Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[45])
33	295.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	237.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	226.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	220.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	239.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	224.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	230.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	233.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	256.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	253.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	224.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	210.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	191.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	198.85	186.3209	138.4205	234.2214	0.3041	0.4226	0.0183	0.4226
47	211.04	186.3209	108.6288	264.0131	0.2664	0.376	0.1533	0.4521
48	206.25	186.3209	87.4387	285.2031	0.3464	0.3121	0.2513	0.4623
49	201.19	186.3209	70.0484	302.5935	0.401	0.3685	0.1856	0.468
50	194.37	186.3209	54.9401	317.7018	0.4522	0.4122	0.2835	0.4716
51	191.08	186.3209	41.3984	331.2435	0.4743	0.4567	0.2729	0.4743
52	192.87	186.3209	29.0182	343.6237	0.4675	0.4764	0.2784	0.4763
53	181.61	186.3209	17.5436	355.0983	0.4782	0.4697	0.2069	0.4779
54	157.67	186.3209	6.801	365.8409	0.3772	0.5205	0.2319	0.4792
55	196.14	186.3209	-3.3341	375.9759	0.4596	0.6164	0.3449	0.4803
56	246.35	186.3209	-12.9543	385.5962	0.2775	0.4615	0.4065	0.4813
57	271.9	186.3209	-22.1311	394.773	0.2105	0.2862	0.4821	0.4821

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
46	0.1312	0.0672	0	156.9775	0	0
47	0.2127	0.1327	0.1	611.0321	384.0048	19.596
48	0.2708	0.107	0.1023	397.1676	388.3924	19.7077
49	0.3184	0.0798	0.0967	221.0891	346.5666	18.6163
50	0.3598	0.0432	0.086	64.7874	290.2107	17.0356
51	0.3968	0.0255	0.0759	22.6487	245.6171	15.6722
52	0.4307	0.0351	0.0701	42.8902	216.6561	14.7192
53	0.4622	-0.0253	0.0645	22.1929	192.3482	13.869
54	0.4916	-0.1538	0.0744	820.8761	262.1846	16.1921
55	0.5193	0.0527	0.0722	96.414	245.6076	15.6719
56	0.5457	0.3222	0.095	3603.4886	550.8695	23.4706
57	0.5708	0.4593	0.1253	7323.7763	1115.2784	33.3958