Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[43])
31	20056.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	16141.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	20359.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	19711.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	15638.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	14384.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	13855.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	14308.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	15290.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	14423.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	13779.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	15686.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	14733.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	12522.5	11285.9023	9788.6248	12783.1799	0.0527	0	0	0
45	16189.4	16221.8893	14551.3181	17892.4605	0.4848	1	0	0.9596
46	16059.1	14413.7196	12472.1603	16355.2789	0.0484	0.0365	0	0.3733
47	16007.1	12160.3104	10017.0234	14303.5974	2e-04	2e-04	7e-04	0.0093
48	15806.8	10716.6386	8378.4577	13054.8196	0	0	0.0011	4e-04
49	15160	9951.0065	7436.2259	12465.787	0	0	0.0012	1e-04
50	15692.1	9927.2679	7246.5002	12608.0356	0	1e-04	7e-04	2e-04
51	18908.9	12683.304	9846.5547	15520.0532	0	0.0188	0.0358	0.0783
52	16969.9	9006.4043	6021.7173	11991.0913	0	0	2e-04	1e-04
53	16997.5	10274.4443	7148.8442	13400.0444	0	0	0.014	0.0026
54	19858.9	11798.2903	8537.8519	15058.7287	0	9e-04	0.0097	0.0388
55	17681.2	10405.1546	7015.2402	13795.0691	0	0	0.0062	0.0062

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
44	0.0677	0.1096	0	1529173.7509	0	0
45	0.0525	-0.002	0.0558	1055.5573	765114.6541	874.7083
46	0.0687	0.1142	0.0752	2707276.6109	1412501.973	1188.4873
47	0.0899	0.3163	0.1355	14797790.1654	4758824.0211	2181.4729
48	0.1113	0.475	0.2034	25909742.9699	8989007.8109	2998.1674
49	0.1289	0.5235	0.2568	27133613.4151	12013108.7449	3465.9932
50	0.1378	0.5807	0.303	33233289.0919	15044563.0802	3878.7321
51	0.1141	0.4908	0.3265	38758046.0271	18008748.4486	4243.6716
52	0.1691	0.8842	0.3885	63417264.1389	23054139.0808	4801.4726
53	0.1552	0.6543	0.4151	45199478.0306	25268672.9758	5026.7955
54	0.141	0.6832	0.4394	64973428.768	28878196.2296	5373.8437
55	0.1662	0.6993	0.4611	52940836.3044	30883416.2359	5557.285