| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2246 | 0.045 | 0.6565 | -0.1057 | -1.0024 | -0.0044 | 0.9353 |
| (p-val) | (0.158 ) | (0.733 ) | (0 ) | (0.6004 ) | (4e-04 ) | (0.9867 ) | (0.0015 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2254 | 0.0436 | 0.6578 | -0.1059 | -0.992 | 0 | 0.8735 |
| (p-val) | (0.1549 ) | (0.729 ) | (0 ) | (0.5974 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.2508 | 0 | 0.6412 | -0.0794 | -0.9911 | 0 | 0.8679 |
| (p-val) | (0.0907 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.6745 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.2925 | 0 | 0.6295 | 0 | -0.9915 | 0 | 0.8747 |
| (p-val) | (0.006 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -13.7506393261368 |
| -18.5156048349480 |
| 118.534943703584 |
| -109.934614260335 |
| -235.203385329663 |
| 64.0753775704576 |
| 136.719107916467 |
| 44.1285628064009 |
| 0.292044144983964 |
| 32.2121445111416 |
| 28.927587908887 |
| 130.056585784244 |
| -147.730652805432 |
| -66.2690536448241 |
| 96.351303065537 |
| 18.7891096960369 |
| -116.487202769076 |
| -14.4089602577902 |
| 128.408073027160 |
| -97.538352038245 |
| 234.211698670117 |
| -144.950380674081 |
| 117.906825168836 |
| -179.808673460077 |
| 86.2731000284544 |
| 50.7191294860134 |
| -277.373557148617 |
| -259.636263161431 |
| -91.5918938066606 |
| -136.328113629816 |
| 90.9175199108197 |
| -57.1193924407768 |
| 52.5150630438818 |
| -73.1294297563123 |
| 76.8982124814274 |
| 49.3500179662534 |
| 131.112675983900 |
| 37.638413424348 |
| 119.893704337051 |
| 86.2007029312512 |
| 235.156972750579 |
| -41.0538684311366 |
| -52.0436624394618 |
| 90.4205812687436 |
| 20.8741269828199 |
| 55.5529083748420 |
| -52.0214337865948 |
| -49.1535237631461 |
