Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[45])
33	295.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	237.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	226.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	220.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	239.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	224.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	230.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	233.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	256.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	253.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	224.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	210.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	191.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	198.85	192.7578	147.7596	237.7561	0.3954	0.529	0.026	0.529
47	211.04	198.1646	123.8087	272.5204	0.3672	0.4928	0.2248	0.574
48	206.25	182.4044	87.3637	277.4451	0.3114	0.2774	0.2182	0.4289
49	201.19	180.6536	68.6863	292.6209	0.3596	0.3271	0.1521	0.4275
50	194.37	162.4928	35.8412	289.1444	0.3109	0.2746	0.1679	0.329
51	191.08	156.9188	17.1169	296.7208	0.316	0.2998	0.1496	0.3159
52	192.87	183.6425	31.8251	335.4599	0.4526	0.4618	0.26	0.4617
53	181.61	193.5553	30.606	356.5046	0.4429	0.5033	0.2238	0.5118
54	157.67	186.9257	13.5578	360.2935	0.3704	0.524	0.2261	0.4812
55	196.14	196.0925	12.8976	379.2874	0.4998	0.6595	0.3788	0.5213
56	246.35	196.7623	4.2414	389.2833	0.3068	0.5025	0.4449	0.523
57	271.9	209.9136	8.498	411.3292	0.2732	0.3615	0.5727	0.5727

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
46	0.1191	0.0316	0	37.1144	0	0
47	0.1914	0.065	0.0483	165.777	101.4457	10.072
48	0.2658	0.1307	0.0758	568.6142	257.1685	16.0365
49	0.3162	0.1137	0.0852	421.7445	298.3125	17.2717
50	0.3977	0.1962	0.1074	1016.1551	441.881	21.021
51	0.4546	0.2177	0.1258	1166.9843	562.7316	23.722
52	0.4218	0.0502	0.115	85.1466	494.5052	22.2375
53	0.4295	-0.0617	0.1084	142.6905	450.5283	21.2257
54	0.4732	-0.1565	0.1137	855.8943	495.569	22.2614
55	0.4766	2e-04	0.1024	0.0023	446.0123	21.119
56	0.4992	0.252	0.116	2458.9386	629.0056	25.08
57	0.4895	0.2953	0.1309	3842.3139	896.7813	29.9463