Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	9963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	9225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	10474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	9757	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	10490	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	10281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	10444	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	10640	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	10695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	10786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	9832	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	9747	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	10411	10347.7075	9790.2809	10964.9861	0.4204	0.9718	0.7265	0.9718
86	9511	9428.3496	8949.6665	9955.176	0.3792	1e-04	0.7753	0.1179
87	10402	10554.8318	9964.3475	11211.4328	0.3241	0.9991	0.5953	0.9921
88	9701	9946.8603	9409.2846	10542.3644	0.2092	0.0671	0.734	0.7447
89	10540	10500.6762	9903.3372	11166.153	0.4539	0.9907	0.5125	0.9868
90	10112	10280.1753	9699.185	10926.9585	0.3052	0.2155	0.499	0.9469
91	10915	10663.5651	10038.2541	11362.6635	0.2404	0.939	0.7309	0.9949
92	11183	10733.1458	10095.1195	11447.6164	0.1086	0.3089	0.6008	0.9966
93	10384	10579.9702	9952.6703	11282.2125	0.2922	0.0462	0.3741	0.99
94	10834	10711.9748	10065.7617	11436.9014	0.3707	0.8124	0.4207	0.9955
95	9886	9835.1702	9274.7964	10459.5787	0.4366	9e-04	0.504	0.609
96	10216	9974.8874	9396.2691	10620.9611	0.2322	0.6063	0.7553	0.7553

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0304	0.0061	0	4005.9435	0	0
86	0.0285	0.0088	0.0074	6831.0894	5418.5164	73.6106
87	0.0317	-0.0145	0.0098	23357.5597	11398.1975	106.7623
88	0.0305	-0.0247	0.0135	60447.2798	23660.4681	153.8196
89	0.0323	0.0037	0.0116	1546.3591	19237.6463	138.6998
90	0.0321	-0.0164	0.0124	28282.9287	20745.1934	144.0319
91	0.0334	0.0236	0.014	63219.5061	26812.9523	163.7466
92	0.034	0.0419	0.0175	202368.8207	48757.4359	220.8109
93	0.0339	-0.0185	0.0176	38404.3238	47607.0901	218.1905
94	0.0345	0.0114	0.017	14890.1487	44335.3959	210.5597
95	0.0324	0.0052	0.0159	2583.6734	40539.7848	201.3449
96	0.033	0.0242	0.0166	58135.2886	42006.0768	204.9538