Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	9963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	9225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	10474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	9757	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	10490	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	10281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	10444	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	10640	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	10695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	10786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	9832	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	9747	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	10411	10373.8349	9851.3545	10896.3153	0.4446	0.9907	0.7909	0.9907
86	9511	9506.7215	8976.6211	10036.8219	0.4937	4e-04	0.8512	0.1872
87	10402	10599.9593	10062.347	11137.5717	0.2352	1	0.677	0.9991
88	9701	10002.6151	9457.5943	10547.6359	0.139	0.0755	0.8115	0.821
89	10540	10576.9462	10024.6163	11129.2761	0.4478	0.9991	0.6212	0.9984
90	10112	10363.5709	9804.0274	10923.1144	0.1891	0.2683	0.6138	0.9846
91	10915	10688.9798	10122.3145	11255.6451	0.2172	0.977	0.8016	0.9994
92	11183	10786.3221	10212.6234	11360.0208	0.0877	0.3301	0.6914	0.9998
93	10384	10681.3503	10100.7033	11261.9972	0.1578	0.0452	0.4816	0.9992
94	10834	10802.1739	10214.6609	11389.6869	0.4577	0.9185	0.5215	0.9998
95	9886	9953.5388	9359.2391	10547.8385	0.4119	0.0018	0.6557	0.7521
96	10216	10049.3963	9448.3865	10650.4061	0.2935	0.7029	0.838	0.838

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0257	0.0036	0	1381.2457	0	0
86	0.0284	5e-04	0.002	18.3055	699.7756	26.4533
87	0.0259	-0.0187	0.0076	39187.8949	13529.1487	116.3149
88	0.0278	-0.0302	0.0132	90971.6549	32889.7753	181.3554
89	0.0266	-0.0035	0.0113	1365.0232	26584.8248	163.0485
90	0.0275	-0.0243	0.0134	63287.9136	32702.0063	180.837
91	0.027	0.0211	0.0145	51085.1488	35328.1695	187.9579
92	0.0271	0.0368	0.0173	157353.3467	50581.3167	224.9029
93	0.0277	-0.0278	0.0185	88417.1767	54785.3011	234.0626
94	0.0277	0.0029	0.0169	1012.9014	49408.0611	222.2792
95	0.0305	-0.0068	0.016	4561.4919	45331.1003	212.911
96	0.0305	0.0166	0.0161	27756.7931	43866.5747	209.4435