Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[91])
79	5611	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	5788	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	6204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	3013	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	1931	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	2549	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	1504	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	2090	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	2702	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	2939	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	4500	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	6208	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	6415	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	5657	5660.1406	5012.8689	6307.4124	0.4962	0.0111	0.3493	0.0111
93	5964	6221.9858	5558.8387	6885.1329	0.2229	0.9525	0.5212	0.2842
94	3163	3257.0559	2593.9109	3920.2009	0.3905	0	0.7646	0
95	1997	1988.0194	1313.2717	2662.7671	0.4896	3e-04	0.5658	0
96	2422	2639.6394	1963.9354	3315.3433	0.2639	0.9688	0.6037	0

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
92	0.0583	-6e-04	0	9.8636	0	0
93	0.0544	-0.0415	0.021	66556.6741	33283.2688	182.437
94	0.1039	-0.0289	0.0236	8846.5126	25137.6834	158.5487
95	0.1732	0.0045	0.0189	80.6511	18873.4254	137.3806
96	0.1306	-0.0825	0.0316	47366.8962	24572.1195	156.755