| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5832 | 0.1136 | 0.2112 | -0.7871 | 0.697 | -0.3675 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.0037 ) | (0.3915 ) | (0.0723 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0098 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6257 | 0 | 0.2602 | -0.7757 | 0.723 | -0.4043 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.0059 ) | (NA ) | (0.0091 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.002 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.35899339824658 |
| -52.4064002947132 |
| -76.1230932141635 |
| 122.100698401389 |
| -626.806768104361 |
| -438.960631610871 |
| 375.185192503792 |
| -1214.76282123854 |
| -125.293523148894 |
| -540.877523135069 |
| 103.135856516317 |
| 185.719801241434 |
| 301.988187351798 |
| -69.8952785044806 |
| 166.124592196116 |
| -221.300785993558 |
| -73.0715322618548 |
| 0.687197293786252 |
| -202.621560877558 |
| 38.5535690986079 |
| 577.662864251235 |
| -620.906660304246 |
| 61.9393851477077 |
| 31.561448370131 |
| -197.921502885231 |
| 159.886864059693 |
| 85.5949440997375 |
| 350.512530903578 |
| 146.258002892733 |
| 287.133537487612 |
| -139.899341216723 |
| -452.962729667799 |
| -325.054820416031 |
| -58.1740956445457 |
| 117.382079639009 |
| 81.3880240320097 |
| 184.968152218985 |
| 157.694672424906 |
| 279.483011984430 |
| -237.322431862234 |
| 210.947232356534 |
| -204.335666803363 |
| -26.8891032890256 |
| 563.061383202308 |
| -390.405805375837 |
| -367.006879734094 |
| -102.526973413611 |
| 103.279873788212 |
| 7.33093816217584 |
| -9.6737796391312 |
| -283.810643427499 |
| -85.1270571202463 |
| -42.7588922896618 |
| 78.0186821107732 |
| -157.338265982707 |
| -147.532358062522 |
| 105.744770345308 |
| 91.0556792746626 |
| 12.7414853632314 |
| 61.0399066993986 |
| 4.42641063391812 |
| 30.3458009785437 |
| -13.7514305260889 |
| 188.67784088223 |
| 116.233843552267 |
| 24.3245999958708 |
| 516.986283399095 |
| 136.189466279063 |
| -31.1088936896663 |
| 556.753727077892 |
| 50.095856429728 |
| -41.5945138264955 |
| 44.3791964644893 |
| -47.7709033721903 |
| -63.9194400024817 |
| 39.5314948591155 |
| -454.415196617469 |
| -299.158506337602 |
| 398.935775967266 |
| 1042.90575842433 |
| -16.168877452315 |
| -183.102263472345 |
| -121.356721629990 |
| -6.74039582905718 |
| -145.175475946089 |
