Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	9963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	9225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	10474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	9757	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	10490	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	10281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	10444	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	10640	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	10695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	10786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	9832	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	9747	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	10411	10347.4297	9790.0277	10964.68	0.42	0.9717	0.7262	0.9717
86	9511	9428.0765	8949.4175	9954.8753	0.3788	1e-04	0.775	0.1177
87	10402	10554.4644	9964.019	11211.0199	0.3245	0.9991	0.5949	0.992
88	9701	9946.4787	9408.9461	10541.9324	0.2095	0.0669	0.7336	0.7443
89	10540	10500.2355	9902.9542	11165.6439	0.4534	0.9907	0.512	0.9867
90	10112	10279.7071	9698.7838	10926.4106	0.3056	0.2151	0.4984	0.9468
91	10915	10663.0036	10037.7813	11361.9956	0.2399	0.9388	0.7304	0.9949
92	11183	10732.5499	10094.6275	11446.8952	0.1082	0.3083	0.6002	0.9966
93	10384	10579.3645	9952.1796	11281.4676	0.2927	0.046	0.3734	0.9899
94	10834	10711.3137	10065.2363	11436.0751	0.37	0.812	0.42	0.9954
95	9886	9834.5652	9274.3206	10458.8179	0.4359	9e-04	0.5032	0.6083
96	10216	9974.2112	9395.745	10620.1004	0.2316	0.6055	0.7547	0.7547

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0304	0.0061	0	4041.1795	0	0
86	0.0285	0.0088	0.0075	6876.3082	5458.7439	73.8833
87	0.0317	-0.0144	0.0098	23245.4073	11387.6317	106.7128
88	0.0305	-0.0247	0.0135	60259.7839	23605.6697	153.6414
89	0.0323	0.0038	0.0116	1581.2169	19200.7792	138.5669
90	0.0321	-0.0163	0.0124	28125.6699	20688.261	143.8341
91	0.0334	0.0236	0.014	63502.17	26804.5337	163.7209
92	0.034	0.042	0.0175	202905.2478	48817.1229	220.946
93	0.0339	-0.0185	0.0176	38167.3042	47633.8097	218.2517
94	0.0345	0.0115	0.017	15051.9219	44375.621	210.6552
95	0.0324	0.0052	0.0159	2645.5351	40581.9768	201.4497
96	0.033	0.0242	0.0166	58461.8351	42071.965	205.1145