 0.0262317047252046 | 0.0131158523626023 |
75 | 0.982613605666612 | 0.0347727886667765 | 0.0173863943333883 |
76 | 0.979350378079672 | 0.0412992438406559 | 0.0206496219203280 |
77 | 0.972830817223086 | 0.0543383655538287 | 0.0271691827769143 |
78 | 0.964643581992183 | 0.070712836015633 | 0.0353564180078165 |
79 | 0.978433634725952 | 0.0431327305480958 | 0.0215663652740479 |
80 | 0.97694291731598 | 0.0461141653680395 | 0.0230570826840197 |
81 | 0.979717148056942 | 0.0405657038861164 | 0.0202828519430582 |
82 | 0.977449898054504 | 0.0451002038909926 | 0.0225501019454963 |
83 | 0.970418781515412 | 0.0591624369691754 | 0.0295812184845877 |
84 | 0.964729758704368 | 0.0705404825912636 | 0.0352702412956318 |
85 | 0.99112269684952 | 0.0177546063009617 | 0.00887730315048086 |
86 | 0.987842174579449 | 0.0243156508411029 | 0.0121578254205514 |
87 | 0.983718378002019 | 0.0325632439959624 | 0.0162816219979812 |
88 | 0.978274473297597 | 0.0434510534048054 | 0.0217255267024027 |
89 | 0.972923364811018 | 0.0541532703779631 | 0.0270766351889815 |
90 | 0.96475448192464 | 0.0704910361507215 | 0.0352455180753608 |
91 | 0.957065297745902 | 0.085869404508196 | 0.042934702254098 |
92 | 0.975831050007902 | 0.0483378999841951 | 0.0241689499920975 |
93 | 0.96920579020948 | 0.0615884195810413 | 0.0307942097905206 |
94 | 0.963939016715154 | 0.0721219665696915 | 0.0360609832848457 |
95 | 0.954982518197891 | 0.090034963604217 | 0.0450174818021086 |
96 | 0.945075036472616 | 0.109849927054767 | 0.0549249635273837 |
97 | 0.946072682890616 | 0.107854634218769 | 0.0539273171093843 |
98 | 0.93265195346162 | 0.134696093076761 | 0.0673480465383807 |
99 | 0.935925548281581 | 0.128148903436838 | 0.0640744517184188 |
100 | 0.921476855227734 | 0.157046289544533 | 0.0785231447722663 |
101 | 0.90370584138813 | 0.192588317223740 | 0.0962941586118698 |
102 | 0.888096787549133 | 0.223806424901734 | 0.111903212450867 |
103 | 0.893902365293411 | 0.212195269413177 | 0.106097634706589 |
104 | 0.921301947231 | 0.157396105538000 | 0.0786980527689998 |
105 | 0.920507876708337 | 0.158984246583325 | 0.0794921232916627 |
106 | 0.900521600571826 | 0.198956798856349 | 0.0994783994281743 |
107 | 0.883589442658997 | 0.232821114682007 | 0.116410557341003 |
108 | 0.882534610109942 | 0.234930779780115 | 0.117465389890058 |
109 | 0.886036146040042 | 0.227927707919916 | 0.113963853959958 |
110 | 0.916446589682532 | 0.167106820634935 | 0.0835534103174675 |
111 | 0.906060678089456 | 0.187878643821088 | 0.0939393219105441 |
112 | 0.91673274941309 | 0.166534501173820 | 0.0832672505869099 |
113 | 0.893831387320111 | 0.212337225359778 | 0.106168612679889 |
114 | 0.867545852904492 | 0.264908294191017 | 0.132454147095508 |
115 | 0.837536278829772 | 0.324927442340456 | 0.162463721170228 |
116 | 0.84319490888362 | 0.313610182232762 | 0.156805091116381 |
117 | 0.849763058830443 | 0.300473882339113 | 0.150236941169556 |
118 | 0.836667664596908 | 0.326664670806185 | 0.163332335403092 |
119 | 0.800000724658608 | 0.399998550682785 | 0.199999275341392 |
120 | 0.854803327722928 | 0.290393344554144 | 0.145196672277072 |
121 | 0.823976274679679 | 0.352047450640642 | 0.176023725320321 |
122 | 0.79928108298358 | 0.401437834032842 | 0.200718917016421 |
123 | 0.788373598192652 | 0.423252803614696 | 0.211626401807348 |
124 | 0.755906450122305 | 0.488187099755389 | 0.244093549877695 |
125 | 0.750807158949071 | 0.498385682101858 | 0.249192841050929 |
126 | 0.728737454402369 | 0.542525091195262 | 0.271262545597631 |
127 | 0.675550849494946 | 0.648898301010108 | 0.324449150505054 |
128 | 0.657244110423703 | 0.685511779152594 | 0.342755889576297 |
129 | 0.601329681796972 | 0.797340636406055 | 0.398670318203028 |
130 | 0.561866495788193 | 0.876267008423613 | 0.438133504211807 |
131 | 0.49779025060864 | 0.99558050121728 | 0.50220974939136 |
132 | 0.505926457895498 | 0.988147084209005 | 0.494073542104502 |
133 | 0.459710424868903 | 0.919420849737805 | 0.540289575131097 |
134 | 0.390644325090296 | 0.781288650180593 | 0.609355674909704 |
135 | 0.3549824839198 | 0.7099649678396 | 0.6450175160802 |
136 | 0.331670677023814 | 0.663341354047628 | 0.668329322976186 |
137 | 0.264956720477079 | 0.529913440954157 | 0.735043279522921 |
138 | 0.381306222063638 | 0.762612444127276 | 0.618693777936362 |
139 | 0.67663021674644 | 0.64673956650712 | 0.32336978325356 |
140 | 0.613069329603474 | 0.773861340793051 | 0.386930670396526 |
141 | 0.543317412468145 | 0.91336517506371 | 0.456682587531855 |
142 | 0.456154993704211 | 0.912309987408423 | 0.543845006295789 |
143 | 0.405471703876934 | 0.810943407753868 | 0.594528296123066 |
144 | 0.312551990742469 | 0.625103981484937 | 0.687448009257531 |
145 | 0.248839834498755 | 0.49767966899751 | 0.751160165501245 |
146 | 0.176123282327660 | 0.352246564655319 | 0.82387671767234 |
147 | 0.209021068295575 | 0.418042136591151 | 0.790978931704425 |
148 | 0.848122652962786 | 0.303754694074427 | 0.151877347037214 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 35 | 0.24822695035461 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 51 | 0.361702127659574 | NOK |