Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
54	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	45.9	24.7039	67.0961	0.2617	0.1316	0.7947	0.1316
62	49	40.4	19.2039	61.5961	0.2132	0.5515	0.9556	0.0518
63	58	60.3	39.1039	81.4961	0.4158	0.852	0.688	0.5842
64	47	56.7	35.5039	77.8961	0.1849	0.4522	0.1094	0.4522
65	42	49.8	28.6039	70.9961	0.2354	0.6021	0.1296	0.2242
66	62	57.3	36.1039	78.4961	0.3319	0.9214	0.4742	0.4742
67	39	45.9	24.7039	67.0961	0.2617	0.0683	0.7383	0.1316
68	40	40.4	19.2039	61.5961	0.4852	0.5515	0.2132	0.0518
69	72	60.3	39.1039	81.4961	0.1396	0.9698	0.5842	0.5842
70	70	56.7	35.5039	77.8961	0.1094	0.0786	0.8151	0.4522
71	54	49.8	28.6039	70.9961	0.3489	0.0309	0.7646	0.2242
72	65	57.3	36.1039	78.4961	0.2382	0.6199	0.3319	0.4742

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.2356	-0.1503	0	47.6099	0	0
62	0.2677	0.2129	0.1816	73.9601	60.785	7.7965
63	0.1793	-0.0381	0.1338	5.29	42.2867	6.5028
64	0.1907	-0.1711	0.1431	94.0899	55.2375	7.4322
65	0.2172	-0.1566	0.1458	60.8399	56.358	7.5072
66	0.1887	0.082	0.1352	22.0901	50.6466	7.1166
67	0.2356	-0.1503	0.1373	47.6099	50.2128	7.0861
68	0.2677	-0.0099	0.1214	0.16	43.9562	6.6299
69	0.1793	0.194	0.1295	136.8901	54.2822	7.3676
70	0.1907	0.2346	0.14	176.8902	66.543	8.1574
71	0.2172	0.0843	0.1349	17.64	62.0973	7.8802
72	0.1887	0.1344	0.1349	59.2901	61.8634	7.8653