Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	58.0001	33.2393	82.761	0.0663	0.5	0.4371	0.5
62	49	57.4002	22.7349	92.0654	0.3174	0.8509	0.5315	0.4865
63	58	70.8002	28.4888	113.1116	0.2766	0.8437	0.7234	0.7234
64	47	55.8002	7.027	104.5735	0.3618	0.4648	0.5922	0.4648
65	42	56.2003	1.7264	110.6742	0.3047	0.6297	0.5742	0.4742
66	62	64.2003	4.5683	123.8324	0.4712	0.7672	0.6436	0.5807
67	39	43.8004	-20.5779	108.1786	0.4419	0.2898	0.582	0.3328
68	40	33.4005	-35.3973	102.1982	0.4254	0.4366	0.6273	0.2417
69	72	59.8005	-13.1495	132.7506	0.3715	0.7026	0.5513	0.5193
70	70	67.6006	-9.2777	144.479	0.4756	0.4553	0.4756	0.5967
71	54	53.4007	-27.2148	134.0162	0.4942	0.3433	0.4172	0.4555
72	65	60.4008	-23.7861	144.5877	0.4574	0.5592	0.5223	0.5223

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.2178	-0.3276	0	361.0057	0	0
62	0.3081	-0.1463	0.237	70.5628	215.7842	14.6896
63	0.3049	-0.1808	0.2182	163.8449	198.4711	14.088
64	0.446	-0.1577	0.2031	77.444	168.2144	12.9697
65	0.4945	-0.2527	0.213	201.6478	174.901	13.225
66	0.4739	-0.0343	0.1832	4.8414	146.5578	12.1061
67	0.7499	-0.1096	0.1727	23.0438	128.9129	11.354
68	1.0509	0.1976	0.1758	43.5539	118.243	10.874
69	0.6224	0.204	0.179	148.8269	121.6412	11.0291
70	0.5802	0.0355	0.1646	5.757	110.0528	10.4906
71	0.7702	0.0112	0.1507	0.3591	100.0807	10.004
72	0.7111	0.0761	0.1445	21.1525	93.5033	9.6697