Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613954.325637.403671.24760.03790.33520.25550.3352
624949.487732.565366.410.47750.88780.22530.1621
635862.931945.913379.95050.2850.94570.7150.715
644749.046431.860966.2320.40770.15360.45670.1536
654250.523333.266867.77980.16650.65550.47840.1979
666259.323542.010776.63630.38090.97510.7630.5596
673939.187421.870456.50440.49150.00490.59780.0166
684028.749111.433346.06480.10140.1230.77755e-04
697254.896537.57972.2140.02640.95410.49530.3627
707062.739145.423380.05480.20560.14730.20560.7042
715448.135630.821265.44990.25340.00670.05830.1321
726555.573938.259572.88820.1430.57070.39180.3918


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1589-0.28210234.873500
620.1745-0.00990.1460.2378117.555710.8423
630.138-0.07840.123424.323786.47849.2994
640.1788-0.04170.1034.187965.90588.1182
650.1743-0.16870.116272.646867.2548.2009
660.14890.04510.10437.163457.23897.5656
670.2255-0.00480.09010.035149.06697.0048
680.30730.39130.1278126.583658.75657.6653
690.16090.31160.1482292.529884.73139.205
700.14080.11570.144952.720981.53039.0294
710.18350.12180.142834.391677.24498.7889
720.1590.16960.145188.851978.21228.8438