Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	506	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	502	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	516	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	528	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	533	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	536	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	524	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	536	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	587	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	597	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	581	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	564	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	558	555.0217	539.1177	570.5256	0.3533	0.1282	1	0.1282
51	575	563.1088	538.4011	586.8771	0.1634	0.6632	0.9999	0.4707
52	580	570.9913	538.2653	602.1099	0.2852	0.4003	0.9966	0.6702
53	575	570.612	529.6948	609.0434	0.4115	0.316	0.9725	0.632
54	563	566.7401	517.4041	612.4808	0.4363	0.3617	0.9061	0.5467
55	552	566.044	508.5447	618.7077	0.3006	0.5451	0.8601	0.5303
56	537	553.3051	486.2244	613.7499	0.2985	0.5169	0.829	0.3644
57	545	560.7331	486.4757	627.0311	0.3209	0.7585	0.7677	0.4615
58	601	609.0063	533.4595	676.922	0.4086	0.9676	0.7373	0.903
59	604	617.5764	536.0175	690.4152	0.3574	0.6722	0.7101	0.9253
60	586	602.7391	511.9056	682.635	0.3407	0.4877	0.7031	0.829
61	564	587.248	486.5351	674.3551	0.3005	0.5112	0.6995	0.6995

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0143	0.0054	0	8.8705	0	0
51	0.0215	0.0211	0.0132	141.4006	75.1355	8.6681
52	0.0278	0.0158	0.0141	81.1558	77.1423	8.7831
53	0.0344	0.0077	0.0125	19.2547	62.6704	7.9165
54	0.0412	-0.0066	0.0113	13.9882	52.934	7.2756
55	0.0475	-0.0248	0.0136	197.2352	76.9842	8.7741
56	0.0557	-0.0295	0.0158	265.8577	103.9661	10.1964
57	0.0603	-0.0281	0.0174	247.5311	121.9117	11.0414
58	0.0569	-0.0131	0.0169	64.1011	115.4883	10.7465
59	0.0602	-0.022	0.0174	184.3196	122.3715	11.0622
60	0.0676	-0.0278	0.0183	280.1983	136.7194	11.6927
61	0.0757	-0.0396	0.0201	540.4707	170.3653	13.0524