Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	28.702	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	69.517	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	69.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	71.525	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	77.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	62.107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	65.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	51.493	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	43.067	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	49.172	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	54.483	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	38.158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	27.898	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	58.648	68.7587	57.8342	79.6832	0.0348	1	0.4459	1
50	56	65.107	53.9436	76.2704	0.0549	0.8716	0.234	1
51	62.381	72.7897	61.6158	83.9636	0.0339	0.9984	0.5878	1
52	59.849	69.9521	58.7777	81.1265	0.0382	0.9079	0.086	1
53	48.345	59.9916	48.8172	71.166	0.0205	0.51	0.3553	1
54	55.376	63.5088	52.3343	74.6832	0.0769	0.9961	0.3667	1
55	45.4	49.8675	38.6931	61.0419	0.2166	0.167	0.3878	0.9999
56	38.389	42.9808	31.8063	54.1552	0.2103	0.3357	0.494	0.9959
57	44.098	44.2033	33.0289	55.3777	0.4926	0.8461	0.1917	0.9979
58	48.29	52.3266	41.1521	63.501	0.2395	0.9255	0.3526	1
59	41.267	41.2132	30.0388	52.3876	0.4962	0.1073	0.704	0.9902
60	31.238	27.602	16.4281	38.7759	0.2618	0.0083	0.4793	0.4793

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0811	-0.147	0	102.2255	0	0
50	0.0875	-0.1399	0.1435	82.9372	92.5814	9.6219
51	0.0783	-0.143	0.1433	108.3406	97.8344	9.8911
52	0.0815	-0.1444	0.1436	102.0724	98.8939	9.9445
53	0.095	-0.1941	0.1537	135.6426	106.2437	10.3075
54	0.0898	-0.1281	0.1494	66.1418	99.56	9.978
55	0.1143	-0.0896	0.1409	19.9583	88.1884	9.3909
56	0.1326	-0.1068	0.1366	21.0842	79.8003	8.9331
57	0.129	-0.0024	0.1217	0.0111	70.9349	8.4223
58	0.109	-0.0771	0.1172	16.2938	65.4708	8.0914
59	0.1383	0.0013	0.1067	0.0029	59.5191	7.7149
60	0.2065	0.1317	0.1088	13.2204	55.6609	7.4606