Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	2306	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	1507	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	1992	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	2487	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	3490	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	4647	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	5594	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	5611	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	5788	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	6204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	3013	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	1931	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	2549	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	1504	1449.4948	877.0098	2021.9797	0.426	1e-04	0.422	1e-04
86	2090	2158.9333	1567.7014	2750.1653	0.4096	0.985	0.71	0.098
87	2702	2592.9721	1989.4733	3196.4709	0.3616	0.9488	0.6346	0.5568
88	2939	3306.5667	2677.9167	3935.2167	0.1259	0.9703	0.2837	0.9909
89	4500	4677.6774	4047.3746	5307.9803	0.2903	1	0.538	1
90	6208	5557.1584	4921.3307	6192.9862	0.0224	0.9994	0.4548	1
91	6415	5329.8023	4691.9509	5967.6537	4e-04	0.0035	0.1938	1
92	5657	5945.431	5307.6692	6583.1928	0.1877	0.0745	0.6857	1
93	5964	5861.8937	5222.7754	6501.0119	0.3771	0.7351	0.1471	1
94	3163	3022.292	2383.4118	3661.1723	0.333	0	0.5114	0.9267
95	1997	1882.8593	1244.179	2521.5396	0.3631	0	0.4413	0.0205
96	2422	2440.9207	1802.2662	3079.5752	0.4768	0.9135	0.3701	0.3701

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.2015	0.0376	0	2970.8212	0	0
86	0.1397	-0.0319	0.0348	4751.8054	3861.3133	62.1395
87	0.1187	0.042	0.0372	11887.082	6536.5695	80.8491
88	0.097	-0.1112	0.0557	135105.2561	38678.7412	196.6691
89	0.0687	-0.038	0.0521	31569.2634	37256.8456	193.0203
90	0.0584	0.1171	0.063	423594.7482	101646.496	318.8205
91	0.0611	0.2036	0.0831	1177654.0344	255361.8587	505.3334
92	0.0547	-0.0485	0.0787	83192.4641	233840.6843	483.5708
93	0.0556	0.0174	0.0719	10425.7067	209016.7979	457.1835
94	0.1079	0.0466	0.0694	19798.7319	190094.9913	435.9988
95	0.1731	0.0606	0.0686	13028.0935	173998.0006	417.1307
96	0.1335	-0.0078	0.0635	357.9923	159527.9999	399.4096