| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5832 | 0.1136 | 0.2112 | -0.7871 | 0.697 | -0.3675 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.0037 ) | (0.3915 ) | (0.0723 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0098 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6257 | 0 | 0.2602 | -0.7757 | 0.723 | -0.4043 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.0059 ) | (NA ) | (0.0091 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.002 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.35899339824744 |
| -52.4064034042713 |
| -76.12309822564 |
| 122.100705441375 |
| -626.806804548606 |
| -438.960663798114 |
| 375.185214962196 |
| -1214.76288926464 |
| -125.293543187924 |
| -540.87755029282 |
| 103.135859458385 |
| 185.719814097502 |
| 301.988205349859 |
| -69.8952815212872 |
| 166.1246004555 |
| -221.300793591577 |
| -73.0715472066296 |
| 0.687192155232986 |
| -202.621565790887 |
| 38.5535518139673 |
| 577.662898873719 |
| -620.906700912926 |
| 61.9393826758749 |
| 31.5614582360153 |
| -197.921508900798 |
| 159.886868854215 |
| 85.5949553381566 |
| 350.512545786453 |
| 146.258014188091 |
| 287.133555380909 |
| -139.899353748543 |
| -452.962752332921 |
| -325.054827910393 |
| -58.1741095383994 |
| 117.382088833007 |
| 81.38803047602 |
| 184.968158341627 |
| 157.694685059384 |
| 279.48303012498 |
| -237.322439773751 |
| 210.947249564918 |
| -204.335665837815 |
| -26.8891143453452 |
| 563.0614189384 |
| -390.405827087954 |
| -367.006904225482 |
| -102.526978349319 |
| 103.279881958158 |
| 7.3309399372106 |
| -9.67377818310333 |
| -283.810655404512 |
| -85.1270683705052 |
| -42.7588854404190 |
| 78.0186859121946 |
| -157.338276510008 |
| -147.532349363227 |
| 105.744767150943 |
| 91.0556865397297 |
| 12.7414828374958 |
| 61.0399103420433 |
| 4.42641065459361 |
| 30.3458009075938 |
| -13.7514378608361 |
| 188.677847963994 |
| 116.233851262961 |
| 24.3246017408149 |
| 516.98630954081 |
| 136.189480071315 |
| -31.1088954908890 |
| 556.753762793254 |
| 50.0958619997067 |
| -41.5945202159205 |
| 44.3791959901756 |
| -47.7709074355369 |
| -63.919447725538 |
| 39.5314992426164 |
| -454.415222133475 |
| -299.158526851843 |
| 398.935807899013 |
| 1042.90582216687 |
| -16.1688712751611 |
| -183.102268676751 |
| -121.356729010529 |
| -6.74039795637589 |
| -145.175485357653 |
